{"id":9971,"date":"2012-01-06T14:46:54","date_gmt":"2012-01-06T12:46:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=9971"},"modified":"2012-01-06T14:47:03","modified_gmt":"2012-01-06T12:47:03","slug":"buyumenin-vazgecilmez-motoru-insaat-sektoru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/buyumenin-vazgecilmez-motoru-insaat-sektoru\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin Vazge\u00e7ilmez Motoru: \u0130n\u015faat Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme ile in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc aras\u0131nda sanayile\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler kadar olmasa bile yak\u0131n bir ili\u015fki var.<br \/>\nYap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar 1994-2010 y\u0131llar\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 4.1 oran\u0131nda, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise y\u00fczde 4.4 oran\u0131nda artm\u0131\u015f. Esneklik katsay\u0131s\u0131 1.1 oluyor.<br \/>\nSon y\u0131llarda ise konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde g\u00f6zlenen ve banka kredileriyle desteklenen h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme bu ili\u015fkiyi de art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f durumda.<br \/>\n\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn Gayrisafi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 ise kendisine girdi sa\u011flayan imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u00fczde 10-12 aras\u0131nda bir d\u00fczeye oturuyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda bu oran\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 bekleniyor.<br \/>\nBu durumda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 1\/5&#8217;inin in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden kaynaklanaca\u011f\u0131 hesaplan\u0131yor.<br \/>\n\u00d6te yandan istihdam i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 2010 y\u0131l\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 8.5 d\u00fczeyinde. Eyl\u00fcl 2010 ile 2011 d\u00f6neminde 388 bin ki\u015fiye yeni i\u015f olana\u011f\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f. Bunun b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu niteliksiz gen\u00e7lerin istihdam\u0131 \u015feklinde.<br \/>\n2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kazan\u0131p T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye getirdi\u011fi d\u00f6viz ise 3.2 milyar dolar.<br \/>\nSekt\u00f6r\u00fcn bir \u00f6zelli\u011fi de ekonominin darald\u0131\u011f\u0131 zamanlarda kendisinin de bu e\u011filimi g\u00f6stermesi. Zaten b\u00fcy\u00fcme esnekli\u011fi olan 1.1 katsay\u0131s\u0131 da buna i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4175115883\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>2012 YILI BEKLEY\u0130\u015eLER\u0130<\/strong><br \/>\nBu y\u0131l i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentiler pek olumlu de\u011fil. Son g\u00fcnlerde finans piyasalar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131 da bunun ayak izleri \u015feklinde anlamak gerekiyor. Artan ve daha da artaca\u011f\u0131 beklenen faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n konut talebini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fi kesin. Sekt\u00f6r de bu bekleyi\u015f i\u00e7inde.<br \/>\nGayrimenkul Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Derne\u011fi (GYODER) Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 I\u015f\u0131k G\u00f6kkaya ile 2012 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irdik. G\u00f6kkaya da in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde konut kredilerindeki azalmaya paralel olarak bir daralma olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<br \/>\n&#8220;Ancak&#8221; dedi, &#8220;2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda M\u00fctekabiliyet Yasas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karsa ve kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm projesinin uygulanmas\u0131na ba\u015flan\u0131rsa sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye katk\u0131s\u0131 artar&#8221;.<br \/>\nBuna ek olarak yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n ticari gayrimenkul taleplerinin y\u00f6n\u00fc de \u00f6nemli. E\u011fer Avrupa&#8217;da ve bizde \u00e7alkant\u0131lar durursa bu talepte de bir k\u0131p\u0131rdanma g\u00f6zlenece\u011fini beklemek gerekir.<br \/>\n\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn zorluklarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 bir y\u0131la girdi\u011fimiz anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>***<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Macaristan&#8217;da i\u015fler kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Macar Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Viktor Orban&#8217;\u0131n g\u00f6reve ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Nisan 2010&#8217;dan bu yana finans kesimiyle y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131 bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc bar\u0131\u015fmad\u0131.<br \/>\nBankac\u0131l\u0131k kesiminin a\u011f\u0131r bir d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fc alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yollar\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015fka yerlerde arad\u0131. Ancak AB&#8217;deki abileri buna izin vermediler. Kendisine IMF ile anla\u015fma yolunu g\u00f6sterdiler.<br \/>\nBa\u015fbakan Orban bu bask\u0131lara bir s\u00fcre dayand\u0131. Ancak fazla sabredemedi. Hi\u00e7 sevmedi\u011fi Macar Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;na sald\u0131rarak m\u00fccadelesine tekrar ba\u015flad\u0131. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son g\u00fcnlerinde bankan\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yok eden bir yasay\u0131<br \/>\nparlamentosundan ge\u00e7irdi.<br \/>\nBu giri\u015fim tatillerinden yeni d\u00f6nen IMF ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi yetkilileri yan\u0131nda piyasa oyuncular\u0131n\u0131 da k\u0131zd\u0131rd\u0131. H\u0131rslar\u0131n\u0131 Macar Florini&#8217;nden ald\u0131lar. Bir iki g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde Macaristan d\u00f6viz krizi i\u00e7ine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Paras\u0131 s\u00fcratle de\u011fer yitirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<br \/>\n\u015eimdi g\u00f6zler Ba\u015fbakan Orban&#8217;\u0131n 11 Ocak&#8217;ta IMF Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ile yapaca\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131ya \u00e7evrildi.<br \/>\nOrban &#8220;En iyi \u015fartlarla bir standby anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalar\u0131m &#8221; derken, piyasalar &#8220;S\u00f6z ile uslanmayan\u0131n hakk\u0131 k\u00f6tektir&#8221; yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7indeler.<br \/>\nBakal\u0131m bu i\u015fin sonu nereye varacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme ile in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc aras\u0131nda sanayile\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler kadar olmasa bile yak\u0131n bir ili\u015fki var. Yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar 1994-2010 y\u0131llar\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":418,"featured_media":5395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9971","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/418"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9971"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9971\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9971"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9971"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}