{"id":9891,"date":"2012-01-05T17:01:54","date_gmt":"2012-01-05T15:01:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=9891"},"modified":"2012-01-05T17:10:26","modified_gmt":"2012-01-05T15:10:26","slug":"seans-icinden-5-ocak-2011","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-icinden-5-ocak-2011\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u0130\u00e7inden &#8211; 5 Ocak 2011"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>17:05<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2290394470\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>ABD borsalar\u0131 i\u015fleme ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra da veriler gelmeye devam etti ve ISM imalat d\u0131\u015f\u0131 PMI endeksleri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Asl\u0131nda \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir terslik yok ama \u015fu an Dow endeksi y\u00fczde 0.90 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da bulunuyor. Bizim endeks ise 50.900&#8217;\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131yor. \u015eu an 50.850 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Riskler artt\u0131. \u015eu an yeninden 50.900 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilirken hacim de oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in endeksin daha fazla gerileme yapmas\u0131 ve 48.800&#8221;deki deste\u011fine kadar gerilemesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 artt\u0131. Nakitte olanlar bence beklemede kalabilirler. Hissesi olanlar ise e\u011fer d\u00fcn verdi\u011fimiz 51.850 stop fiyat\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f yapmam\u0131\u015flarsa hisse baz\u0131ndaki fakt\u00f6rleri de g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne alarak kara vermeli veya endeks daha da d\u00fc\u015ferse B planlar\u0131n\u0131n ne olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirlemeleri gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bir okuyucumuz Hisse i\u00e7in stop-loss koydu\u011funu ama hissenin stop loss&#8217;a gelmedi\u011fini fakat endeksin stop loss seviyesine geldi\u011fini belirtiyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla hisseyi sat\u0131p satmamakta teredd\u00fct etti\u011fini belirtiyor. Bu t\u00fcr durumlarda hisse stoplar\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bazen ka\u011f\u0131tlar endeksin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne dayan\u0131r ama sonra sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yapabilir. Ama yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 e\u011fer hisseyi ala\u0131rken kaybedece\u011fi miktar\u0131 g\u00f6ze alm\u0131\u015fsa hise i\u00e7in stopu beklemesini \u00f6neririm. Hissenin betas\u0131 y\u00fcksek ise (1 veya daha y\u00fcksek ise) \u015fu anki endeks stopunu \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmak da uygun olabilir ama beta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckse hissenin stop seviyesini beklemek daha uygun olur.<\/p>\n<p>Sa\u011fl\u0131cakla kal\u0131n\u0131z&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>16:30<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130kinci seansta endeks 51.000 ile 51.300 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu s\u0131rada d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda hareketler \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen biz yine temkinliyiz ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131y\u0131 sadece izliyoruz. Saat 15:30&#8217;da ABD&#8217;den gelen veriler beklentilerin \u00e7ok \u00fczerindeydi. ADP \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam raporuna g\u00f6re 175 bin ki\u015finin i\u015f bulmas\u0131 beklenirken tam 325 bin ki\u015fi i\u015f bulmu\u015f. Ayr\u0131ca i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 \u00a015 bin ki\u015fi azalarak 372 bine gerilemi\u015f durumda. Bu cephede 5 bin gerileme bekleniyordu. \u00c7ok daha iyi bir rakam a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bu haberler \u00fczerine dow future&#8217;lar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 yukar\u0131 hareket yapsa da, ivme yeniden azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/dji-5-ocak-2012.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9924\" title=\"dji-5-ocak-2012\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/dji-5-ocak-2012.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"514\" height=\"306\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/dji-5-ocak-2012.png 514w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/dji-5-ocak-2012-300x178.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 514px) 100vw, 514px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/daxr-5-ocak-2012.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9926\" title=\"daxr-5-ocak-2012\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/daxr-5-ocak-2012.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"468\" height=\"304\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/daxr-5-ocak-2012.png 468w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/daxr-5-ocak-2012-300x194.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 468px) 100vw, 468px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bu grafiklerde dikey \u00e7izginin oldu\u011fu yerde haber geldi ve Dow future&#8217;lar\u0131 12.350&#8217;ye kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra yeniden 12.320 civar\u0131na geriledi. DAX endeksi de 6070 seviyesinden 6120&#8217;ye kadar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p gerileme yapt\u0131. Biz ise bu arada 51.180&#8217;den 120 puan art\u0131\u015fla 51.300&#8217;e gelip yeniden hareketin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye olan 51.170 civar\u0131na geri d\u00f6nd\u00fck.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda bu haberler \u00f6nemli ve olumlu ama piyasalardaki tedirginli\u011fi ciddiye almak laz\u0131m. Normal \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda haberi duydu\u011fumda bizim endeksin 51.500&#8217;\u00fc yeniden a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, Dow ve DAX&#8217;\u0131n da y\u00fckseli\u015fi yapt\u0131ktan sonra bukadar geri \u00e7ekilmesini beklemezdim. Az sonra ABD borsalar\u0131nda i\u015flemler ba\u015flayacak. Saat 17.00&#8217;de bir yorum daha ge\u00e7ece\u011fim.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3008660197\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>12:30<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-dax-dji-5-ocak-2012.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9892\" title=\"xu100-dax-dji-5-ocak-2012\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-dax-dji-5-ocak-2012.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"442\" height=\"310\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-dax-dji-5-ocak-2012.png 442w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-dax-dji-5-ocak-2012-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 442px) 100vw, 442px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131daki grafik DAX, DOW ve \u0130MKB100&#8217;\u00fcn be\u015f dakikal\u0131k hareketlerini veriyor. \u015eu an Dow kapal\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in dow grafi\u011finin (DJI) son taraf\u0131 taya \u00e7izgi konumunda. DOlay\u0131s\u0131yla e\u011fer bir endeksin grafi\u011fi yatay \u00e7izgi konumundaysa demek ki \u00a0o s\u0131rada &#8220;o piyasa kapal\u0131&#8221; anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u00a0Siyah ve ye\u015fil \u00e7izginin (\u0130MKB ev DAX) bug\u00fcnk\u00fc hareketlerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda her ikisi de benzer hareketler yap\u0131yor. Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015ftan sonra bizim endeks 51.500 civar\u0131ndan 51 bine kadar gerilerken benzer \u015fekilde DAX da geriliyor. Yani d\u0131\u015f piyaslaar d\u00fc\u015ferken beraber hareket ediyoruz ama y\u00fckselirken sonradan kat\u0131l\u0131mda bulunuyoruz. \u015eu an DAX endeksi d\u00fcne \u00a0g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.55 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da bulunurken bizim endeks y\u00fczde 0.83 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da bulunuyor. 52.300 civar\u0131ndan al\u0131m \u00f6nerip, 51.850 seviyesini stop olarak vermi\u015ftik. \u015eu an ise 51.000 civar\u0131nday\u0131z ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere, adeta y\u00fckselirken olu\u015fan hacim d\u00fc\u015ferken yeniden olu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-5-ocak-2012.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9896\" title=\"xu100-5-ocak-2012\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-5-ocak-2012.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"457\" height=\"310\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-5-ocak-2012.png 457w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/xu100-5-ocak-2012-300x203.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 457px) 100vw, 457px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tabi ki 52 binin alt\u0131nda olu\u015fan destek k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131nca hacim de artt\u0131 ve \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f teknik deyimle fake (sahte) oldu. Bu a\u015famada endeks yine 50.800-52.500 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. SIk\u0131\u015fma ve kanal formasyonlar\u0131 en zor tahmin yap\u0131labilen formasyonlard\u0131r. S\u0131k\u0131\u015fma ve yatay hareketin ne kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fini bilmezsiniz. Bu t\u00fcr formasyonlar\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni piyasa karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r ve piyasan\u0131n kendine y\u00f6n belirleyememesidir. Ama \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ata\u011f\u0131n \u015fu an bitmi\u015f olmas\u0131, orta vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Piyasa yeni bir y\u00f6nde karar verene kadar beklemek zorundas\u0131n\u0131z. Piyasa 50.800&#8217;\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rana veya 53 bini yukar\u0131 k\u0131rana kadar s\u0131k i\u015flem yapanlar b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla zarar edeceklerdir. Unutmay\u0131n\u0131z, en b\u00fcy\u00fck zarar yatay kanallarda olu\u015fur. Bunun neden b\u00f6yle oldu\u011funu daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131mda ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131yla anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131m i\u00e7in burada tekrarlamayaca\u011f\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Bir sonraki yorum saat 16:45&#8217;de verilecektir. Dolar- Alt\u0131n ve Euro-dolar paritesi yorumlar\u0131m\u0131 saat 13:00&#8217;den sonra www.uzmanforex.com sitesinden okuyabilirsiniz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1513980444\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>17:05 ABD borsalar\u0131 i\u015fleme ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra da veriler gelmeye devam etti ve ISM imalat d\u0131\u015f\u0131 PMI endeksleri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Asl\u0131nda \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir terslik yok ama&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":9297,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9891","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9891"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9891\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9297"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}