{"id":9182,"date":"2011-12-22T09:18:51","date_gmt":"2011-12-22T06:18:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=9182"},"modified":"2011-12-22T09:19:24","modified_gmt":"2011-12-22T06:19:24","slug":"seans-oncesi-22-aralik-2011","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-oncesi-22-aralik-2011\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u00d6ncesi &#8211; 22 Aral\u0131k 2011"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>08:23<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4048968039\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00fcn sizlere yorum yazabilecek vaktim olmad\u0131. Asl\u0131nda her g\u00fcn sabah saat 11:30 s\u0131ralar\u0131nda yorum veriyordum fakat, televizyondaki yay\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra bir ko\u015fturmacad\u0131r ba\u015fl\u0131yor ve f\u0131rsat buldu\u011fum ilk anda genel bir piyasa \u00f6zeti ge\u00e7iyorum. \u00d6nceki g\u00fcn endeksin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi yapabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek baz\u0131 beta de\u011feri y\u00fcksek hisselerde al\u0131m \u00f6nermi\u015ftim. Bunlar\u0131n zannedersem bir\u00e7o\u011fu hedef fiyatlar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bunlar\u0131 ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 olarak incelemedim bu y\u00fczden yeni bir tablo veremiyorum ama herhalde e\u011fer al\u0131m yapan varsa verilen sat\u0131\u015f hedefleri do\u011frultusunda k\u00e2r realizasyonu yapm\u0131\u015f olduklar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<p>Bildi\u011finiz \u00fczere d\u00fcn Likidite s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7eken Euro B\u00f6lgesi&#8217;ndeki bankalara ucuz nakit imkan\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in harekete ge\u00e7en,\u00a0 Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n 36 ay vadeli, y\u00fczde 1 faizli s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z kredileri i\u00e7in piyasalar\u0131n merakla bekledi\u011fi, ihale sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00a0a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131 ve\u00a0 523 bankadan\u00a0 489 milyar euro kredi\u00a0 talebi geldi. \u00a0Normalde bu kadar talep beklenmiyordu ama ben bekliyordum. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc almamak anlams\u0131zd\u0131. Bu beklentimi de TV&#8217;de ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde aktarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. D\u00fcn bu bankalar 489 milyar euro almalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, \u0130spanyol ve \u0130talyan ka\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131n faizlerinde \u00e7ok olmasa da hafif bir y\u00fckseli\u015f olunca, &#8220;demek ki bu bankalar ald\u0131klar\u0131 tahvilleri bu devletlerin ka\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131na yat\u0131rm\u0131yorlar&#8221; g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olu\u015ftu ve sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 geldi. Bu arada baz\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalar da tahvil portf\u00f6ylerini art\u0131rmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmediklerini s\u00f6yleyince borsalarda sat\u0131\u015flar artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Amerikan borsalar\u0131 ise d\u00fcn g\u00fcne k\u00f6t\u00fc ba\u015flay\u0131p iyi bitirdiler. Nasdaq&#8217;da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f vard\u0131 ama S&amp;P 500 endeksi y\u00fczde 0.19 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Bizim endeksin teknik dinamikleri bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in 51.500 civar\u0131nda bir destek olu\u015fup 51.500 52.000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir hareket olabilece\u011fi sinyalini veriyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00e7ok k\u0131sa vadeli Fibonacci&#8217;nin y\u00fczde 61.8 deste\u011fi 51.500&#8217;e denk geliyor. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yatay ve s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k olacakt\u0131r. D\u00fcn 52.750 ile 52.000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ciddi bir k\u00e2r realizasyonu olmu\u015f. Bu y\u00fczden bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in 52.100 seviyesinin yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilmesi biraz zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ama bakars\u0131n\u0131z bug\u00fcn Avrupa bankalar\u0131 \u0130talyan ve \u0130spanyol tahvili almaya ba\u015flarlar ve yeniden \u00a0co\u015fku ya\u015fan\u0131r fakat bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131k. \u00a0E\u011fer endeks 51.450&#8217;yi g\u00f6r\u00fcrse bunun anlam\u0131 en az\u0131ndan 51.050 seviyesine kadar bir gev\u015feme olabilece\u011fidir. \u00d6nceki g\u00fcn belirtti\u011fimiz gibi ger\u00e7ekten de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tepki oldu (1750 puan) ama endeks y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131nda yataya girip beklemek yerine sat\u0131\u015f yedi\u011fi i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli ralli tipi hareketin dinamiklerini bozdu. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla en k\u00f6t\u00fc olas\u0131l\u0131k 51.100-52.000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda harekettir. \u00a0Bu arada yabanc\u0131 takas oran\u0131n\u0131n da y\u00fczde 62.36&#8217;dan y\u00fczde 62.02&#8217;ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc not edelim. \u00a0E\u011fer yeniden al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir sinyal g\u00f6r\u00fcrsem ki ne zaman olaca\u011f\u0131 belli olmaz, o zaman yeniden bir \u00f6neri tablosu verece\u011fim. Ama bug\u00fcn piyasadan \u00e7ok fazla beklenti i\u00e7inde olmamak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar bug\u00fcn 1.8876 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Borsa \u00e7\u0131karken en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 1.8749 seviyesini g\u00f6rerek pek de fazla d\u00fc\u015fmek istemedi\u011fini net bir bi\u00e7imde ortaya koydu. Bu y\u00fczden dolarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 devam edebilir. Dolar\u0131 olanlar tutmaya devam edebilirler. Al\u0131m yapacak olanlar ise zarar\u0131 kesme noktas\u0131n\u0131 belirleyip yapabilirler.<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n ise bu sabah 1606 dolarda bulunuyor. 1567 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra 1641 dolara kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015fti ama \u015fimdi yeniden geriliyor. Genelde 1550 ile 1620 dolar aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma bekleyebiliriz. Tl baz\u0131nda ise 95-96 Tl seviyesi olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli destek oldu. Alt\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fse de dolar yukar\u0131da kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in TL baz\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f onz ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften daha az oluyor. E\u011fer 90-95 Tl aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na gelirse en az bir y\u0131l vadeli alt\u0131n al\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6neriyorum. Alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck oals\u0131l\u0131kla haftan\u0131n son iki g\u00fcn\u00fcnde karars\u0131z ve hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sabah bu kadar. Bug\u00fcn yine televizyon yay\u0131n\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra yine yo\u011fun olaca\u011f\u0131m ve en erken ikinci seans ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra yorum ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fim. Herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olmas\u0131n\u0131 dilerim.<\/p>\n<p>NOT: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bugun.com.tr\/bugunTv\/?ref=top\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">Bug\u00fcn TV&#8217;deki program\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 \u00a0internetten canl\u0131 izlemek i\u00e7in buray\u0131 t\u0131klay\u0131n\u0131z<\/a>. Bug\u00fcn BAYBARS ALTUNTA\u015e (D\u00fcnyay\u0131 kurtaracak 150 adamdan biri se\u00e7ildi ve Obama taraf\u0131ndan kabul edildi) konu\u011fumuz olacak. Giri\u015fimci olmak isteyenler bu program\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131rmas\u0131nlar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1244135162\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>08:23 D\u00fcn sizlere yorum yazabilecek vaktim olmad\u0131. Asl\u0131nda her g\u00fcn sabah saat 11:30 s\u0131ralar\u0131nda yorum veriyordum fakat, televizyondaki yay\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra bir ko\u015fturmacad\u0131r ba\u015fl\u0131yor ve&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":6025,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9182","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9182","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9182"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9182\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9182"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9182"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9182"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}