{"id":8524,"date":"2011-12-06T10:13:33","date_gmt":"2011-12-06T07:13:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=8524"},"modified":"2011-12-06T10:13:42","modified_gmt":"2011-12-06T07:13:42","slug":"kasim-enflasyonu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kasim-enflasyonu\/","title":{"rendered":"Kas\u0131m Enflasyonu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kas\u0131m enflasyonu d\u00fcn T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u0130stanbul Ticaret Odas\u0131 \u00dccretli Ge\u00e7inme Endeksi uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f\u0131n piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde gelece\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2207471657\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131nda (T\u00dcFE) ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 1.7 oldu. B\u00f6ylece 11 ayl\u0131k enflasyon y\u00fczde 9.8\u2019e, y\u0131ll\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 9.5\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131. Bir haber sitesi hemen \u201cEnflasyon co\u015ftu\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 atm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>Ufukta \u00e7ift haneli enflasyon vard\u0131r. Ge\u00e7en Aral\u0131k\u2019ta enflasyon k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de olsa eksi gelmi\u015fti (y\u00fczde 0.3). Yani y\u00fczde 0.2 bile y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun y\u00fczde 10\u2019a ula\u015fmas\u0131na yetiyor. Ge\u00e7me olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksektir.<\/p>\n<p>Tahminlerime bakt\u0131m. G\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 bir s\u00fcrpriz yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde tek haneye yava\u015f iniyor. 2012\u2019nin ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ift hane civar\u0131nda ge\u00e7er. Hedeflenen y\u00fczde 5-6 d\u00fczeyine yakla\u015fmas\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Her g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn sakall\u0131&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ne oluyor? T\u00fcrkiye eski y\u00fcksek enflasyon g\u00fcnlerine geri mi d\u00f6n\u00fcyor? Enflasyonun y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde vatanda\u015f hemen huylan\u0131r. Hakl\u0131d\u0131r. K\u0131rk y\u0131l s\u00fcren y\u00fcksek enflasyon d\u00f6nemi toplumsal bellekte derin izler b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>O nedenle art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ge\u00e7ici, ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funu saptamak \u00f6nem kazan\u0131yor. \u201cHer g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn sakall\u0131 baban de\u011fildir\u201d denir. Uyarlarsak, fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 ille de gelecekte \u00f6yle devam edece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmez.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130yi bilinen \u00f6rnek dolayl\u0131 vergilerin artmas\u0131d\u0131r. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte \u00e7ok ya\u015fad\u0131k. \u0130stikrar paketi b\u00fcy\u00fck zamlar getirirdi. Ama\u00e7 maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131karak enflasyonu denetim alt\u0131na almakt\u0131. Yani enflasyon \u00f6nce y\u00fckselir sonra d\u00fc\u015ferdi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1423595255\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00f6viz kurunda d\u00fczeltme de ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bir yandan maliyetler \u00fczerinden fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 tetikler. Ayn\u0131 anda toplam talebi k\u0131sarak talep enflasyonu bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131r. Yine enflasyon \u00f6nce y\u00fckselir sonra d\u00fc\u015fer.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kiradan al haberi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Durum a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Vergi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve TL\u2019nin de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015fam maliyetini olumsuz etkiliyor. \u00d6nemli, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u0131radan vatanda\u015f\u0131 yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiriyor. Nominal gelirini bu oranda y\u00fckseltemeyen kesimlerin reel geliri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k enflasyonu kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde t\u0131rmand\u0131racak bir talep bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faretleri g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. Bu ama\u00e7la uzun s\u00fcredir kira kalemini beraberce izliyoruz. Orada bir hareket yok; y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 4.6\u2019ya tak\u0131l\u0131p kald\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1315093683\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/fotograf.gazetevatan.com\/newpics\/news\/051220112032012337077_3.jpg\" alt=\"\" align=\"right\" \/>May\u0131s 2007\u2019den bu yana y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE ve kira art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte yer al\u0131yor. Az dalgalanan e\u011fri kirad\u0131r. Art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2009 sonuna kadar T\u00dcFE\u2019den y\u00fcksek ama sonras\u0131nda alt\u0131na iniyor. \u0130ki y\u0131ld\u0131r d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ve yatay seyrediyor. Bilgilerinize&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kas\u0131m enflasyonu d\u00fcn T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u0130stanbul Ticaret Odas\u0131 \u00dccretli Ge\u00e7inme Endeksi uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f\u0131n piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde gelece\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcketici&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8524"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8524\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}