{"id":848,"date":"2011-06-04T09:47:53","date_gmt":"2011-06-04T06:47:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.net\/?p=848"},"modified":"2011-10-25T15:40:34","modified_gmt":"2011-10-25T12:40:34","slug":"tufe%e2%80%99-nin-gelisi-ufe%e2%80%99-den-belli-idi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/tufe%e2%80%99-nin-gelisi-ufe%e2%80%99-den-belli-idi\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00dcFE\u2019 nin geli\u015fi, \u00dcFE\u2019 den belli idi.. Kaz\u0131m \u00c7ilo\u011flu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Mart ay\u0131ndaki bir yaz\u0131da T\u00dcFE ve \u00dcFE aras\u0131ndaki farka dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015ftim. O yaz\u0131dan bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tekrar sunuyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1555664032\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u2018\u2019Biz bu a\u00e7\u0131klanan de\u011ferlerin akademik ve bilimsel y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc bir yana b\u0131rak\u0131p, \u00f6zelliklede T\u00dcFE ile ilgili a\u00e7\u0131klanan rakamsal de\u011ferlerin, al\u0131\u015f veri\u015flerimizle ba\u011fda\u015f\u0131p ba\u011fda\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na bir bakal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Bir y\u0131l \u00f6nce 4-5 TL civar\u0131nda sat\u0131lan x marka ve y gramaj\u0131nda paket bir \u00e7ay, \u015fu anda 7-9 TL fiyatla raflarda yer al\u0131yor. Bu y\u00fczde 75 ile 80 art\u0131\u015f demektir!<\/p>\n<p><strong>B\u0131rak\u0131n l\u00fcks ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131, t\u00fcketmek durumunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z \u00fcr\u00fcnleri bir s\u0131ralama yaparak y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131 ile k\u0131yaslad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda ayn\u0131 fiyat y\u00fckseli\u015flerini sizde g\u00f6receksiniz.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bu art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131na, ula\u015f\u0131m, e\u011fitim ve kira, \u0131s\u0131nma gibi zorunlu giderlerinizi de ilave etti\u011finizde, sizin T\u00dcFE ile a\u00e7\u0131klanan rakamlar\u0131n bir biri ile hi\u00e7 benze\u015fmedi\u011fini daha iyi g\u00f6receksiniz. <strong>Ayr\u0131ca kendi ayl\u0131k ya da y\u0131ll\u0131k gelir art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 gene ayn\u0131 sistemle hesaplar, buna da K\u00dcFE( Kendi \u00dccret Fiyat Endeksi) derseniz ve bu de\u011feri T\u00dcFE- KEFE=? Olarak, ayl\u0131k ve y\u0131ll\u0131k oranlar a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda uygularsan\u0131z, YKE( Y\u0131ll\u0131k Ki\u015fisel Enflasyon) daha iyi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f ve izlemi\u015f olursunuz. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer yandan T\u00dcFE k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve \u00dcFE ile aras\u0131nda bir u\u00e7urum olu\u015fmas\u0131 da ilgin\u00e7tir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki t\u00fcketiciler ya lokmalar\u0131n\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltt\u00fcler ya da elde ki k\u0131r\u0131nt\u0131larla idare etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar.\u00a0 Ama di\u011fer yandan yeni \u00fcr\u00fcnler daha pahal\u0131ya mal ediliyor. Bu da \u00dcFE de\u011ferlerine yans\u0131maya devam ediyor. \u00dcFE ile T\u00dcFE aras\u0131nda ki fark git gide daha da a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bu geli\u015fmeler \u00dcFE taraf\u0131n\u0131n ilk f\u0131rsatta bu maliyetleri t\u00fcketiciye yans\u0131taca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. T\u00fcketici taraf\u0131 ise hem daha \u00e7ok zorlan\u0131yor hem de \u00f6teledi\u011fi t\u00fcketim ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ilk f\u0131rsatta gidere bilmek i\u00e7in, gelirlerinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ki talep gerilimini en \u00fcst d\u00fczeye ta\u015f\u0131maya \u00e7abal\u0131yor!<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3642822710\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>Bu gerilim ve de\u011ferler genel se\u00e7imlere kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fe benzer. Sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kacak sonuca g\u00f6re fay hatlar\u0131 bu gerilimi ta\u015f\u0131yamayacak ve mutlaka bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ya\u015fanacakt\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bu b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131r\u0131lma, \u00dcretici ile \u00dcFE ya da T\u00fcketici ile T\u00dcFE den yana m\u0131 olur? Onu art\u0131k yeni iktidar belirleyecektir.\u2019\u2019 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bildi\u011finiz gibi T\u00dcFE oranlar\u0131 Ocak 2011 de 2.36, \u015eubat 1.72 Mart ise 1,22 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.\u00a0 Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde \u00dcFE ise 0,41, 0,72 ve 0,41 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Yani per\u015fembenin geli\u015fi \u00e7ar\u015fambadan belli idi! \u00dcretimden yans\u0131yan bu maliyet gene ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde k\u0131r\u0131lma yaparak t\u00fcketime yans\u0131m\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2336628084\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak, t\u00fcketimi k\u0131sarak ya\u015fam\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmenin bir s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 vard\u0131r. Buna en g\u00fczel rakamsal \u00f6rnek ise akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131 ile araba sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki ilgin\u00e7 rakamsal oranlard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>2000 ile 2010 y\u0131l\u0131 aras\u0131nda toplam ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde <strong>81.44<\/strong> oran\u0131nda artarken, benzin, motorin ve oto gaz toplam t\u00fcketiminde sadece y\u00fczde <strong>49,79 <\/strong>bir art\u0131\u015f olabilmi\u015f! \u0130lgin\u00e7 de\u011fil mi?\u00a0 <strong>Acaba \u00e7ift (duble) yollar, alt, \u00fcst ge\u00e7itler mi bu t\u00fcketimi azatl\u0131, yoksa teknolojide ki geli\u015fmeler mi? Ya da t\u00fcketici daha az kilometre mi yap\u0131yor?<\/strong> Bu enflasyonist bask\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00fcn gelece\u011fi mutlaka belli idi. Ama se\u00e7imlere kadar tam bir ekonomik markajla kurlar\u0131 ve faizi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsalar da, \u00dcFE yo\u011fun birikiminin ta\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6nlenemedi ve baraj kapaklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lmak zorunda kal\u0131n\u0131nca T\u00dcFE\u2019 de haliyle buna an\u0131nda cevap verdi.<\/p>\n<p>Bunun b\u00f6yle olaca\u011f\u0131 birde banka mevduat faizlerinden aylar \u00f6nce belli olmu\u015ftu. Bir\u00e7ok T\u00fcrk ama sahibi yabanc\u0131 olan bankalar daha \u00f6nceden, s\u0131radan mevduat sahiplerine ve en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck birikimlerine, 9,50 br\u00fct, 0,8075 net faiz vermeye ve bunu da reklamlarla alenen duyurmu\u015flard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclke ekonomileri \u00fcretime dayal\u0131 istihdam yaratmadan, sadece finansal etkinliklerle ekonomi \u00e7arklar\u0131n\u0131 kurarak \u00e7evirmeye kalkarlarsa zembere\u011fin bir anda bo\u015falmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6nleyemezler.<\/p>\n<p>As\u0131l \u015fimdi ve bundan sonra ki d\u00f6nemlerde bu zembere\u011fin kime kurdurulaca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Bunu da elbette 12 Haziran sand\u0131k sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 belirleyecektir!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kaz\u0131m \u00c7\u0130LO\u011eLU<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Mart ay\u0131ndaki bir yaz\u0131da T\u00dcFE ve \u00dcFE aras\u0131ndaki farka dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015ftim. O yaz\u0131dan bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tekrar sunuyorum. \u2018\u2019Biz bu a\u00e7\u0131klanan de\u011ferlerin akademik ve&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":4590,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=848"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/848\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4590"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=848"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=848"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=848"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}