{"id":8210,"date":"2011-11-28T09:52:58","date_gmt":"2011-11-28T06:52:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=8210"},"modified":"2011-11-28T09:53:08","modified_gmt":"2011-11-28T06:53:08","slug":"arka-plan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/arka-plan\/","title":{"rendered":"Arka Plan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde sorunlar\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve dengesizliklerin b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ger\u00e7e\u011fini g\u00f6rmezden gelip, beklentileri y\u00f6nlendirerek g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmak art\u0131k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olam\u0131yor. G\u00fcvensizli\u011fin ve riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma e\u011filiminin etki alan\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmesi, istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6nlenemiyor. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmayan e\u011filimlerde \u0131srar etmenin dayan\u0131lmaz a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 insanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kimyas\u0131n\u0131 dei\u015ftiriyor. On y\u0131llar boyu, y\u00f6nlendirilen b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fun ya\u015fam ko\u015fullar\u0131ndaki olumsuzla\u015fman\u0131n etkisi gecikmeli olarak taksitler halinde \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze geldik\u00e7e, sars\u0131nt\u0131larla birlikte ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tepkiler b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. \u00c7ok uzun bir s\u00fcredir devam eden a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131 uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131n, gizleyerek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine izin verdi\u011fi sorunlar kaotik bir ortam yarat\u0131yor. Her gelen y\u0131l\u0131n gideni aratmas\u0131, son a\u015famada etkili ve yetkili kesimleri de \u00e7aresizle\u015ftiriyor. \u00c7ok bilid\u011fini ve kendilerinin herkesten \u00fcst\u00fcn oldu\u011funu sananlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck hatalar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rmaya devam ediyor. Y\u0131kman\u0131n kolay, yeni bir d\u00fczen kurman\u0131n ise \u00e7ok zor ve sanc\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fi ya\u015fanmay\u0131 bekliyor&#8230;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-481641786\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Son haftalarda finansal piyasa cephesinde ya\u015fanan olumsuzluklar\u0131 tek bir sebebe ba\u011flamak veya etkenlerden birini \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kararak ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olam\u0131yor. Kredi de\u011ferlendirme \u015firketlerinin fazla mesai yaparak notlar\u0131 k\u0131rmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 tepkiseldir ve kaosun sebebi de\u011fildir. Euro B\u00f6lgesi&#8217;nde mali entegrasyona gidilmesi veya Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n kesenin a\u011fz\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7mas\u0131 sorunlar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zecek yakla\u015f\u0131m olamaz; sadece k\u0131sa vadeli bir ate\u015fken olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayarak birilerine kendilerini kurtarmalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan f\u0131rsat sunabilir, ekonomik daralma y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ana e\u011filimi kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak terse \u00e7eviremez. B\u00f6lgede yarat\u0131lan katma de\u011fer k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve yeni bir uzmanla\u015fma yarat\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece ne yap\u0131l\u0131r ise yap\u0131ls\u0131n ya\u015fam ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fmas\u0131 ve istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r. Y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyli standartlara dayal\u0131 demokrasi AB&#8217;nin bu a\u00e7maza d\u00fc\u015fmesini \u00f6nleyememi\u015ftir. Kuzey Afrika ve Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n da ilac\u0131 olamayacakt\u0131r. Varl\u0131k de\u011ferlerindeki balonla\u015fma tehlikelidir, fakat bu\u011fday\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcnen k\u0131sm\u0131d\u0131r, esas istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k yaratan balonla\u015fma yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda yo\u011funla\u015fma e\u011filimidir ve bu kesimlerin tepkisel bir tav\u0131rla politize olmas\u0131 k\u00fcreselle\u015fme denilen kurals\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilen en \u00f6nemli sonucu niteli\u011findedir. Gerek parasal geni\u015fleme, gerekse mali s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki e\u011filimler yoksulla\u015fma e\u011filimini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 beslemektedir. Bu nedenle beklentileri y\u00f6nlendirerek g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarma \u00e7abalar\u0131 art\u0131k sonu\u00e7suz kalmakta, g\u00fcven bunal\u0131m\u0131 derinle\u015fir iken riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7lenmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc kayb\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak gerek bireysel, gerekse kurumsal bazda ya\u015fanan gelir azalmas\u0131 hem \u00f6demeler sistemini, hem de kamu kesimlerini olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkilemektedir. Parasal geni\u015fleme yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 ile mali s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma ise gelir azalmas\u0131 yolu ile ekonomik daralmay\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek niteliktedir. Bu ko\u015fullarda ne \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn, ne de kamu kesimi ve mali sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn durumunun kademeli olarak daha k\u00f6t\u00fcye gitmesi engellenemez. Sadece belli bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7ni eksik veya yanl\u0131\u015f bilgilendirmeye ba\u011fl\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirme ile kal\u0131c\u0131 olamayaca\u011f\u0131 bilinen k\u0131sa vadeli bir illuzyon yarat\u0131labilir. Her kesimin di\u011ferlerinden bekledi\u011fi anlay\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 tasar\u0131mlarda evdeki hesaplar \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131ya uymaz, uyamaz&#8230; D\u00fcnya ekonomisi uzun vadeli bir daralma d\u00f6nemine girmi\u015ftir ve ger\u00e7eklerle y\u00fczle\u015fme zaman\u0131 gelmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Geni\u015f kesimlerin beklentilerini kitle ileti\u015fim ara\u00e7lar\u0131 yolu ile y\u00f6nlendirerek g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmak e\u011filimi geride kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve g\u00fcven bunal\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015flemesi tesad\u00fcf ya da beceriksizlik de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0131s\u0131r&#8217;da son bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde ya\u015fananlar ilgin\u00e7tir; insanlar\u0131n tepkisi a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fan ya\u015fam ko\u015fullar\u0131nad\u0131r, y\u00f6netim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi veya demokratik y\u00f6nelim bu s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 de\u011fil gidermek a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nleyememektedir. Birilerinni kendi hesaplar\u0131na duruma daha farkl\u0131 g\u00f6stererek y\u00f6nlendirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 mevcut ko\u015fullarda normal say\u0131labilir, fakat istikrar\u0131 geri getiremeyecektir. B\u00fcy\u00fck ve sanc\u0131l\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ya\u015fanmaktad\u0131r, ne geli\u015fmeleri y\u00f6nlendirenler ne de tepkisel tav\u0131r sergileyen geni\u015f kitleler temel ger\u00e7eklerin pek fark\u0131nda de\u011fildir. Orada k\u00fcresel olumsuzluklar pek dikkate al\u0131nmaz iken T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ise tam aksine abart\u0131lmakta ve i\u00e7 sorunlar b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ihmal edilmektedir. Bu ve benzeri duygusall\u0131klar gelecekte s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 yaratacak hatalar\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 kolayla\u015ft\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>1995 y\u0131l sonras\u0131nda ekonomiler ile finansal piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, geli\u015fmelere y\u00f6nlendirenlerin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 ve onlar\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc ile bak\u0131lmas\u0131, sorunlar\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck iken \u00e7\u00f6zmek yerine k\u0131sa vadede g\u00fcn\u00fcn kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131na odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi unsurlar bug\u00fcnk\u00fc kaotik ortam\u0131n temel sebeplerinden baz\u0131lar\u0131 olarak dikkat \u00e7ekmektedir. Son y\u0131llarda ise ekonomilerde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olan fakat farkl\u0131 g\u00f6sterilen y\u00f6n\u00fcn de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a finansal piyasalara olan g\u00fcvensizlik b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, ger\u00e7ekler a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ger\u00e7eklerin hazmedilebilri olmay\u0131\u015f\u0131, g\u00fcvensizli\u011fi ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmeyi getirmi\u015f, istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k dalga dalga b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. K\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde bir mucize olmas\u0131 ve s\u00fcratle her \u015feyin d\u00fczelmesi olas\u0131 de\u011fildir. Ne ektiysek onu bi\u00e7ece\u011fiz ve her \u015fey de\u011fi\u015fecek&#8230; Hi\u00e7bir \u015fey eskisi gibi olamayacak&#8230; Burada ifade etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z ekonomi ve finansal piyasa cephesindeki g\u00f6r\u00fcnen ve g\u00f6r\u00fcnmeyen rakamlar\u0131n arka plan\u0131 niteli\u011findedir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde sorunlar\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve dengesizliklerin b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ger\u00e7e\u011fini g\u00f6rmezden gelip, beklentileri y\u00f6nlendirerek g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmak art\u0131k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olam\u0131yor. G\u00fcvensizli\u011fin ve riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma e\u011filiminin etki alan\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmesi,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":931,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8210\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}