{"id":8091,"date":"2011-11-24T16:50:47","date_gmt":"2011-11-24T13:50:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=8091"},"modified":"2011-11-24T17:47:13","modified_gmt":"2011-11-24T14:47:13","slug":"seans-icinden-24-kasim-2011","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-icinden-24-kasim-2011\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u0130\u00e7inden &#8211; 24 Kas\u0131m 2011"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>16:50<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3705879933\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/endeks24kasim.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8113\" title=\"endeks24kasim\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/endeks24kasim.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"464\" height=\"472\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/endeks24kasim.png 464w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/endeks24kasim-294x300.png 294w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 464px) 100vw, 464px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Endeks az \u00f6nce 50.650 seviyesinin alt\u0131na geldi. D\u0131\u015f piyasalarda yeniden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 hakim. Bu durumda 48-50 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok artt\u0131. Teknik dinmaikler yeniden\u00a0\u00e7ok olumsuza d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u00a0Sat\u0131\u015flar daha da sertle\u015febilir. Bu nedenle al\u0131nan k\u0131sma ekleme yapmak i\u00e7in, \u00a0en az\u0131ndan \u00e7ift dip olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemekte fayda var. \u015eu an d\u0131\u015f d\u00fcnya hakikaten de \u00e7ok bozuk ve bu bozulmay\u0131 geri \u00e7evirecek temel bir beklenti de yok. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Merkozy-Monti\u00a0 (MERKOZONTI &#8211; Roubinin bir deyimdir) g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinden bir karar veya piyasalar\u0131 rahatlatacak bir\u015fey \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131. Herhalde \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir banka batmadan bunlar\u0131n akl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na gelmeyecek. Her an f\u0131rt\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kma ola\u0131sl\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha da g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Dow, DAX, CAC ve S&amp;P500 endekslerinin teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmleri bug\u00fcnk\u00fc hareketler sonras\u0131nda yeni resim olu\u015fturdular ve bu resimde hi\u00e7 i\u015f yok. Yani ilk seans ile ikinci seans aras\u0131nda \u00e7ok bariz farkl\u0131l\u0131klar var.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar yeniden 1.87&#8217;ye dayand\u0131. Durumlar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k oldu\u011fu i\u00e7innakit k\u0131s\u0131m beklemede\u00a0 tutulmal\u0131. 57 binden beri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sizleri uyar\u0131yordum. 51.500&#8217;de\u00a0 bir al\u0131m hamlesi dennilmesini \u00f6nerdim ve stop-loss&#8217;la sonu\u00e7land\u0131. \u015eu an art\u0131k, nakit bulundurarak \u00a0izlemede kalmakta fayda var.<\/p>\n<p>Sa\u011fl\u0131cakla kal\u0131n\u0131z&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>12:25<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn mail atarak \u00f6\u011fretmenler g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc kutlayan herkese \u00e7ok te\u015fekk\u00fcr ederim. \u00a0Piyasalara gelince, d\u00fcnk\u00fc FITCH haberi sonras\u0131nda bizim piyasalar biraz daha sat\u0131\u015f yeyince endeks 51.250&#8217;nin alt\u0131na geldi ve en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 50.680 seviyeleri g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. 51.200&#8217;e stop koymu\u015ftuk. Bu a\u015famada stop yap\u0131lmal\u0131yd\u0131 ama birka\u00e7 mail ald\u0131m. \u00d6nceki g\u00fcn endeks 51.500&#8217;de iken al\u0131m \u00f6nerdi\u011fimde ak\u015fama do\u011fru endeks 52.120 kapanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve bu arada kar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcp satanlar da olmu\u015f. Fakat zaten risk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fc. yani 51.700 ortalamadan al\u0131p 51.200&#8217;den satt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda 500 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da zarar realize edilmi\u015f oldu. D\u00fcn verdi\u011fim yorumda, 48-50 bine kadar bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 3-5 haftal\u0131k al\u0131m yap\u0131labilece\u011fini de belirtmi\u015ftim. O stratejiyi uygulayanlar varsa, d\u00fcnk\u00fc yorumumu tekrar okuyabilirler. Bu durumda \u015fu an toplam paran\u0131n y\u00fczde 30&#8217;uyla al\u0131m yap\u0131labilir ve kalan y\u00fczde 70&#8217;ini de yeni d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde al\u0131m yaparak kullanabilirler. E\u011fer d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olmaz da 52.200 yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilirse y\u00fczde 30 daha al\u0131m yap\u0131l\u0131r. E\u011fer 52 bin ge\u00e7ildikten sonra yeniden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olursa ikili dip olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok artaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, o seviyede kalan y\u00fczde 20 ve daha da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olursa kalan y\u00fczde 20 \u015feklinde pozisyon izlenerek 3-5 hafta beklenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Orta ve uzun vadede hisseye yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak isteyenler bence beklesinler. Her ay belirli bir miktar al\u0131m yapmak isteyenler ise, \u00e7ok sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011fu g\u00fcnlerde bu al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yapabilirler. Yani herkes satarken alabilirler. 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde endeksin dibi 48 bindir demeyi yanl\u0131\u015f buluyorum. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sorunlar \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck ama \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler \u00e7ok c\u0131l\u0131z. Bu y\u00fczden orta ve uzun vadeli olarak hala al\u0131m \u00f6nermiyorum. Endeksin F\/K ve PD\/DD oranlar\u0131 en az y\u00fczde 25 daha gerilerse orta ve uzun vadeli al\u0131m i\u00e7in \u00e7ok uygun seviyeler olu\u015facakt\u0131r. Ama 2012&#8217;de \u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 3&#8217;e veya alt\u0131na gerileyebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in, Karlar da d\u00fc\u015fecektir ve bu da F\/K&#8217;lar\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. Yani fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 20-25 daha d\u00fc\u015fmesi F\/K oranlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00a0y\u00fczde 20-25 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmeyebilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fc\u015fen karlar F\/K oranlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesini engelleyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Dolarda 1.8658 seviyesini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Dalgalanma band\u0131 olarak 1.8250 ile 1.87 seviyesini vermeye devam ediyorum. Orta ve uzun vadede ise dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc yukar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-8926324\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bir sonraki yorum saat 16:30&#8217;da verilecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>16:50 Endeks az \u00f6nce 50.650 seviyesinin alt\u0131na geldi. D\u0131\u015f piyasalarda yeniden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 hakim. Bu durumda 48-50 bin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok artt\u0131. Teknik dinmaikler&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":6025,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8091","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8091","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8091"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8091\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}