{"id":7847,"date":"2011-11-18T11:52:46","date_gmt":"2011-11-18T08:52:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=7847"},"modified":"2011-11-18T11:52:53","modified_gmt":"2011-11-18T08:52:53","slug":"var-misin-yok-musun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/var-misin-yok-musun\/","title":{"rendered":"Var m\u0131s\u0131n, Yok musun?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TV\u2019deki yar\u0131\u015fma gibi oldu finansal piyasalar. Her an bir karar vermek zorundas\u0131n. \u2018Tamam m\u0131, devam m\u0131?\u2019 Bug\u00fcnler ayr\u0131 bir \u00f6neme sahip. Zira bir\u00e7ok\u00a0<span><strong>piyasa<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0teknik olarak karar noktas\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Bir yandan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendleri ile di\u011fer yandan k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f trendleri aras\u0131nda olu\u015fan \u201c\u00fc\u00e7genlerde\u201d u\u00e7 noktalara yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-225950099\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ba\u015fta DAX olmak \u00fczere\u00a0<span><strong>Avrupa<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0borsalar\u0131n\u0131n bir \u00e7o\u011fu, S&amp;P 500 ve bizi daha fazla ilgilendiren \u0130MKB 100 Endeksi\u2019nde karar nokalar\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Adeta \u2018Var m\u0131s\u0131n, yok musun?\u2019 an\u0131 gibi bir \u015fey bu.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcne kadar\u00a0<span><strong>\u0130MKB<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0g\u00fcn\u00fc, \u201cs\u0131f\u0131r\u201d de\u011fi\u015fimle kapatarak, d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere direniyordu. Adeta d\u0131\u015far\u0131daki hava biraz olumluya d\u00f6nse kopup gidecek bir havas\u0131 vard\u0131. Peki bunu ba\u015farabildi mi? D\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.50\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bunu ba\u015faramad\u0131 izlenimi yaratsa da hen\u00fcz daha d\u00fcn 55.050\u2019den ge\u00e7en k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f olmamas\u0131 \u0130MKB\u2019nin \u201cdirencini\u201d g\u00f6steriyor! Ancak yukar\u0131da da belirtti\u011fim \u00fczere karar an\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in 55.125\u2019ten ge\u00e7en \u201cdestek\u201d seviyesi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece \u0130MKB \u201cdipten kurtulma \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Diyelim ki \u0130MKB desteklerinden g\u00fc\u00e7 buldu\u00a0<span><strong>ve<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0toparland\u0131, bu durumda yukar\u0131daki kritik e\u015fikler 57.175 ve ard\u0131ndan da 58.200 seviyelerinde. Yok e\u011fer destekler tutmad\u0131. Bu durumda ilk hedef 53.900 seviyeleri ki \u015fimdilik kimse bunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek bile istemiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Hem dolar\/TL kurlar\u0131 hem de 10.68 bile\u015fik seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00f6sterge bono faizleri \u0130MKB\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015f fikrini\u00a0<span><strong>\u00e7ok<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0da destekler nitelikte de\u011fil. Her ne kadar hem \u0130MKB hem de son a\u00e7\u0131klanan verileri beklentilerden \u201ciyi gelmi\u015f olarak alg\u0131lanan\u201d ABD endekslerinin Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 ve y\u0131l sonu rallileri i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 destekler nitelite olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Yine de bu \u201csuni\u201d \u00e7abalar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmas\u0131 hayli zor! S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemezse \u0130MKB\u2019de ne olaca\u011f\u0131na de\u011finmi\u015ftim. Peki faiz cephesinde ne olur dersiniz? Orada da 10.75 bile\u015fik seviyesi hedefi var ki, bu seviye son ihaleden al\u0131n\u0131n bonolar\u0131n dayanabilece\u011fi son \u201cba\u015faba\u015f\u201d seviyesi. Bu seviyenin \u201c\u00f6tesine\u201d ge\u00e7ilmesi bir \u00e7ok alg\u0131lamay\u0131 \u201cberbat\u201d edecektir!<\/p>\n<p>Kur mu dediniz? Orada parite belirleyici! Euro\/dolar cephesinde 1.3380 seviyesi \u00f6nemli. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmedik\u00e7e dolar\/TL kurlar\u0131nda sert y\u00fckseli\u015fler olmayacakt\u0131r. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u2018aba ard\u0131na saklad\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019 sopa o kadar \u201cg\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr\u201d durumda ki kimse Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan ayr\u0131 olarak al\u0131p ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 gidip bir i\u015f yapamaz!<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.742 dolar\/ons seviyesinin alt\u0131na inmi\u015f olmas\u0131 ve \u015fimdi de 1.700 dolar\/ons (d\u00fcz) seviyesini hedeflemesi, euro\/dolar\u2019daki 1.3380 seviyelerini \u201c\u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor\u201d. Hal b\u00f6yle olunca da varl\u0131k piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n geneline yay\u0131lan bir sat\u0131\u015f ve ard\u0131ndan da \u201c\u00fc\u00e7genlerin\u201d a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7ok da \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2976996302\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><center>***<\/center>Bug\u00fcn finansal piyasalardaki 25. y\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 kutluyorum. D\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131mda da belirtti\u011fim gibi \u201cefsanevi bir yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131\u201d olamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m i\u00e7in \u00fczg\u00fcn\u00fcm. Yine de sevdi\u011fim bir i\u015fi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m i\u00e7in de \u201cyorulmuyorum\u201d!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TV\u2019deki yar\u0131\u015fma gibi oldu finansal piyasalar. Her an bir karar vermek zorundas\u0131n. \u2018Tamam m\u0131, devam m\u0131?\u2019 Bug\u00fcnler ayr\u0131 bir \u00f6neme sahip. Zira bir\u00e7ok\u00a0piyasa\u00a0teknik olarak karar&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7847"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7847\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}