{"id":7787,"date":"2011-11-17T10:56:24","date_gmt":"2011-11-17T07:56:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=7787"},"modified":"2011-11-17T10:56:32","modified_gmt":"2011-11-17T07:56:32","slug":"ucuncu-ceyrekte-sanayi-uretimi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ucuncu-ceyrekte-sanayi-uretimi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00c7eyrekte Sanayi \u00dcretimi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Euro krizi Papandreu\u2019nun ard\u0131ndan Berlusconi\u2019nin de ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yedi. Siyasi liderin teknokrat y\u00f6netici ile de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirir mi? Emin de\u011filim. Yunanistan ve \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n tahditleri i\u00e7eride ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da siyasettir. Teknik de\u011fildir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3362636299\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Almanya\u2019n\u0131n bir raundu daha ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. Bor\u00e7lu \u00fclkelere a\u011f\u0131r bir bedel \u00f6detme inat ve kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Olay\u0131 iyi \u00f6zetleyen bir \u00f6zdeyi\u015fi bu arada \u00f6\u011frendim: \u201cBir Alman\u2019la daima konu\u015fabilirsin ama fazla bir \u015fey anlatamazs\u0131n.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Euro b\u00f6lgesi banka sisteminin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmek zorunda kalmas\u0131 kaynak sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkeleri sarsacakt\u0131r. Akla hemen Do\u011fu Avrupa ve T\u00fcrkiye geliyor. D\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n finansman\u0131nda zorlanacaklar. Ani bir sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u015fleri iyice kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Kurban Bayram\u0131 ve \u0130nsani Geli\u015fme Endeksi derken i\u00e7eride a\u00e7\u0131klanan verileri ihmal ettik. Sanayi \u00fcretimi, \u00f6demeler dengesi ve istihdam i\u00e7in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ekim b\u00fct\u00e7esi yay\u0131nland\u0131. Bug\u00fcn sanayi \u00fcretimine bak\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasa beklentisinin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Toplam sanayi \u00fcretimimin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 6 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Y\u00fczde 12 geldi. \u0130malat sanayiinde ise art\u0131\u015f daha da y\u00fcksek, y\u00fczde 12,8 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama art\u0131\u015fa bakal\u0131m. Son on iki ay ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki on iki ay ortalamas\u0131 ile b\u00f6l\u00fcyoruz. A\u011fustos 2010\u2019dan bu yana \u00e7ift haneli seyrediyor. Eyl\u00fclde toptan sanayide y\u00fczde 10,3, imalat sanayiinde y\u00fczde 11,2 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Sanayi \u00fcretimi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndan etkileniyor. Bu y\u0131l \u015eeker Bayram\u0131 eyl\u00fclden a\u011fustosa kayd\u0131. D\u00fczeltince art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n buradan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Mevsim etkisi de temizlenince a\u011fustosa k\u0131yasla toplam sanayinin y\u00fczde 1.5, imalat sanayiinin y\u00fczde 1,9 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-537734616\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olan, takvim ve mevsim etkisi d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f endeksin a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde 2,6 (imalat sanayiinde y\u00fczde 2,3) gerilemesi idi. O zaman Ramazan\u2019\u0131n yaz tatili ile \u00e7ak\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na ba\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Eyl\u00fcl sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 bunu do\u011fruluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Nas\u0131l tefsir edece\u011fiz? Sanayi \u00fcretimi art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131nda yumu\u015fak bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f vard\u0131r. Olumlu bir geli\u015fmedir. \u0130ktisat politikas\u0131 ama\u00e7lar\u0131 ile uyumludur. Son \u00e7eyrekte de bu e\u011filim devam eder mi? Yoksa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sertle\u015fir mi? G\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>B\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00e7\u0131kar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130malat sanayii \u00fcretimi ile milli gelir aras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ili\u015fki vard\u0131r. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile aral\u0131k sonunda yay\u0131nlanacak \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bir fikir sahibi oluyoruz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-415442527\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte imalat sanayii \u00fcretimi ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 7,5 artt\u0131. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 7,9 olmu\u015ftu. Biraz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var ama gene de y\u00fcksek bir art\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 7\u2019nin \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Daha kolay izlenmesi i\u00e7in son iki y\u0131l\u0131n say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 grafikte \u00f6zetledim. S\u00fctunlar milli gelirin, \u00e7izgi ise imalat sanayii \u00fcretiminin bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Euro krizi Papandreu\u2019nun ard\u0131ndan Berlusconi\u2019nin de ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yedi. Siyasi liderin teknokrat y\u00f6netici ile de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirir mi? Emin de\u011filim. Yunanistan ve \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n tahditleri i\u00e7eride ve&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7787\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}