{"id":7602,"date":"2011-11-12T13:13:43","date_gmt":"2011-11-12T10:13:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=7602"},"modified":"2011-11-12T13:13:54","modified_gmt":"2011-11-12T10:13:54","slug":"insani-gelisme-endeksi-2011-devam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/insani-gelisme-endeksi-2011-devam\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130nsani Geli\u015fme Endeksi 2011 (devam)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en yaz\u0131da Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Kalk\u0131nma Program\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan hesaplanan \u0130nsani Geli\u015fme Endeksi\u2019nin (\u0130GE) 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na bakt\u0131k. 187 \u00fclkeyi kaps\u0131yor.\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>\u0130ki<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0ana kalemden olu\u015fuyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-862520400\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Biri ekonominin verimlili\u011fini \u00f6l\u00e7en ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na milli gelirdir. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>gibi<\/strong><\/span>, TL dolara cari kurdan \u00e7evrilmiyor. Temsili mal-hizmet sepetini e\u015fitleyen sat\u0131nalma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesi (SGP) kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Sabit 2005 y\u0131l\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 baz al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011feri toplumsal refah\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcyor. \u201cGelir-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 insani geli\u015fme endeksi\u201d (GD-\u0130GE) biri sa\u011fl\u0131k, ikisi e\u011fitimden, \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6stergeyi yans\u0131t\u0131yor: Do\u011fumda\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>ya\u015fam<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0beklentisi, yeti\u015fkin n\u00fcfusun ortalama e\u011fitim s\u00fcresi ve \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n beklenen e\u011fitim s\u00fcresi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>D\u00f6viz kurunun etkisi<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong><\/span>\u2019de ikisi aras\u0131ndaki u\u00e7urum hemen g\u00f6ze \u00e7arp\u0131yor. Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda 67\u2019nci, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k GD-\u0130GE s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda 112\u2019nci \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Fark\u0131n nedenleri \u00fczerinde durmak istiyorum.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6yle durumlarda akl\u0131ma ilk gelen \u00f6l\u00e7me hatalar\u0131 ihtimaline bakmakt\u0131r. GD-\u0130GE ile ba\u015flayal\u0131m. \u00dc\u00e7 g\u00f6stergenin de \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesi kolayd\u0131r. T\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde ayn\u0131 y\u00f6ntem kullan\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de sorun \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 i\u00e7in\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>bir<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0neden yoktur.<\/p>\n<p>Ya ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na milli gelir? TL cinsinden milli gelirin do\u011fru hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul ediyorum. Son milli gelir serileri ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i duruyor. En az\u0131ndan di\u011fer \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla sistematik bir hata g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3570956020\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>San\u0131r\u0131m tahmin ettiniz; ayn\u0131 \u015feyi d\u00f6viz kuru i\u00e7in s\u00f6yleyemiyorum. Cari kur yerine SGP kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 kurla ilgili sorunlardan bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcyor. Ama bizim a\u00e7\u0131m\u0131zdan \u00f6nemli bir soruna \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getiremiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Nedir o sorun? TL\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferli olmas\u0131 halinde i\u00e7eride reel gelirler \u015fi\u015fiyor. Yani ayn\u0131 TL gelirle fiilen daha fazla ithal mal\u0131 sat\u0131n almak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oluyor. Bu da SGP ile \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelirin daha y\u00fcksek \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 sonucunu do\u011furuyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130lgin\u00e7 \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za gene reel kur sorunu geldi. \u00d6rne\u011fin daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa olanak sa\u011flayacak kur d\u00fczeyinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri de daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kacak. Yani T\u00fcrkiye gelir s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda 67 yerine belki 77, belki 87\u2019nci s\u0131raya gerileyecek.<\/p>\n<p>BigMac d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlayal\u0131m. Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelire g\u00f6re d\u00fczeltince, TL y\u00fczde 50 de\u011ferli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu. Kaba bir hesap yapt\u0131m. Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelirde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi 15-20 s\u0131ra geriye atmaya yetiyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3314182456\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>Refah\u0131n da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer sorun, \u00fcretim d\u00fczeyi ile refah g\u00f6stergeleri aras\u0131nda mekanik bir ili\u015fki olmamas\u0131d\u0131r. Araya toplumsal tercihler girer. Siyasi kararlara yans\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 \u00fcretim ve gelir d\u00fczeyinde farkl\u0131 refah da\u011f\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131 olu\u015fur.<\/p>\n<p>GD-\u0130GE iki alana bak\u0131yor: Sa\u011fl\u0131k ve e\u011fitim. Yani \u00fclkelerin bu alanlardaki \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Vatanda\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k ve e\u011fitimine \u00f6nem veren \u00fclkeler s\u0131ralamada y\u00fckseliyor. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketimi tercih eden \u00fclkeler ise geride kal\u0131yor. \u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 dili ile s\u00f6ylersek, \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimle sosyal refah harcamalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki toplumsal tercihten etkileniyor.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin nisbi yerini \u00e7ok iyi \u00f6zetleyen bir \u00f6rnekle bitirelim. \u0130GE s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda \u00dcrd\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7 alt\u0131m\u0131zda (95\u2019inci) yer al\u0131yor. Halbuki ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yar\u0131s\u0131na ula\u015fm\u0131yor (5 bin 300 dolar). Bence i\u015fin \u00f6z\u00fc budur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en yaz\u0131da Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Kalk\u0131nma Program\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan hesaplanan \u0130nsani Geli\u015fme Endeksi\u2019nin (\u0130GE) 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na bakt\u0131k. 187 \u00fclkeyi kaps\u0131yor.\u00a0\u0130ki\u00a0ana kalemden olu\u015fuyor. Biri ekonominin verimlili\u011fini \u00f6l\u00e7en&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7602"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7602\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}