{"id":7104,"date":"2011-10-28T08:38:18","date_gmt":"2011-10-28T05:38:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=7104"},"modified":"2011-10-28T08:38:34","modified_gmt":"2011-10-28T05:38:34","slug":"99dan-beri-bir-arpa-boyu-yol-gitmisiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/99dan-beri-bir-arpa-boyu-yol-gitmisiz\/","title":{"rendered":"99&#8217;dan beri bir arpa boyu yol gitmi\u015fiz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Van depremi g\u00f6sterdi ki, T\u00fcrkiye h\u00e2l\u00e2 geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler kategorisinden \u00e7\u0131kamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3646665154\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00dclkeler ikiye ayr\u0131l\u0131r: Organizasyon kapasitesi geli\u015fmi\u015f olanlar ve di\u011ferleri. \u0130lk gruptakilere geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler diyoruz. \u0130kinci gruptakilere ise geli\u015fmekte olan. Van depremi g\u00f6sterdi ki, T\u00fcrkiye h\u00e2l\u00e2 ikinci grupta. 1999\u2019da Marmara depreminden 2011 Van depremine memleketin organizasyon kapasitesinde belirgin bir geli\u015fme g\u00f6zlenmemektedir. En az\u0131ndan benim Van depremi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerimden \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131m sonu\u00e7 budur. Deprem hepimizi \u00fczd\u00fc ama \u00fcz\u00fcnt\u00fc rasyonel de\u011ferlendirme kabiliyetimizi kald\u0131rmamal\u0131. \u00d6nce \u00fc\u00e7 tespit yapay\u0131m, sonra yukar\u0131daki h\u00fck\u00fcm c\u00fcmlesine nas\u0131l vard\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayay\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130lk tespit \u015fudur: K\u0131z\u0131lay\u2019\u0131n y\u0131k\u0131lan binalarda oturanlar\u0131n bar\u0131nma sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, hasarl\u0131 binalarda ya\u015fayanlar\u0131n da bar\u0131nak ihtiyac\u0131 olabilece\u011fini ak\u0131l etmemi\u015f olmas\u0131 g\u00f6rev ihmalidir. \u201c120 bin \u00e7ad\u0131r gerekiyor. 30 bini sa\u011fland\u0131\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131 burada yatmaktad\u0131r. K\u0131z\u0131lay Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201c\u00c7ad\u0131rla afet y\u00f6netemezsiniz\u201d laf\u0131n\u0131 ise neresinden al\u0131p de\u011ferlendirmek gerekti\u011fini do\u011frusu anlamad\u0131m. Bu edebi a\u00e7\u0131klama olsa olsa, T\u00fcrkiye gibi d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli deprem ku\u015faklar\u0131ndan birinin \u00fczerinde oturan bir \u00fclkenin acil yard\u0131m te\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n deprem hadisesi \u00fczerinde on be\u015f dakika d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmemi\u015f oldu\u011funa delil. Geleyim ikinci tespite: Van\u2019daki evlerden yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 9\u2019u zorunlu deprem sigortas\u0131 yapt\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buradan \u00e7\u0131kacak sonu\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r: Memleketin yaln\u0131zca acil yard\u0131m te\u015fkilat\u0131 de\u011fil, milletin kendisi de deprem hadisesi \u00fczerinde zihinsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm s\u00fcrecinden h\u00e2l\u00e2 ge\u00e7mi\u015f de\u011fildir. Sigortan\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131ndan anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar\u0131yla bir idari tedbir de al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f de\u011fildir. Kurals\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kural olmas\u0131na y\u00f6neticilerimiz taraf\u0131ndan g\u00f6z yumulmu\u015ftur. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc tespit ise do\u011frudan hasarl\u0131 binalarla alakal\u0131d\u0131r. Birincisi, kamu ihaleleri vas\u0131tas\u0131yla yapt\u0131r\u0131lan binalar depremden h\u00e2l\u00e2 en \u00e7ok hasar alanlard\u0131r. Marmara depreminden sonra \u201cbu son olsun\u201d denilen daha son olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130kincisi, kamu veya \u00f6zel hasar g\u00f6ren binalara oturma ruhsatlar\u0131n\u0131 belediyeler vermektedir. Ortada idari zafiyet oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Yolsuzluk alg\u0131 anketlerinde en son s\u0131ray\u0131 \u201cbelediyelerin imar i\u015fleri\u201dnin al\u0131yor olmas\u0131 demek ki rastlant\u0131 de\u011fildir. \u015eimdi Say\u0131n Ba\u015fbakan imar kurallar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbundan b\u00f6yle\u201d ac\u0131mas\u0131z bir bi\u00e7imde uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131. 2010 Bing\u00f6l depremi ve Rize\u2019deki sel felaketinden sonra da benzer \u015feyler s\u00f6ylenmi\u015fti. G\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Kurals\u0131zl\u0131k sa\u011f pop\u00fclizmin ana tezah\u00fcr bi\u00e7imlerinden biridir. G\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm \u015fudur: Marmara depreminin hemen sonras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan \u201cdeprem fark\u0131ndal\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d zihinlerimizde ve idari altyap\u0131m\u0131zda olumlu yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fime yol a\u00e7mam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Deprem fark\u0131ndal\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerini zaman i\u00e7inde Daniel Kahneman ve Amos Tversky\u2019nin bize y\u0131llar \u00f6nce \u00f6\u011fretti\u011fi felaket miyopisine b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2002 Nobel \u0130ktisat \u00d6d\u00fcl\u00fc\u2019n\u00fc alan bu iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6\u011fretti\u011fi \u015fudur: Son felaketten beri ge\u00e7en s\u00fcre artt\u0131k\u00e7a, insanlar, kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olduklar\u0131 riski daha fazla iskonto ederek alg\u0131lar. Yap\u0131lan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalara g\u00f6re yolda ciddi bir trafik kazas\u0131 g\u00f6renler kasko yapt\u0131rmaya e\u011filimli olmaktad\u0131r. Durumu g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fczde canland\u0131r\u0131n l\u00fctfen. Asl\u0131nda risk kocaman ortada durmaktad\u0131r. Ancak felaketin hat\u0131ralar\u0131 eskidik\u00e7e, o riskin bir daha ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme ihtimali g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmektedir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir kurumsal kapasite problemi vard\u0131r. \u201cLider \u00fclke T\u00fcrkiye\u201d h\u00e2l\u00e2 geli\u015fmekte olan bir \u00fclkedir. Siz bindi\u011fimiz taht\u0131revana bakmay\u0131n. Nokta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Van depremi g\u00f6sterdi ki, T\u00fcrkiye h\u00e2l\u00e2 geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler kategorisinden \u00e7\u0131kamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dclkeler ikiye ayr\u0131l\u0131r: Organizasyon kapasitesi geli\u015fmi\u015f olanlar ve di\u011ferleri. \u0130lk gruptakilere geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler diyoruz.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":908,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7104"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7104\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/908"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}