{"id":6869,"date":"2011-10-24T09:20:31","date_gmt":"2011-10-24T06:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=6869"},"modified":"2011-10-24T09:20:31","modified_gmt":"2011-10-24T06:20:31","slug":"sifirci-hocalarin-gozu-pariste","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/sifirci-hocalarin-gozu-pariste\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u0131f\u0131rc\u0131 Hocalar\u0131n G\u00f6z\u00fc Paris&#8217;te"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AB\u2019li yetkililerin bor\u00e7 sorununu \u00e7\u00f6zme konusundaki maratonu s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Fransa olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmadan en az Yunanistan kadar etkilenecek.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1526228685\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin\u00a0bor\u00e7 sorununa y\u00f6nelik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlerin arand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni bir haftaya daha girmi\u015f bulunuyoruz. AB\u2019li liderler nas\u0131l bir sonuca varacak bilinmez ama kesilecek fatura bak\u0131m\u0131ndan\u00a0Yunanistan\u00a0kadar etkilenecek \u00f6nemli bir \u00fclke daha var:\u00a0Fransa. May\u0131s 2012\u2019de Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinin yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkede ekonominin durumu hi\u00e7 iyi de\u011fil.Fransa\u2019n\u0131n toplam borcunun GSYH\u2019ye oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 85\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcketim son y\u0131llar\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinde, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 0.2. \u00dclkenin GSYH\u2019sinin y\u00fczde 56\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan devlet taraf\u0131ndan sa\u011flan\u0131yor olmas\u0131 ise di\u011fer bir sorun.<\/p>\n<p><strong>360 M\u0130LYAR EURO GEREKL\u0130\u00a0<\/strong><br \/>\nFransa\u2019n\u0131n korumac\u0131l\u0131k alt\u0131nda tuttu\u011fu stratejik sekt\u00f6rlerde yeterli miktarda i\u015f imk\u00e2n\u0131 yaratamamas\u0131 \u00fclkenin rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Gen\u00e7ler aras\u0131ndaki i\u015fsizlik daha \u015fimdiden y\u00fczde 20\u2019lere ula\u015ft\u0131. Ancak\u00a0Fransa\u2019n\u0131n as\u0131l korkusu\u00a0bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00a0Yunanistankonusunda ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek riskler. Yunan tahvillerinin adeta \u2018\u00e7\u00f6p\u2019e d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi elinde y\u00fcksek miktarda Yunan tahvili tutan Frans\u0131z bankalar\u0131n\u0131 k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Bu hafta\u00a0Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n en az y\u00fczde 50-60 oran\u0131nda silinmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir karar al\u0131nmas\u0131 halinde Paris s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girecek. Zira b\u00f6yle bir durumda b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe alacak Frans\u0131z bankalar\u0131 likidite sorunu ya\u015fayacak. Uzmanlar Frans\u0131z\u00a0bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k 360 milyar Euro\u2019luk bir deste\u011fe ihtiya\u00e7 duyaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Ancak olu\u015facak g\u00fcvensizlik ortam\u0131 nedeniyle bankalar\u0131n bu kayna\u011f\u0131 piyasalardan bor\u00e7lanamayaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6zlerin h\u00fck\u00fcmete \u00e7evrilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Fransa, Dexia \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi bankalar\u0131na destek eli uzatabilir. Ancak bu sefer de derecelendirme \u015firketleri devreye girecek. Dexia operasyonundan sonra ge\u00e7en hafta\u00a0Fransa\u2019ya uyar\u0131da bulunan Moody\u2019s benzer bir olay ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131nda AAA olan \u00fclke notunun k\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Bu durumda Paris\u2019in, IMF ile masaya oturmas\u0131 g\u00fcndeme gelecek. B\u00f6yle bir senaryoya piyasalar\u0131n g\u00f6sterece\u011fi tepki ise\u00a0Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n\u00a0bor\u00e7 sorununa y\u00f6nelik geli\u015ftirilecek her t\u00fcrl\u00fc plan\u0131n olumlu etkisini bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karacak.<\/p>\n<p><strong>G\u00d6ZLER PAR\u0130S&#8217;TE<\/strong><br \/>\n&#8211;\u00a0Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n toplam borcunun en az y\u00fczde 50\u2019sinin kesilmesi planlan\u0131l\u0131yor.<br \/>\n&#8211; Bu kesilme sonucu Frans\u0131z ve Alman bankalar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck kayba u\u011frayacak.<br \/>\n&#8211; Frans\u0131z\u00a0bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn 360 milyar Euro\u2019luk deste\u011fe ihtiyac\u0131 olacak.<br \/>\n&#8211; Bankalar\u0131n bu paray\u0131 piyasalardan edinmeleri m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<br \/>\n&#8211; G\u00f6zler Fransa h\u00fck\u00fcmetinden yap\u0131lacak yard\u0131mlara \u00e7evrilecek.<br \/>\n&#8211; Ancak h\u00fck\u00fcmet yard\u0131m ederse bu sefer de Fransa\u2019n\u0131n notu k\u0131r\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n<p>Habert\u00fcrk<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AB\u2019li yetkililerin bor\u00e7 sorununu \u00e7\u00f6zme konusundaki maratonu s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Fransa olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmadan en az Yunanistan kadar etkilenecek. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin\u00a0bor\u00e7 sorununa y\u00f6nelik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlerin arand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6074,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6869"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6869\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6074"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}