{"id":6267,"date":"2011-10-10T22:35:15","date_gmt":"2011-10-10T19:35:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=6267"},"modified":"2011-10-10T22:35:15","modified_gmt":"2011-10-10T19:35:15","slug":"sanayide-soguma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/sanayide-soguma\/","title":{"rendered":"SANAY\u0130DE SO\u011eUMA"},"content":{"rendered":"

$\"\"$ <\/a>T\u00fcrkiye’de d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2011 A\u011fustos d\u00f6nemi sanayi \u00fcretim verileri\u00a0 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re \u00a0sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin \u00a0%3,8 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini kaydetti. Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin ise bir \u00f6nceki aya nazaran %2,6 azal\u0131\u015f (ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f %7) g\u00f6stermi\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131rsak ,T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin yava\u015flama e\u011filiminde de\u011fil ,yumu\u015fak ini\u015fin ya\u015fanmakta oldu\u011funun kan\u0131t\u0131. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u00fczerinde pozitif katk\u0131 yapmas\u0131 muhtemel\u00a0 Sanayi \u00fcretim verilerindeki \u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ,hem ithalattaki hemde yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda\u00a0 y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde\u00a0 T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisi\u2019nde\u00a0 b\u00fcy\u00fcme de ekonomi \u00e7arklar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan sert freni g\u00f6steriyor. TCMB\u2019nin destekedi\u011fi yumu\u015fak ini\u015f senaryosuna uygun sanayi \u00fcretim rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n D\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 cephesinde ki bu olumlu geli\u015fme ,k\u00fcrede resesyon ihtimalinin bu derece y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu bu g\u00fcnler i\u00e7in TCMB\u2019nin geni\u015flemeci politikalar\u0131 ile kronikle\u015fen cari a\u00e7\u0131k rit\u00fcelinin nas\u0131l bir arada g\u00f6t\u00fcrece\u011fi g\u00f6rmemizi sa\u011flayacak. Sanayi \u00fcretim endeksinin 2011 A\u011fustos\u2019ta g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi % 2,6\u2019l\u0131k de\u011fer kayb\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck etken yat\u0131r\u0131m mal imalat\u0131n\u0131n % 8,8 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc g\u00f6sterildi. Asl\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretim rakamlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f t\u00fcm k\u00fcrede ya\u015fan\u0131yor ve yine global geli\u015fme, muhtemel resesyon endi\u015feleri ile birle\u015fince \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde k\u00fcresel imalat endekslerinde de benzer verilerin gelmesinin habercisi denebilir. Bu verinin kur ve faiz taraf\u0131ndaki yans\u0131mas\u0131 ise ,kurlarda ya\u015fanan sert dalgalanmay\u0131, ge\u00e7en hafta ,\u2019\u2019YP kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klar silah\u0131\u2019\u2019 ile vurmay\u0131 k\u0131smen ba\u015faran TCMB\u2019nin ekonominin yava\u015flama ihtimalini g\u00f6r\u00fcp benzer bir hareketle bu defa TL cinsi kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131n\u0131 indirmesi olarak kendini g\u00f6sterebilir. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re %35 artan kurlar\u0131n zay\u0131flama s\u00fcrecini girece\u011fi,cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu karar ile g\u00fc\u00e7lenen TL \u2018yi, TCMB\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimleri destekleyecek.<\/p>

<\/ins>\r\n