{"id":5926,"date":"2011-10-04T09:26:59","date_gmt":"2011-10-04T06:26:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=5926"},"modified":"2011-10-04T09:27:14","modified_gmt":"2011-10-04T06:27:14","slug":"yildiz-gibi-parlamak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/yildiz-gibi-parlamak\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131ld\u0131z Gibi Parlamak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri ile T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ninki aras\u0131ndaki fark, ortalama % 4,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmemize kar\u015f\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmedi.<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3094863401\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Meclis\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada Say\u0131n Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Abdullah G\u00fcl \u00f6nemli bir saptamada bulunmu\u015f: Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir d\u00fczeyimiz, 2023\u2019e kadar her y\u0131l kesintisiz y\u00fczde 10 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcrsek, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin ortalama gelirinin y\u00fczde 80\u2019ine ula\u015facak.<br \/>\nBirka\u00e7 rakam\u0131 hat\u0131rlatay\u0131m: 1951-2010 d\u00f6nemindeki ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 4,8. 2001-2010 d\u00f6neminde ortalama y\u00fczde 3,9, 2003-2010 d\u00f6neminde ise ortalama y\u00fczde 4,8 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcz. 2011\u2019de y\u00fczde 7 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcrsek, son be\u015f y\u0131ldaki (2007-2011) ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z ise y\u00fczde 3,2 oluyor. Hat\u0131rlatay\u0131m: 2012 i\u00e7in IMF\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in karamsar b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini, Avrupa\u2019da i\u015flerin kar\u0131\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin de resesyona girmeyece\u011fi varsay\u0131m\u0131 alt\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,5. K\u0131sacas\u0131, k\u00fcre ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla belaya sokmazsa ve IMF\u2019nin karamsar tahmininin bir miktar \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcrsek -mesela Say\u0131n Ali Babacan\u2019\u0131n uzun d\u00f6nemdeki ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131z tahmini ge\u00e7erli olsa- bile, 2007-2012 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortalamas\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,5\u2019i ge\u00e7meyecek. Bu ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda 2003-2012 ortalamas\u0131 da pek de\u011fi\u015fmeyecek.<br \/>\nYaz\u0131y\u0131 bu kadar rakama bo\u011fmam\u0131n elbette bir nedeni var: \u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131z gibi parlayan\u2019 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin son be\u015f y\u0131ldaki ya da son on y\u0131ldaki ya da son elli y\u0131ldaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131n\u0131n iki kat\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 yakalamam\u0131z gerekiyor ki Say\u0131n G\u00fcl\u2019\u00fcn i\u015faret etti\u011fi gelir d\u00fczeyine 2023\u2019te ula\u015fal\u0131m.<br \/>\n\u2018Y\u0131ld\u0131z gibi parlama\u2019 salt istikrara y\u00f6nelik bir tan\u0131mlama ise diyecek bir \u015fey yok. T\u00fcrkiye 2001 krizinden sonra ekonomik istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok u\u011fra\u015ft\u0131 ve bu u\u011fra\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131. Son y\u0131llarda el\u00e2lem y\u00fcksek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek devlet borcu sorunu ile bo\u011fu\u015fuyorken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6yle bir sorunu yok. Yine el\u00e2lem bankalar\u0131n\u0131n hangilerinin bataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirlemeye \u00e7abalarken ve bu bankalara aktarmas\u0131 gereken sermaye miktar\u0131n\u0131 hesaplamaya u\u011fra\u015f\u0131rken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc iyi durumda. El\u00e2leme y\u00f6nelik risk alg\u0131lamas\u0131 \u00e7ok y\u00fcksekken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik risk alg\u0131lamas\u0131 y\u00fcksek de\u011fil. \u2018El\u00e2lemin\u2019 di\u011fer geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler de\u011fil de geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler oldu\u011fu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, astronomiye merakl\u0131 \u00e7evreler \u2018y\u0131ld\u0131z gibi parl\u0131yor\u2019 yak\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 yapabilirler T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye.<br \/>\nAma \u2018y\u0131ld\u0131z gibi parlama\u2019 bir \u00fclkenin insanlar\u0131n\u0131n refah d\u00fczeylerinin di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin insanlar\u0131n\u0131n refah d\u00fczeylerine k\u0131yasla y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu anlatan bir tan\u0131mlama ise o zaman da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u2018y\u0131ld\u0131z gibi parlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019 ortada. Say\u0131n G\u00fcl\u2019\u00fcn \u00f6nemli saptamas\u0131 bu ger\u00e7e\u011fi \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k bi\u00e7imde ortaya koyuyor.<br \/>\nBu k\u00f6\u015fede \u00e7ok yer ald\u0131. Bir kez daha hat\u0131rlatay\u0131m: Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir d\u00fczeyi ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir d\u00fczeyi aras\u0131ndaki fark, ortalamada y\u00fczde 4,8 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olmam\u0131za kar\u015f\u0131n, de\u011fi\u015fmeden kald\u0131. Oysa bu bir kader de\u011fil. Bu fark\u0131 kapatan \u00fclkeler var. Ger\u00e7ekten \u2018y\u0131ld\u0131z gibi parlamak\u2019 istiyorsak y\u00fcz\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc g\u00f6ky\u00fcz\u00fcnden yery\u00fcz\u00fcne d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmekte yarar var.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na geliri ile T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ninki aras\u0131ndaki fark, ortalama % 4,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmemize kar\u015f\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmedi. Meclis\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada Say\u0131n Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Abdullah G\u00fcl \u00f6nemli bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5926"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5926\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}