{"id":58903,"date":"2019-08-01T10:44:14","date_gmt":"2019-08-01T07:44:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=58903"},"modified":"2019-08-01T10:44:18","modified_gmt":"2019-08-01T07:44:18","slug":"dovizde-cozulme-donemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dovizde-cozulme-donemi\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00f6vizde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme d\u00f6nemi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:4} &#8211;><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4019601557\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<h4>Yeniden bir f\u0131rsat penceresi kap\u0131m\u0131za geldi. D\u00f6viz hesaplar\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme ne kadar s\u00fcrebilir, nereye kadar devam edebilir ve bunun \u015fartlar\u0131 nedir?<\/h4>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n 3.<br \/>\nEnflasyon Raporu\u2019nda y\u0131l sonu tahminini 0.7 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 revize ederek y\u00fczde<br \/>\n14.6\u2019dan y\u00fczde 13.9\u2019a indirdi. <strong>Bu<br \/>\nk\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck oranl\u0131 indirim sonras\u0131 TCMB politika faizi ile beklenen enflasyon<br \/>\naras\u0131ndaki makas 5.85 puana y\u00fckseldi. <\/strong>Merkez Bankas\u0131 da faiz<br \/>\nindirimi i\u00e7in kayda de\u011fer manevra alan\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verdi.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon tahminini revize<br \/>\netmede ihtiyatl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bizim tahminimiz de y\u00fczde 13 civar\u0131nda<br \/>\nbir ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Ancak \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn <strong>Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Berat Albayrak<\/strong><br \/>\nkamusal fiyat ayarlamalar\u0131 ile enflasyon d\u00fczeyi aras\u0131nda m\u00fchendislik<br \/>\nhesaplamalar\u0131ndan s\u00f6z etti. <strong>Yap\u0131lan&nbsp;<br \/>\ntahminlerin ne kadar da pamuk ipli\u011fine veya ekonomiyi y\u00f6netenlerin karar\u0131na<br \/>\nba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu bir kere daha anlad\u0131m.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3323590089\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:4} &#8211;><\/p>\n<h4>\u0130ND\u0130R\u0130MDE 4-2-2\u2019YE DEVAM<\/h4>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>-Enflasyon Raporu\u2019nda revize<br \/>\nedilen y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahmini faiz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesinde 4-2-2 form\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00fc<br \/>\nde\u011fi\u015ftirmedi. Biz zaten bu form\u00fcl\u00fc y\u00fczde 13\u2019l\u00fck enflasyona g\u00f6re olu\u015fturmu\u015ftuk.<br \/>\n\u00dczerine de yakla\u015f\u0131k 3 puanl\u0131k bir reel ve makul faiz koymu\u015ftuk.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-679512088\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>-\u00d6nceki g\u00fcn Bakan\u2019\u0131n, d\u00fcn de<br \/>\nTCMB\u2019nin toplant\u0131s\u0131nda makul reel faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n ne olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi soruldu.<br \/>\nBakan Albayrak bu oran\u0131 belirtti\u011finde pozisyonunu da a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131ndan soruyu<br \/>\nustaca savu\u015fturdu. Her \u00fclke gibi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizden yana olmas\u0131<br \/>\ngerekti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemekle yetindi. &#8211;<strong>Merkez<br \/>\nBankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Murat Uysal<\/strong> bekledikleri reel faiz oran\u0131<br \/>\nkonusunda epeyce s\u00f6z etti. Ancak s\u00f6zlerinden net bir sonucu ben \u00e7\u0131kartamad\u0131m.<br \/>\nDolay\u0131s\u0131yla koltu\u011fa yeni oturmu\u015f olsa da, klasik merkez bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkanlar\u0131<br \/>\ngibi, &nbsp;konu\u015fup da bir \u015fey s\u00f6ylememeyi becerdi\u011fini belirtelim.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:4} &#8211;><\/p>\n<h4>REEL FA\u0130Z\u0130N \u00d6NEM\u0130<\/h4>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>-Ancak makul reel faizin ne<br \/>\nolmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi \u00f6nemli bir sorudur. Yan\u0131t\u0131 da geli\u015fmelere g\u00f6re piyasa<br \/>\ni\u015flemleri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde paray\u0131 verenlerle krediyi kullananlar taraf\u0131ndan<br \/>\nverilir. Devlet de makro d\u00fczeydeki kararlar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde i\u015fin i\u00e7ine girer.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>-Reel faizin \u00f6nemi \u015furada ki,<br \/>\n\u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc ka\u00e7\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, dengeler de, ekonomiye etkisi de de\u011fi\u015fiyor. <strong>Reel faizin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemler ulusal<br \/>\npara de\u011ferleniyor, aynen son bir y\u0131lda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi gibi. Ekonomik aktivite,<br \/>\nt\u00fcketim, \u00fcretim, i\u015f yapma, risk alma, gayrimenkul ve in\u015faat faaliyetleri<br \/>\nnegatif etkileniyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc faize ve TL ara\u00e7lara yat\u0131r\u0131m cazip hale geliyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>-Reel faizin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutuldu\u011fu veya negatif oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde tersi<br \/>\ngeli\u015fmeler s\u00f6z konusu. <strong>Tasarruf<br \/>\netme e\u011filimi azal\u0131yor, t\u00fcketim, \u00fcretim, bor\u00e7lanma yayg\u0131nla\u015f\u0131yor. Risk alma,<br \/>\ngayrimenkul fiyat ve faaliyetleri art\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc paran\u0131n de\u011feri ucuz. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/pb-borfin-portfoy-yonetimi-1\" rel=\"external nofollow noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;font-weight:bold;\">KAZANDIRACAK H\u0130SSELER\u0130 NASIL SE\u00c7MEL\u0130? \u00d6\u011eRENMEK \u0130\u00c7\u0130N HEMEN TIKLA!<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:6} &#8211;><\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haberturk.com\/yazarlar\/abdurrahman-yildirim-1018\/2509504-dovizde-cozulme-donemi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow external\" aria-label=\"TIKLAYINIZ (yeni sekmede a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r)\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>.<\/h6>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:4} &#8211;> Yeniden bir f\u0131rsat penceresi kap\u0131m\u0131za geldi. D\u00f6viz hesaplar\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme ne kadar s\u00fcrebilir, nereye kadar devam edebilir ve bunun \u015fartlar\u0131 nedir? &#8211;&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":994,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[862,808,801],"class_list":["post-58903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-abdurrahman-yildirim-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/994"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58903"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58903\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}