{"id":58679,"date":"2019-07-23T15:22:15","date_gmt":"2019-07-23T12:22:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=58679"},"modified":"2019-07-24T11:22:28","modified_gmt":"2019-07-24T08:22:28","slug":"merkez-bankasi-faiz-indirmeli-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/merkez-bankasi-faiz-indirmeli-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Merkez Bankas\u0131 Faiz \u0130ndirmeli mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-107366332\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u015eimdiye kadar bana sorulan \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 faizi ne kadar indirir ya da ne kadar art\u0131r\u0131r?\u201d \u015feklindeki sorulara hi\u00e7 yan\u0131t vermedim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 bilmiyorum. Bunun yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 bilmem i\u00e7in ya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019nda bu karar\u0131 alan ki\u015filerden birisi veya h\u00fck\u00fcmette en \u00fcst d\u00fczeyde yetkili karar al\u0131c\u0131 konumunda birisi ya da falc\u0131 olmam gerekir. Ben hi\u00e7biri de\u011filim. Bu durumda benim yan\u0131tlayabilece\u011fim soru: \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 faizi ne kadar indirir ya da ne kadar art\u0131r\u0131r\u201d sorusu de\u011fil \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 faizi ne kadar indirmeli ya da ne kadar art\u0131rmal\u0131\u201d sorusudur. Bu, benim ekonomide ve piyasada izledi\u011fim, g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm, analiz etti\u011fim verilere ve bilgilere g\u00f6re olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm oran\u0131 s\u00f6ylemem demektir. Bence iktisat\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131tlamas\u0131 gereken soru budur.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k kurumlar\u0131n iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131, kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131n\u0131, tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netenlere veya o konuda karar alanlara yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ne yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011finden \u00e7ok ne yapaca\u011f\u0131 ile ilgilenirler ve o konuda tahmin yaparlar. Bulunduklar\u0131 konum itibar\u0131yla hakl\u0131d\u0131rlar da.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Bu giri\u015ften sonra gelelim Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ne yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine. \u00d6ncelikle bu konunun dayana\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan verileri ele alal\u0131m. Bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla Merkez Bankas\u0131 karar\u0131na dayanak olu\u015fturacak veriler a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda g\u00f6sterilmi\u015f bulunuyor (Tablodaki veriler T\u00dc\u0130K ve TCMB sitelerinden al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f resmi verilerdir. Son s\u00fctundaki veriler TCMB\u2019nin Beklenti Anketine verilen yan\u0131tlardaki tahminlerdir.)<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2446097537\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:table &#8211;><\/p>\n<table class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td><strong>23 Temmuz 2019<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Y\u0131lsonu Tahmini<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TCMB Politika Faizi (%)<\/td>\n<td>24,00<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2 Y\u0131ll\u0131k G\u00f6sterge Faiz (%)<\/td>\n<td>17,68<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Enflasyon (T\u00dcFE) (%)<\/td>\n<td>15,72<\/td>\n<td>14,84<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Enflasyon (Y\u0130 -\u00dcFE) (%)<\/td>\n<td>25,04<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>(T\u00dcFE + Y\u0130-\u00dcFE) \/ 2<\/td>\n<td>20,38<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USD \/ TL Kuru<\/td>\n<td>5,69<\/td>\n<td>6,1448<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:table &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4118754221\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu verilere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda Merkez Bankas\u0131 faizinin gerek enflasyona (T\u00dcFE) gerekse g\u00f6sterge faize g\u00f6re olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Enflasyon (T\u00dcFE) TCMB Beklenti Anketindeki tahminin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 15\u2019in biraz alt\u0131nda olacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor (benim tahminim biraz daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilece\u011fi yolundad\u0131r.) Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u00fcretici enflasyonu (Y\u0130-\u00dcFE) hala T\u00dcFE\u2019nin 10 puan \u00fczerinde bulunuyor. Yine TCMB Beklenti Anketinde Dolar kurunun y\u0131lsonuna kadar 6,15 dolay\u0131na y\u00fckselece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor (bu tahminin ard\u0131nda, tahmini yapan ki\u015filerin faiz indirimi beklentileri var m\u0131 yok mu ya da varsa ne kadarl\u0131k bir indirim \u00f6ng\u00f6rerek bu tahmini yapm\u0131\u015flar bunlar\u0131 bilmiyoruz.)<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/pb-borfin-temel-analiz-1\" rel=\"external nofollow noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;font-weight:bold;\">TEMEL ANAL\u0130Z \u0130LE NASIL H\u0130SSE SE\u00c7\u0130L\u0130R? UZMANINDAN HEMEN \u00d6\u011eRENMEYE BA\u015eLA!<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:6} &#8211;><\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2019\/07\/merkez-bankas-faiz-indirmeli-mi.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow external\" aria-label=\"TIKLAYINIZ (yeni sekmede a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r)\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>.<\/h6>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;> \u015eimdiye kadar bana sorulan \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 faizi ne kadar indirir ya da ne kadar art\u0131r\u0131r?\u201d \u015feklindeki sorulara hi\u00e7 yan\u0131t vermedim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-58679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58679\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}