{"id":58226,"date":"2019-07-05T22:34:07","date_gmt":"2019-07-05T19:34:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=58226"},"modified":"2019-07-05T22:34:09","modified_gmt":"2019-07-05T19:34:09","slug":"ekonomiyi-algoritmalar-yonetir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ekonomiyi-algoritmalar-yonetir\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomiyi algoritmalar y\u00f6netir"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:3} &#8211;><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2108205399\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<h3>Dolar, d\u00f6viz y\u00fckselir mi?<\/h3>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>\u00c7o\u011funlu\u011fun beklentisi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmiyorsa, ger\u00e7ekler yanl\u0131\u015f olabilir mi? Yoksa bak\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131z m\u0131 hatal\u0131d\u0131r? May\u0131sda beklentinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtirken, siyasi veya ekonomik geli\u015fmeleri d\u0131\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Sebebi de basittir: algoritmalar karar verir, y\u00f6neticiler uygular, haberler buna g\u00f6re belirlenir.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131larda belirttik: ekonomist, iktisat\u00e7\u0131, y\u00f6netici i\u00e7inde klasik bak\u0131\u015fta olanlar geli\u015fmelerin bir oyun mekanizmas\u0131ndan ibaret oldu\u011funu g\u00f6remezler. G\u00f6remedikleri bu durum i\u00e7inde nafile \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla tiyatrolar\u0131 devam eder. Tecr\u00fcbe ve vakalar\u0131m\u0131zla bu durum sabittir ve giderek bozulmaktad\u0131r. Yani bozulan bak\u0131\u015fla da ekonomi nitelikli b\u00fcy\u00fcmez.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-506550591\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp y\u00fckselece\u011finden bahsetmek ne kadar \u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131r a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 yorum ise, temenniyle ekonomi y\u00f6netmek de o kadar derinlik i\u00e7erir. Y\u0131llard\u0131r ayn\u0131 s\u00f6ylemler ve icraat\u0131n sonucu olarak \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn devletten beklentisi de bitmez, bitmeyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:4} &#8211;><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4059938961\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<h4>Dolar neden yalpal\u0131yor ve gev\u015feme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor?<\/h4>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 algoritmalar\u0131 belirler, algoritmalar da piyasay\u0131 belirler. D\u00fczenli takip edenler bilir: 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki getirece\u011fi sindirme s\u00fcrecinden bahsetmi\u015ftik. Gelecek herhangi haber kalitesi bu ger\u00e7e\u011fi de\u011fi\u015ftirecek etkide olamayacakt\u0131r. Yukar\u0131da belirtti\u011fimiz kabul gere\u011fidir: algoritmalar belirler, haberler buna g\u00f6re tasarlan\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda geli\u015fmeleri g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in ayl\u0131k hareketlere bakarak ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00f6rmek de k\u0131sa vadeli haf\u0131zan\u0131n, algoritmayla daha kolay uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n yolunu a\u00e7ar. Hatta ayl\u0131k geli\u015fmeleri haftal\u0131\u011fa k\u0131rarak da daha h\u0131zl\u0131 haf\u0131za uyumu sa\u011flayabiliriz. Bu \u015fekilde t\u00fcmdengelim yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u015fekilde sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>O halde bak\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken neresidir? En \u00f6nemlisi de neye ne i\u00e7in bak\u0131yoruz? Olan biten \u00fczerinden analiz ise bunu ekonomistler yeterince yapmaktad\u0131r ve i\u015fe yaramad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hasar vakalar\u0131yla g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6rebilmek ve hata pay\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilmek i\u00e7in biraz daha farkl\u0131 bak\u0131\u015f gerekti\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Bu farkl\u0131 bak\u0131\u015f\u0131n gerektirdi\u011fi de ayn\u0131 verilere farkl\u0131 yorum mekanizmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6vizde ana y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketinin kesilmedi\u011fini algoritmik model gere\u011fi kabul edersek 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k ana e\u011filimin verdi\u011fi sinyaller ve \u00e7eli\u015fen nispeten k\u0131sa vadeye dikkat etmek gerekir. Esas m\u00fczik bozulmu\u015f de\u011fildir. K\u0131sa vadede 5.50 alt\u0131nda kalmak modelle \u00e7eli\u015fen durum olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye, daha iyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme metodunu ararken, yeni d\u00f6neme ge\u00e7i\u015f eskiyi radikal \u015fekilde d\u0131\u015flamay\u0131 gerektirmektedir. Bu da samimice do\u011fru ad\u0131mlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a at\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirir. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek olursa sanayi ve mali kurumlar\u0131n da de\u011fi\u015fim ge\u00e7irerek daha verimli olmalar\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6vizdeki dalgalanma ihracat\u0131 te\u015fvik ederken, matematik modele dayal\u0131 daha g\u00fcvenilir stratejiyle yeni pazarlar erken a\u015famada bulunabilir. Rekabet avantaj\u0131 getirecek bu ara\u00e7 adil olmasa da gereklidir. Bu faydayla, ge\u00e7mi\u015fin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil gelece\u011fin f\u0131rsat\u0131n\u0131 erken a\u015famada yakalam\u0131\u015f olursunuz. Do\u011frulanm\u0131\u015f bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 mevcuttur. Buna g\u00f6re uygulanabilir avantaj getirecek \u00f6neri i\u00e7in \u00fclke ve b\u00f6lge GELECEK d\u00f6nemde cazip pazarlar\u0131 skorlama tablolar\u0131nda inceleyebilirsiniz. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ekonomist.com.tr\/kapak-konusu\/ihracati-artirma-yollari.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow external\" aria-label=\"https:\/\/www.ekonomist.com.tr\/kapak-konusu\/ihracati-artirma-yollari.html (yeni sekmede a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r)\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">https:\/\/www.ekonomist.com.tr\/kapak-konusu\/ihracati-artirma-yollari.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/pb-borfin-portfoy-yonetimi-1\" rel=\"external nofollow noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;font-weight:bold;\">KAZANDIRACAK H\u0130SSELER\u0130 NASIL SE\u00c7MEL\u0130? \u00d6\u011eRENMEK \u0130\u00c7\u0130N HEMEN TIKLA!<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; \/wp:paragraph &#8211;><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8211; wp:heading {&#8220;level&#8221;:3} &#8211;> Dolar, d\u00f6viz y\u00fckselir mi? &#8211; \/wp:heading &#8211;> &#8211; wp:paragraph &#8211;> \u00c7o\u011funlu\u011fun beklentisi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmiyorsa, ger\u00e7ekler yanl\u0131\u015f olabilir mi? Yoksa bak\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131z m\u0131 hatal\u0131d\u0131r?&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3970,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2212,808,801],"class_list":["post-58226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cem-sengezer-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3970"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58226"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58226\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}