{"id":57053,"date":"2019-03-20T08:22:31","date_gmt":"2019-03-20T05:22:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=57053"},"modified":"2019-03-20T08:22:31","modified_gmt":"2019-03-20T05:22:31","slug":"kur-artisini-kim-bekler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kur-artisini-kim-bekler\/","title":{"rendered":"Kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kim bekler?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bakan Albayrak ekonomide her \u015fey dahil sistemine ge\u00e7ti. Se\u00e7im \u00fczeri aceleyle yap\u0131lan geli\u015fi g\u00fczel a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve uygulamalar ne yaz\u0131k ki T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi komik duruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ekonomiyi sadece i\u00e7 dinamikleri esas alarak konu\u015fursan\u0131z, bundan ba\u015fka bir foto\u011fraf da vermeniz m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1782275449\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Mesela cari a\u00e7\u0131k 17 milyar dolar seviyesine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc gibi bir s\u00f6z, i\u00e7te d\u00f6rt i\u015flemden uzak insanlar\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak mutlu etse de, d\u0131\u015far\u0131da herkes ger\u00e7e\u011fi biliyor. \u0130\u00e7eride de bu konuyu vak\u0131f insanlar, sanayici dahil ticaret hacminin daralmas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 bir sorun ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fark\u0131nda.<\/p>\n<p>Yani bir bakkaliye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn. Raf\u0131ndaki mal\u0131 sat\u0131yor ama yerine yenisini koyam\u0131yor. Yeni mal almad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in de harcama yapm\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylece kasaya giren ve harcama yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in azalan borcunu ba\u015far\u0131 zannediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Peki sonu\u00e7 ne olur? Ya yeniden mal almak istedi\u011finde satt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde rakamlarla raf\u0131n\u0131 dolduracak ya da g\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda satacak mal kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fckkan\u0131 kapatacak. Elbette elde ne var ne yok sat\u0131p, \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda g\u00fczelle\u015ftirmeyle imtiyaz da\u011f\u0131tan ya da kaynak israf\u0131 yapan bir yakla\u015f\u0131mdan tersini beklemek g\u00fc\u00e7.<\/p>\n<p>Ama filmin sonunda bunun ne ak\u0131lla, ne ekonomiyle, ne de ger\u00e7eklerle bir ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Bu sadece g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmakt\u0131r. Tek haneli enflasyonun sonbaharda yakalanaca\u011f\u0131 da Bakan Albayrak\u2019\u0131n iddialar\u0131 aras\u0131nda. Bunun \u015fu foto\u011fraf i\u00e7erisinde tek bir yolu var. O da piyasada i\u015flerin yine piyasa tabiriyle daha da kesatla\u015fmas\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Yani t\u00fcketim olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyon da kademeli olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f seyrine ge\u00e7ebilir. Fakat bu maliyetlerin de artmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmez. Bir de tabii daha kal\u0131c\u0131 ve d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmsel bir planl\u0131 ekonomi uygulars\u0131n\u0131z ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc orta vadede yakalars\u0131n\u0131z. Lakin onun da s\u00fcresi \u00fc\u00e7 be\u015f ay de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p>Peki bu kadar daralan bir ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi nas\u0131l yakalayacaks\u0131n\u0131z? \u0130\u015fte onun yan\u0131t\u0131 yok. Bakan muhtemelen \u00fclkeye s\u0131cak para giri\u015fi sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 umuyor ya da bir anla\u015fmayla taze para giri\u015fi \u00fcmit ediyor. Ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Fakat bunun da yat\u0131r\u0131m de\u011fil, bor\u00e7 olma ihtimali var ki, onun da di\u011fer dengeleri alt \u00fcst edece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>Son olarak dolar meselesi&#8230; Te\u015fbihte hata olmazm\u0131\u015f&#8230; Siz ekonomik konular\u0131 liseli ergenler gibi \u2018daha \u00e7ok beklerler\u2019 cinsinden yakla\u015f\u0131m sergilerseniz, en hafif tabiriyle ciddiye al\u0131nmazs\u0131n\u0131z.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3395931797\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>O zaman \u015funu soral\u0131m: Kurun art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kim bekler? \u0130\u015f\u00e7i, memur ya da \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan m\u0131? Asgari \u00fccretin dolar baz\u0131nda \u00c7in seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ger\u00e7ek \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu \u00e7ok da ak\u0131ll\u0131ca bir yorum olmaz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc dolardaki art\u0131\u015f al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc eritirken, bir yandan da gelirin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Sanayici, \u00e7ift\u00e7i, esnaf, ithalat\u00e7\u0131 ya da toptanc\u0131 m\u0131? Her kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n gerek \u00fcretim, gerek mal al\u0131m, gerekse de geri bor\u00e7 \u00f6deme a\u015famas\u0131nda bu kesimlere darbe vurdu\u011funu biliyoruz. Demek ki yan\u0131t bu da de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Bankac\u0131l\u0131k ve finans kesimi mi? Sendikasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrseniz bu da \u00e7ok ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i gelmiyor. \u00d6\u011frencileri, emeklileri, i\u015fsizleri ve geriye kalan di\u011fer kesimleri saym\u0131yorum bile&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Geriye bir tek rantiye ve finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 kumarhane olarak g\u00f6renler kal\u0131yor. Bunun da n\u00fcfusun y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk diliminden fazlas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc n\u00fcfusun ilk 20\u2019si ile son 20\u2019si aras\u0131ndaki gelir fark\u0131 8 kat. Ayr\u0131ca t\u00fcketici temsilcilerinin s\u00f6ylediklerine g\u00f6re, ki resmi istatistikler dahi bunu do\u011fruluyor, n\u00fcfusun y\u00fczde 80\u2019ini a\u00e7l\u0131k ve yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda ya da s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda ya\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-592377018\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Peki Bakan Albayrak t\u00fcm kesimlerin sorununu b\u0131rak\u0131p, y\u00fczde 10\u2019u ge\u00e7meyen bu kesimle mi kavga ediyor? O zaman soral\u0131m kim bu kesim? Kimler bor\u00e7 \u00f6deme ger\u00e7e\u011fiyle korkudan tav\u0131r alanlar\u0131 istisna tutarsak, dolar al\u0131p zengin olman\u0131n pe\u015fine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc?<\/p>\n<p>Kimler vurgun pe\u015finde? Bence Bakan ortaya konu\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 milyon dolarlara defaten gayrimenkul al\u0131p, \u2018nereden buldun\u2019 diye sormad\u0131klar\u0131na, milyon milyon dolarla devletten arazi ya da tesis alman\u0131n pe\u015fine d\u00fc\u015fenlere, k\u0131saca sa\u011f\u0131na soluna baks\u0131n derim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc di\u011ferleri ancak ayakta durmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcde bulunanlarla, bundan beklentisi olanlar\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131n.<\/p>\n<p><u><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n<p><em><u>\u00a0<\/u><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bakan Albayrak ekonomide her \u015fey dahil sistemine ge\u00e7ti. Se\u00e7im \u00fczeri aceleyle yap\u0131lan geli\u015fi g\u00fczel a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve uygulamalar ne yaz\u0131k ki T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi komik duruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ekonomiyi&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-57053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57053"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57053\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}