{"id":57051,"date":"2019-03-19T08:25:20","date_gmt":"2019-03-19T05:25:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=57051"},"modified":"2019-03-19T08:25:20","modified_gmt":"2019-03-19T05:25:20","slug":"garip-bir-12-milyar-dolar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/garip-bir-12-milyar-dolar\/","title":{"rendered":"Garip bir 12 milyar dolar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uluslararas\u0131 d\u00f6viz pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 367 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle bunun zaten ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131n bir problem oldu\u011funu ve bu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n ekonomimiz ad\u0131na sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek gerekir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-604755492\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ekonomimiz diyorum \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc biz ve bizim gibi acil nakde ihtiyac\u0131 olan ve eskisi kadar rahat para bulamayan \u00fclkeler ad\u0131na meseleyi ayr\u0131ca okumak gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 riskleri de zaman zaman yaz\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat bug\u00fcn sizlerle payla\u015faca\u011f\u0131m mesele bu de\u011fil. Bu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n bir ay gibi k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde 12,2 milyar dolar artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. Ne var bunda diyebilirsiniz; ama bence garip bir hareketi simgeliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Mesela \u015f\u00f6yle bir sa\u011flama yapal\u0131m. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret yap\u0131s\u0131, \u00e7arp\u0131k da olsa eskisi gibi hacimli seyretseydi; ithalata yapabilmek ad\u0131na y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilirdik. Fakat AB ile ticaretimizin ay baz\u0131nda fazla verdi\u011fi, ihracat\u0131n kendi i\u00e7inde rekorlar k\u0131rarak, ithalat\u0131n tam bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 durum i\u00e7inde sizce garip de\u011fil mi?<\/p>\n<p>Yani harcad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zdan daha fazla para kazan\u0131yorsan\u0131z; bu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalmas\u0131 m\u0131 gerekir, artmas\u0131 m\u0131?<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin para bulmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. \u00dclkeden d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya \u00e7ok ciddi miktarda para ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu da t\u00fcm raporlara yans\u0131yor. Bundaki rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman zaman ekonomi y\u00f6netimi dahi dile getiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Peki \u00fclkeye giren para, \u00e7\u0131kan\u0131n yan\u0131nda son derece yetersizse, yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda daha \u00e7ok param\u0131z olmas\u0131 ve bunun da d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekmez mi? Bu durumda da yine a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n daralmaya gitmi\u015f olmas\u0131 sonucu do\u011fmaz m\u0131?<\/p>\n<p>Yeterince bor\u00e7lanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131za, fakat bu a\u015famada da bor\u00e7 \u00f6demeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcze g\u00f6re, y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerimizin bor\u00e7lar\u0131m kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda erimi\u015f olmas\u0131 laz\u0131m de\u011fil mi? Peki t\u00fcm bu ger\u00e7ekleri alt alta koydu\u011funuzda nas\u0131l oluyor da, daha \u00e7ok para kazan\u0131rken, yani d\u00f6viz geliri elde edip, harcamas\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sarken, yeterince para \u00e7ekemedi\u011fimiz halde bor\u00e7 \u00f6derken y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerimiz art\u0131yor?<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1659808005\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>B\u00f6ylesine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacimde bir ekonomi i\u00e7erisinde, para trafi\u011finin ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminin ivme kaybetti\u011fi bir ortamda 12,2 milyar dolarl\u0131k s\u0131\u00e7rama normal olamaz. Soru \u015fu: Her \u015feyin istesek de istemesek de, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olsa da olmasa da, riski artt\u0131rsa da artt\u0131rmasa da, g\u00f6rece lehimize i\u015fledi\u011fi bir bilan\u00e7o i\u00e7inde y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz nas\u0131l art\u0131yor?<\/p>\n<p>Ya da soruyu ba\u015fka bir yerden soral\u0131m. Ekonominin temel seyrinde hi\u00e7bir d\u00fczelme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, finans akmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, ithalat gibi harcamalar yapamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bir resim i\u00e7inde 12,2 milyar dolar\u0131 yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kim geri \u00e7ekti?<\/p>\n<p>Geri \u00e7ekti diyorum, zira bunun yeni bir para olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, sadece yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 varl\u0131klar\u0131 azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 net bir bi\u00e7imde g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Garip olan ne? \u00dclkeye yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki 12,2 milyar dolar giri\u015f yapt\u0131ysa, dolar niye y\u00fckseliyor? Ben anlamad\u0131m; anlayan beri gelsin.<\/p>\n<p><u><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/u><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2367736660\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uluslararas\u0131 d\u00f6viz pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 367 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle bunun zaten ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131n bir problem oldu\u011funu ve bu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n ekonomimiz ad\u0131na sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-57051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57051","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57051"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57051\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57051"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57051"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57051"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}