{"id":57010,"date":"2019-03-12T10:31:14","date_gmt":"2019-03-12T07:31:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=57010"},"modified":"2019-03-12T10:31:14","modified_gmt":"2019-03-12T07:31:14","slug":"milli-gelirde-kur-oyunu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/milli-gelirde-kur-oyunu\/","title":{"rendered":"Milli gelirde kur oyunu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 2,6 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Asl\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 \u2013 6 diliminin alt\u0131 \u00fclkemiz i\u00e7in k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme anlam\u0131na geliyor. Zaten vatanda\u015f da bunu iliklerine kadar hissediyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3189027947\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ama d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekteki daralmay\u0131, ihracat\u0131n performans\u0131n\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131n g\u00f6\u00e7t\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ger\u00e7e\u011fini ele al\u0131rsan\u0131z, bunun \u00fczerine \u00fcretim yap\u0131m\u0131zda hi\u00e7bir \u015feyin de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fini de eklerseniz, \u00fclkenin \u00fcretim yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve halen stoktan mal satt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcrs\u00fcn\u00fcz.<\/p>\n<p>Yeni \u00fcretimler geldi\u011finde ortada nas\u0131l bir maliyet ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek ve bunu ne kadar imalata yans\u0131tabilece\u011fiz, istihdama nas\u0131l etki edecek gibi sualler ise soru i\u015fareti olarak ortada durmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat temelde kendini kand\u0131rma sendromundan kurtulamayan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin as\u0131l sorunu a\u00e7\u0131klanan ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen milli gelirde ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Verilere g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir 9 bin 632 dolar. TL baz\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131klamaya da dikkat ederseniz 45 bin 463 TL&#8230; Bunun \u00fclkenin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da yakla\u015f\u0131k 3 trilyon 728 milyar TL&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat uyan\u0131kl\u0131k burada ba\u015fl\u0131yor. 45 bin rakam\u0131n\u0131 dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda kurun takribi 4,60 TL\u2019den hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131yorsunuz. Bu da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi 810 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir ekonomi haline getirir.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa 31 Aral\u0131k 2018 tarihi itibariyle kur 5,28\u2019den i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Yani ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na TL gelirin 50 bin 856 TL olmas\u0131 gerekir. Ama burada bir sorun \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc o zaman dolar baz\u0131nda \u00fclkenin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda 21 milyar dolar geriliyor ve 789 milyar dolar oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yani psikolojik s\u0131n\u0131r olan 800 milyar dolar\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in bildi\u011finiz kur oyunu yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f. Ayr\u0131ca zaten 9 bin 632 dolar\u0131n da ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen geliri iyimser tahminlerle 7 bin dolar civar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1309539459\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Buradan hesap etseniz de ortaya 700 milyar TL\u2019lik bir fark ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ama resmi rakamlar\u0131 bile esas alsan\u0131z, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kendini kand\u0131rmaya ve ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131 da kand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zannetmeye devam etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte siz hesab\u0131 b\u00f6yle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z zaman da zaten i\u00e7te ve d\u0131\u015fta inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z kalm\u0131yor. Herhangi bir yat\u0131r\u0131m alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z varsa da alam\u0131yorsunuz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc herkes d\u00f6rt i\u015flem biliyor.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm hesaplar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 4,60\u2019tan neden yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 san\u0131yorum \u00f6\u011frenmek hakk\u0131m\u0131z. Yoksa 2018 \u00f6zellikle yaz aylar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hi\u00e7 de ho\u015f ge\u00e7medi. Ortalama ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 s\u00f6yleyecekseniz neden en tepeyi yok sayd\u0131n\u0131z?<\/p>\n<p>Peki bu g\u00fcn sonunda bizim durumumuzda de\u011fi\u015fiklik yap\u0131yor mu? Sofradaki zeytin de, ekmek de, et de, patates de azalmaya devam ediyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcme mi? \u0130\u015fte ger\u00e7ek bu. Ortada sadece \u015fi\u015fme ve \u015fi\u015firme var.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1026622615\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><u><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 2,6 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Asl\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 \u2013 6 diliminin alt\u0131 \u00fclkemiz i\u00e7in k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme anlam\u0131na geliyor. Zaten vatanda\u015f da bunu iliklerine&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-57010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57010"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57010\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}