{"id":56902,"date":"2019-02-15T08:58:59","date_gmt":"2019-02-15T05:58:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=56902"},"modified":"2019-02-15T08:58:59","modified_gmt":"2019-02-15T05:58:59","slug":"bize-bir-sey-olmaz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/bize-bir-sey-olmaz\/","title":{"rendered":"Bize bir \u015fey olmaz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyada ekonomik anlamda ortay\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan r\u00fczgarlar iyi izlenimler vermiyor. Bir tarafta artan ticari sava\u015flar \u00f6te tarafta faiz tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, jeopolitik risklerle beslendi\u011finde daha temkinli olunmas\u0131 gereken bir foto\u011fraf veriyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-37740470\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yani 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n yaz aylar\u0131n\u0131n, k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131ndan daha sert ge\u00e7ece\u011fi belli. Nitekim yap\u0131lan t\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 toplant\u0131larda verilen mesajlara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda, bunun bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ve domino etkisi yapmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u00f6ylemler geli\u015ftirildi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz.<\/p>\n<p>Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n adeta kara listeye al\u0131nmas\u0131, h\u00fck\u00fcmet a\u00e7ma kapatmalar\u0131n ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc hal tehdidiyle bezenmesi ABD\u2019nin politikalar\u0131n\u0131n sertle\u015fece\u011finin habercisi gibi. \u00d6te tarafta Suriye meselesinde bir a\u015famaya gelinmi\u015f olmas\u0131 bizim i\u00e7in iyi ama tan\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bir y\u00f6netim foto\u011fraf\u0131n\u0131n, hangi sorunlar\u0131 beraberinde getirece\u011fi bilinmezliklerle dolu.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran konusunun biraz daha sorunlu hale gelece\u011fini, Suudi Arabistan\u2019a yap\u0131lan uygulaman\u0131n bir aba alt\u0131ndan sopa g\u00f6sterme niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131ndan da anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fin resesyon ya da en iyi ihtimalle ekonomik zorluk boyutu ve finansman\u0131n gittik\u00e7e zor ve pahal\u0131 eri\u015filebilir hale gelmesi de bizim i\u00e7in iyi ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n habercisi de\u011fil. Son \u00e7\u0131kan OECD raporuna bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanma maliyetinin art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin birinci s\u0131rada olmas\u0131 da bizde s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyadan daha fazla oldu\u011funu anlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bizi risk oran\u0131nda Meksika, \u0130talya ve Macaristan izliyor. Burada da Trump\u2019\u0131n Meksika tak\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla bezenece\u011fini, Avrupa ekonomisinin de sorunlu bir halde ihracattan finansmana bizi etkileyece\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Bu \u00fclkelere dikkat edin, 2019\u2019un ilerleyen aylar\u0131nda IMF ile daha \u00e7ok isimlerinin zikredildi\u011fini g\u00f6receksiniz. \u0130\u00e7lerinde zaten uzla\u015f\u0131 noktas\u0131nda olanlar var. Fakat ne tip yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n masaya gelece\u011fini bilmiyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Bir do\u011fu, bir de g\u00fcney Avrupa \u00fclkesinin sorunlu olmas\u0131 ise, bizim turizmden ihracata kadar finansman d\u0131\u015f\u0131 alanlarda da problemlerimiz oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kuzey ve orta Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n da bundan etkilenmeyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek hayalcilik olur.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1291189709\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Peki t\u00fcm bu foto\u011fraf i\u00e7erisinde b\u0131rak\u0131n g\u0131da ve ge\u00e7im tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz ekonomik seviyeyi, bizim bunlar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir resim verebilmemiz m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc?<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7ime giden \u00fclkede iktidara bakarsan\u0131z her \u015fey yolunda. Yani ne bizdeki kronik hastal\u0131klar, ne de d\u00fcnyada yay\u0131lan rahats\u0131zl\u0131klar ba\u015fka bir boyutta ya\u015fan\u0131yor gibi davran\u0131l\u0131yor. Halen bir ba\u015far\u0131 hikayesi yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z alg\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde, \u00f6nlem almak bir yana, artan bir harcama e\u011filimi i\u00e7erisinde s\u00fcr\u00fckleniyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Bu tip d\u00f6nemler asl\u0131nda dersini iyi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 da beraberinde getirir. Fakat T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ders \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131n, eksik ya da sorunlu taraflar\u0131yla bile y\u00fczle\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebilmek pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bizim klasik bir \u00f6nlemimiz var; o da bir c\u00fcmlede gizli: Bize bir \u015fey olmaz. Sizce de olmaz m\u0131?<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3375252045\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><u><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnyada ekonomik anlamda ortay\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kan r\u00fczgarlar iyi izlenimler vermiyor. Bir tarafta artan ticari sava\u015flar \u00f6te tarafta faiz tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, jeopolitik risklerle beslendi\u011finde daha temkinli olunmas\u0131 gereken&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-56902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56902","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56902"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56902\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}