{"id":56705,"date":"2019-01-09T16:24:29","date_gmt":"2019-01-09T13:24:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=56705"},"modified":"2019-01-09T16:24:29","modified_gmt":"2019-01-09T13:24:29","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-2019-riskler-ve-firsatlar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-2019-riskler-ve-firsatlar\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; 2019: Riskler ve F\u0131rsatlar"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>2019 ilgin\u00e7 bir y\u0131l olacak. Kendi ba\u015f\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda zor ve s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 dursa da birka\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131 kapsayan bir b\u00fct\u00fcn i\u00e7inde bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok f\u0131rsat\u0131 da beraberinde getiren bir y\u0131l olacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3101707934\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan y\u00fcksek kur s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 ve belki ondan da \u00f6nemlisi s\u00fcreklilik kazanan kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve onun sonucu olarak \u00e7\u0131kan faizlerdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fler karar al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m, \u00fcretim, i\u015f yapma gibi \u00f6nemli konulardaki yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 son derecede olumsuz etkiledi. Kurda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu s\u0131\u00e7ramalar, ithal girdi fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla maliyetleri artt\u0131rd\u0131 ve bu da fiyatlara yans\u0131yarak enflasyonu y\u00fckseltti. Bu geli\u015fme, kitlelerin sat\u0131nalma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in talep daralmas\u0131na ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00fcretimde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bunu sanayi \u00fcretiminde ve imalat sanayii kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerden g\u00f6zlemleyebiliyoruz. Bu pe\u015f pe\u015fe gelen etkiler b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle sonu\u00e7land\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 1,6 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin son \u00e7eyrekte eksi \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk iki \u00e7eyre\u011finde de devam edecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. D\u0131\u015f finansmana ihtiyac\u0131 olan kurulu\u015flar bu ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 eskiden oldu\u011fu gibi fazlas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131layamad\u0131lar, hatta tam olarak da kar\u015f\u0131layamad\u0131lar. D\u0131\u015f kaynak bulman\u0131n maliyeti y\u00fckseldi. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan olumsuzluklar reel kesimi ciddi bi\u00e7imde etkiledi. Bir\u00e7ok kurulu\u015f konkordatoya gitti, iflas eden ve batanlar oldu, i\u015ften eleman \u00e7\u0131karmalar artt\u0131. Bu geli\u015fmeler ku\u015fkusuz bankalar\u0131 da etkiledi. Bankalar\u0131n durumu 2001 krizi sonras\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rmayla olduk\u00e7a sa\u011flam bir yap\u0131ya kavu\u015fturulmu\u015f olsa da reel kesimdeki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar bankalar\u0131 da sarsmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bir ekonomide bankalar o ekonomideki reel kesim kadar sa\u011flamd\u0131r. Reel kesim sorunluysa bankalar\u0131n sorunsuz olmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2019\/01\/2019-riskler-ve-frsatlar.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>.<\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131 2019 ilgin\u00e7 bir y\u0131l olacak. Kendi ba\u015f\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda zor ve s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 dursa da birka\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131 kapsayan bir b\u00fct\u00fcn i\u00e7inde bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-56705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56705\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}