{"id":56686,"date":"2019-01-06T18:16:16","date_gmt":"2019-01-06T15:16:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=56686"},"modified":"2019-01-06T18:16:16","modified_gmt":"2019-01-06T15:16:16","slug":"cetin-unsalan-2019-neden-issizlik-yili","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-2019-neden-issizlik-yili\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; 2019 neden i\u015fsizlik y\u0131l\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>\u00dclkenin yeni y\u0131lla birlikte farkl\u0131 ve zorlu bir s\u00fcrece girdi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Esasen bu \u00e7ok s\u00fcrpriz de\u011fil. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finden beri 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n bir numaral\u0131 g\u00fcndem maddesinin i\u015fsizlik olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorum.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2691185443\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bakan Albayrak hangi hedefleri tutturdu me\u00e7hul ama, bir ger\u00e7ek var ki sokakta i\u015fler hi\u00e7 de ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerindeki gibi gitmiyor. 2018\u2019de deval\u00fcasyonla ba\u015flayan s\u00fcre\u00e7, zaten var olan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 daha da tahamm\u00fcl edilemez noktaya getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Ard\u0131ndan arka arkaya patlayan konkordatolar, \u00f6nlenemeye i\u015fsizlik ve k\u0131r\u0131lan \u00f6demeler zinciri bir yanda, d\u0131\u015f ticaret rakamlar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda d\u00fc\u015fen kazan\u00e7lar ile stoktan mal satarak ihracat rekoru k\u0131rma ger\u00e7e\u011fi \u00f6b\u00fcr tarafta bize bu sinyallerin tamam\u0131n\u0131 veriyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 me\u015frubat fabrikas\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda farkl\u0131 \u015feyler anlatsa da d\u00f6viz pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 203 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan reel sekt\u00f6r a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan durum pek parlak de\u011fil. \u00d6ncelikle enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda i\u00e7 piyasan\u0131n daha da daralt\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k. Sonu\u00e7 al\u0131nabilece\u011fini sanm\u0131yorum ama bu e\u011filim zaten siftah yap\u0131lmayan ve \u00f6demeler zinciri k\u0131r\u0131lan firmalar\u0131 daha da zorlayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca konkordatolar ile birlikte tedarik\u00e7iler ve \u00fcreticiler kulvar\u0131nda hi\u00e7 hesaplanmayan sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n i\u015fsizli\u011fe olumsuz etki yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmemek i\u00e7in k\u00f6r olmak gerekir. Son olarak y\u00fczde 26,5 oran\u0131nda zamlanan asgari \u00fccretin \u00fczerindeki vergi ve prim y\u00fcklerinin de 100 TL ile tolere edilemeyece\u011fi biliniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Esnaf boyutuna bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z T\u00fcrkiye Esnaf ve Sanatkarlar\u0131 Konfederasyonu halen 6 ay geri \u00f6demesiz can suyu kredisi derdindeyse orada i\u015flerin parlak olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca verilen kredilerin de i\u015fleri geli\u015ftirmeye yaramad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Merkez Bankas\u0131 Kredi Anketi, kredilerin daha da daralaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilen kredilerin de borcun yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Yani ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde verilen krediler, sadece borcun daha y\u00fcksek faizle \u00f6telenmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sorunu ortadan kald\u0131rmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, i\u015fletmelere faiz nedeniyle art\u0131 bir maliyet ve \u00f6deme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u011f\u00fc daha getiriyor. Sadece sanayi kenti Kocaeli\u2019de bile 4 adliyede icra dosyalar\u0131n\u0131n 500 bin adedi a\u015fm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir sinyaldir. Bunun ildeki her 4 ki\u015fiden birinin icral\u0131k oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6yleniyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3922524220\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndan b\u00fct\u00e7eye Ar-Ge anlam\u0131nda 12 milyar TL\u2019nin biraz \u00fczerinde harcama yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 da ciddiye al\u0131nacak bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm e\u011filimi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu rakamlar\u0131n d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki firmalar\u0131n harcamalar\u0131 yan\u0131nda \u00e7ok g\u00fcd\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, hatta Ar-Ge anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da bamba\u015fka u\u00e7larda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f ticarete gelince; d\u00fcnyadaki yava\u015flaman\u0131n ve paran\u0131n maliyetlenmesinin, hem birim de\u011fer, hem de denge d\u00fczeyinde \u00fcretimsizle\u015fme ya da kazan\u00e7s\u0131z mal satmaya y\u00f6nelik bir e\u011filimi de beraberinde getirdi\u011fini biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131 alt alta koydu\u011funuzda ise t\u00fcm ekonomi yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n Mart se\u00e7imlerinden ibaret olmas\u0131, sorunun ger\u00e7ekten anla\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bize g\u00f6steriyor. Ne yaz\u0131k ki, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7 b\u0131rak\u0131n yeni istihdam yaratmay\u0131, istihdam edilenlerin bile i\u015fsizlik ger\u00e7e\u011fiyle y\u00fczle\u015fece\u011fi bir s\u00fcreci beraberinde getiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Siz t\u00fcm bunlara ra\u011fmen, Mart ay\u0131ndaki se\u00e7imlerin kimi kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015fuyorsan\u0131z; \u00fczg\u00fcn\u00fcm ama sorunu hi\u00e7 anlamam\u0131\u015fs\u0131n\u0131z demektir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1318158269\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><u><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00dclkenin yeni y\u0131lla birlikte farkl\u0131 ve zorlu bir s\u00fcrece girdi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Esasen bu \u00e7ok s\u00fcrpriz de\u011fil. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finden beri 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n bir numaral\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-56686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56686","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56686"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56686\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56686"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56686"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56686"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}