{"id":56563,"date":"2018-12-13T02:25:09","date_gmt":"2018-12-12T23:25:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=56563"},"modified":"2018-12-13T02:25:09","modified_gmt":"2018-12-12T23:25:09","slug":"cetin-unsalan-ekonomi-gizli-iflasa-surukleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-ekonomi-gizli-iflasa-surukleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Ekonomi gizli iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fckleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Bir ekonominin ayakta kalabilmesi, kasas\u0131na art\u0131 para koymas\u0131, ancak gelirlerinin giderinden \u00e7ok olmas\u0131 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan her sonu\u00e7, \u015fayet kurguyu de\u011fi\u015ftirecek bir \u015fey yapm\u0131yorsan\u0131z iflas ile sonu\u00e7lan\u0131r.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1453848327\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bir \u015firket d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ki sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrekli artt\u0131rs\u0131n; ama buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelirleri d\u00fc\u015fs\u00fcn. Yine bir \u015firket d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ki al\u0131mlar\u0131 azalsa da, \u00f6dedi\u011fini maliyet s\u00fcrekli art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stersin. Sizce b\u00f6yle bir yap\u0131n\u0131n sonu ne olur?<\/p>\n<p>\u015eayet mali tablolar\u0131n\u0131 ciddiyetle takip etmiyorsa iflasla sonu\u00e7lanacak bu hadise, ticaretinin de a\u00e7\u0131k verdi\u011fi bir foto\u011fraf sergiliyorsa gizli iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenen, hatta gizli iflas i\u00e7erisinde olan bir yap\u0131y\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze koyar.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin son d\u00f6nemde en \u00f6nemli \u00f6v\u00fcn\u00e7 meselesi ne? \u0130hracatta, Cumhuriyet tarihinin rekorunu arka arkaya k\u0131r\u0131yor olmak. Zaten iktisat tarihiniz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemden 1 dolar \u00f6teye gittiyseniz, bundan daha do\u011fal bir sonu\u00e7 olamaz. Yani her 1 dolarda rekoru k\u0131rars\u0131n\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat bu rekor size g\u00fcn sonunda para kazand\u0131r\u0131r m\u0131, tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. \u015eimdi ekonomi kurmaylar\u0131 ve ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z y\u0131l sonu gelmeden 11 ayda 154 milyar dolar\u0131, 12 ayl\u0131k zaman dilimi i\u00e7inde de 168 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. G\u00fczel mi; elbette g\u00fczel&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Fakat mesele d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda problem b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. Bunu \u0131srarla g\u00f6rmezden geldikleri i\u00e7in, ben de \u0131srarla hat\u0131rlatmaya devam edece\u011fim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00f6rmezden gelinen bu durum T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini iflasa, g\u00f6rmezden gelindi\u011fi i\u00e7in de h\u0131zla gizli iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fckl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ekim ay\u0131 itibariyle d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 93,8 azald\u0131. D\u00fcz mant\u0131kla bakarsan\u0131z iyi bir \u015fey. Yine ekim ay\u0131 esas al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Ocak \u2013 Ekim 2018 d\u00f6neminin a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ne kadar? 51,6 milyar dolar&#8230; Ekim sonuna bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda dolar \/ TL kuru 5,60 seviyesinde. Yani ihracat\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n 3,5\u2019lardan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in avantaj sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen bir durumda.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 ay\u0131n di\u011fer verilerine bakal\u0131m. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 97,2&#8230; Normal \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin para bas\u0131yor olmas\u0131 laz\u0131m. Peki bu durum \u00fcretim yap\u0131m\u0131zda bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe i\u00e7in mi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131? Hay\u0131r&#8230;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2878798751\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00dcretim i\u00e7in ithalat yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, belki de \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmedi\u011fimiz i\u00e7in. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u00e7 tedarik yoluyla imalat ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiremedi\u011fimizi ve bu konuda bir d\u00fczelme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Peki b\u00f6ylesi bir d\u00f6nemde, yani ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u00fczde 15,7 y\u00fckseldi\u011fi, ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n da y\u00fczde 26,2 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ortamda kazan\u00e7 miktar\u0131m\u0131z ne? \u0130hracattaki 1 birimdeki kazanc\u0131m\u0131z, daha \u00e7ok mal satmam\u0131za ra\u011fmen y\u00fczde 2,3 azald\u0131. Daha az mal almam\u0131za ra\u011fmen de 1 birim ithalattaki giderimiz y\u00fczde 3,4 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Yani d\u0131\u015f ticarette a\u00e7\u0131k kapatmak ad\u0131na i\u015fleri tersine \u00e7eviriyoruz; daha \u00e7ok mal sat\u0131p birim ba\u015f\u0131na daha az para kazan\u0131rken, daha az mal al\u0131p, birim ba\u015f\u0131na daha \u00e7ok para \u00f6d\u00fcyoruz. Daha k\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fc bununla ilgili hi\u00e7bir kayg\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yoruz. Sorar\u0131m size bu gidi\u015f, gizli iflas de\u011fil de nedir?<\/p>\n<p><u>cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/u><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2094208182\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bir ekonominin ayakta kalabilmesi, kasas\u0131na art\u0131 para koymas\u0131, ancak gelirlerinin giderinden \u00e7ok olmas\u0131 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan her sonu\u00e7, \u015fayet kurguyu de\u011fi\u015ftirecek bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-56563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56563"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56563\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}