{"id":56352,"date":"2018-11-05T19:20:29","date_gmt":"2018-11-05T16:20:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=56352"},"modified":"2018-11-05T19:20:29","modified_gmt":"2018-11-05T16:20:29","slug":"cetin-unsalan-iran-muafiyetinde-ince-detay","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-iran-muafiyetinde-ince-detay\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u0130ran muafiyetinde ince detay"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye son derece hayati bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 \u015fimdilik atlatt\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019a olan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar meselesinde muafiyet tan\u0131nan \u00fclkelerden biri oldu. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 bunun dolar \u00fczerindeki etkisi de hemen g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Fakat bu etkinin de risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6telemekten kaynaklanan bir al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hemen belirteyim.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1607567113\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yani bu sahte bahar havas\u0131 dolar ile ilgili konuda sizleri yan\u0131ltmas\u0131n. Ayr\u0131ca s\u00f6z buradan a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015fken, dolar\u0131n 7 seviyelerinden gerilemesine ra\u011fmen, enflasyonun halen \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f trendinde oldu\u011funa da dikkatinizi \u00e7ekerim.<\/p>\n<p>Demek ki dolar kaynakl\u0131 ve f\u0131rsat\u00e7\u0131lardan kaynaklanan bir enflasyon ger\u00e7e\u011fimiz yok. T\u0131pk\u0131 dolar\u0131n jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin etkisiyle zaman\u0131ndan \u00f6nce de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131n, dolar ile ilgili sorunlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 gev\u015femesiyle birlikte ortadan kald\u0131rmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi.<\/p>\n<p>Tekrar konuya d\u00f6ner ve \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 konusunda Amerikal\u0131 yetkililerinin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na bakarsak, mutluluk kelebe\u011fi gibi ortada gezenleri bir kenara koyup, \u00e7ok da konu\u015fulmayan ince bir detay\u0131n \u00fczerinde durmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Pompeo\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fru okursak, \u00c7in, Hindistan, G\u00fcney Kore, Japonya, \u0130talya, Yunanistan, Tayvan ile birlikte T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u2018ge\u00e7ici\u2019 bir muafiyetin tan\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n<p>Bu \u2018ge\u00e7ici\u2019 kavram\u0131n\u0131n tam olarak kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yok. Ne zamana kadar ve nereye kadar ge\u00e7ici bir muafiyetten bahsediyoruz. Yine ayn\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evede d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak yeri g\u00f6\u011f\u00fc inletti\u011fimiz ABD ile bu yumu\u015fayan ili\u015fkilerin bir mant\u0131k \u00e7er\u00e7evesine oturtulmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yani \u2018neden\u2019 sorusunun yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 bulmam\u0131z \u015fart. Hi\u00e7 kimse bana \u2018ABD, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nemine dayanarak geri ad\u0131m att\u0131\u2019 masal\u0131n\u0131 anlatmas\u0131n. Bu inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Amerikan D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n gerek Brunson, gerekse \u0130ran konusundaki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, \u00e7ok net ve tavizsiz oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>O zaman yan\u0131t\u0131 bulunmas\u0131 gereken kritik soru \u015fu: Ne kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu gev\u015femeyi sa\u011flad\u0131k? Nispeten Brunson ile ilgili geli\u015fme g\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcnde oldu. Ama \u0130ran konusu tamamen bilinmezli\u011fini koruyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1413938571\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunun yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 bulamazsak, dolardaki ge\u00e7ici gev\u015femenin de, kald\u0131r\u0131lan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n da, \u0130ran\u2019daki yine ge\u00e7ici muafiyetin de hangi faturayla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze gelece\u011fini bilemeyiz. T\u00fcrk kamuoyuna mutlaka bu yan\u0131tlar\u0131n verilmesi laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin muafiyet alarak kenara \u00e7ekilmesi en b\u00fcy\u00fck hata olur. Bu konuda kendisine anlay\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterilmi\u015f olsa dahi, \u0130ran\u2019a ambargo konusunda kom\u015fusundan yana tav\u0131r koymas\u0131, AB nezdinde olu\u015fan kamuoyunu da hareketlendirerek bu bomban\u0131n fitilin ate\u015flenmesini engellemek i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n<p>Aksi takdirde r\u00fc\u015fvet al\u0131p, kenara \u00e7ekilen bir \u00fclke konumundan, ileride \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir belay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na saracak potansiyel riskli \u00fclke konumuna kadar uzanan geni\u015f bir yelpazede yeni sorunlara kap\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131yoruz demektir.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc \u015fu: Sevin\u00e7 \u00e7a\u011fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131p, i\u015fin asl\u0131n\u0131 anlat\u0131n. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu ince detay, yar\u0131n neler ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n da terc\u00fcmesi olacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3049021090\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><u>cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/u><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye son derece hayati bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 \u015fimdilik atlatt\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019a olan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar meselesinde muafiyet tan\u0131nan \u00fclkelerden biri oldu. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 bunun dolar \u00fczerindeki etkisi de hemen g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-56352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56352","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56352"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56352\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}