{"id":56311,"date":"2018-10-30T19:43:22","date_gmt":"2018-10-30T16:43:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=56311"},"modified":"2018-10-30T19:43:22","modified_gmt":"2018-10-30T16:43:22","slug":"cetin-unsalan-ekonomide-pastirma-yazi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-ekonomide-pastirma-yazi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Ekonomide past\u0131rma yaz\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Dolar\u0131n gev\u015femesiyle birlikte bir nefes al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. Asl\u0131nda bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir stresin ard\u0131ndan ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olan bir durumdu. Fakat \u0131srarla halen d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fil, gev\u015fedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u011fimin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmek istiyorum.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-626011066\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130nan\u0131n ben de her \u015feyin yoluna girdi\u011fini ve ekonomide s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek isterim. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc siyaset\u00e7ileri bir kenara koyarsak, sonu\u00e7ta ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan faturay\u0131 80 milyonla birlikte \u00f6deyenlerden biriyim.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak b\u00f6ylesi bir durum kendini kand\u0131rmaktan \u00f6te bir davran\u0131\u015f olmaz. Dolar\u0131n gev\u015femesini d\u00fcnyadaki trendle birlikte okumak gerekiyor. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ne a\u00e7\u0131klanan ekonomik programlarda, ne \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm diye ortaya sunulanlarda, ne de finansman sa\u011flamadaki kaynak aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Madem her \u015fey yoluna girdi; neden enflasyondaki y\u00fckseli\u015f dizginlenemiyor? Neden ihracat yaparken d\u0131\u015f ticaretimiz g\u00f6rece darald\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u015fahit oluyoruz? Stoklardan mal sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131, \u00fcretim gibi yans\u0131tmakla elimize bir \u015fey ge\u00e7iyor mu? Bu \u00fcr\u00fcnler nas\u0131l yerine konulacak?<\/p>\n<p>Neden konkordatolar\u0131n ard\u0131 arkas\u0131 kesilmiyor? Neden ger\u00e7ekten i\u015fsizlikte bir gev\u015feme yok? \u015eu anda haberlerde kredi faizlerinin dolarla birlikte gev\u015fedi\u011fi s\u00f6ylentileri yay\u0131l\u0131yor. O zaman neden kredi almaya niyetlenen insanlar, piyasa faizinin \u00e7ok \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde oranlarla muhatap oluyor?<\/p>\n<p>Bunu f\u0131rsat\u00e7\u0131l\u0131k diyerek ge\u00e7i\u015ftiremezsiniz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de paran\u0131n maliyetin finans kesimi ad\u0131na da halen \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu biliyoruz. Sadece devletin dolar baz\u0131nda y\u00fczde 7,5 faizle bor\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131, faizler iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karken, tahvil s\u00fcrelerinin 10 y\u0131ldan 5 y\u0131la d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Firmalar\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lan \u00f6demeler zinciri cephesinde dikkate de\u011fer bir iyile\u015fme yok. T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni yerlerde s\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin y\u00fckselece\u011fi t\u00fcm anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na yans\u0131yan, hepsi bir yana hayat\u0131n i\u00e7inden g\u00f6zlerimizle g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz bir ger\u00e7ek. Haber yap\u0131lmasa da, dev firmalar\u0131n s\u00fcrekli i\u015f\u00e7i \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Mesela her \u015fey yoluna girdiyse, Tesla neden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 durdurdu? Yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda her \u015feyin Mart se\u00e7imlerine en az iktisadi hasarla girme plan\u0131 \u00fczerine kuruldu\u011fu \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2178533049\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Peki dolar neden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor? D\u00fc\u015fs\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015fmesine de, bu T\u00fcrkiye yeni bir kaynak buldu\u011fu ve \u00fclkeye para giri\u015fi h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in mi oluyor? Vur ka\u00e7, g\u00fcn\u00fc birlik para giri\u015fleri olabilir. Fakat bunun sorunumuza \u00e7are olacak cinsten oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek hayalcilik olur.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomide past\u0131rma yaz\u0131d\u0131r. Past\u0131rma yaz\u0131na kananlar, \u00f6nlemini almadan yazl\u0131k k\u0131yafetlerle soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p, sonra grip olman\u0131n ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz sonucuyla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n<p>Bence bu s\u00fcrece do\u011fru de\u011ferlendirin. Haz\u0131r maliyetler bu a\u015famadayken bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 azaltman\u0131n yolunu aray\u0131n. Ayr\u0131ca gelinen dolar seviyesinin de 3,5\u2019tan buralara geldi\u011fini, asl\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015fme de\u011fil, gev\u015feme ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ihtiyaca istinaden yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmeyin.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcstelik \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde Rahip krizini a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 konu\u015furken, bunun hangi gerek\u00e7elerle a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmedi\u011fimiz bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 oldu\u011funu, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131yla birlikte \u0130ran s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n devasa bir sorun olarak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze gelece\u011fini de unutmay\u0131n.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2574893094\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yok yine de past\u0131rma yaz\u0131na ve hikaye yaratmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan finans\u00e7\u0131lara inanmak istiyorsan\u0131z; neticesine de katlanacaks\u0131n\u0131z. Sonu\u00e7ta ortaya bir \u015feyler \u00e7\u0131kar; ama o sizin ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaz. T\u0131pk\u0131 f\u0131kradaki gibi:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cKurt borsac\u0131, gen\u00e7 borsac\u0131yla sokakta y\u00fcr\u00fcrken, i\u015fin inceliklerini anlat\u0131yormu\u015f:<br \/>\n&#8211; Durumu de\u011ferlendirirken; ne kadar risk kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, ne kazan\u0131yorum? Hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 \u0130yi yapacaks\u0131n. Mesela bak \u015furaya bir k\u00f6pek pislemi\u015f, normalde i\u011fren\u00e7, ama sana \u2018Parma\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fdir ve yala, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir milyar veririm\u2019 dedi\u011fimde bir f\u0131rsat \u015fekline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr de\u011fil mi?\u00a0&#8211; Elbette.<br \/>\n&#8211; Haydi bakal\u0131m, bir milyar veriyorum, parma\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fdir ve yala.<br \/>\nGen\u00e7 borsac\u0131 denileni yapm\u0131\u015f, ihtiyar kurdun an\u0131nda sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir milyar\u0131 cebe atm\u0131\u015f. Y\u00fcr\u00fcmeye devam ederlerken, gen\u00e7 borsac\u0131 ya\u015fl\u0131 borsac\u0131ya bir \u00f6neride bulunmu\u015f:<br \/>\n&#8211; Benden bir milyar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 geri alabilmeniz i\u00e7in, \u015fu k\u00f6pek pisli\u011fine parma\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 de\u011fdirip yalaman\u0131z\u0131 s\u00f6ylesem, ne dersiniz?\u00a0&#8211; Hemen yapar\u0131m.<br \/>\n&#8211; Yap\u0131n o zaman, ben de paran\u0131z\u0131 geri vereyim.<br \/>\nYa\u015fl\u0131 borsac\u0131 denileni yapm\u0131\u015f ve bir milyar\u0131n\u0131 geri alm\u0131\u015f. Yan yana y\u00fcr\u00fcmeye devam ederlerken, gen\u00e7 borsac\u0131 dayanamay\u0131p sormu\u015f:\u00a0&#8211; Ceplerimizdeki para ayn\u0131, ikimizin de a\u011fz\u0131nda k\u00f6pek pisli\u011fi tad\u0131 var. Ne fark etti ki?<br \/>\nYa\u015fl\u0131 borsac\u0131 yan\u0131t vermi\u015f:<br \/>\n&#8211; \u00d6yle deme; iki milyarl\u0131k i\u015flem hacmi yaratt\u0131k.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><u>cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/u><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar\u0131n gev\u015femesiyle birlikte bir nefes al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. Asl\u0131nda bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir stresin ard\u0131ndan ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olan bir durumdu. Fakat \u0131srarla halen d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fil, gev\u015fedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u011fimin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-56311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56311","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56311"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56311\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56311"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56311"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56311"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}