{"id":56241,"date":"2018-10-17T23:06:50","date_gmt":"2018-10-17T20:06:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=56241"},"modified":"2018-10-17T23:06:50","modified_gmt":"2018-10-17T20:06:50","slug":"cetin-unsalan-merkez-bankalari-ve-siyasetciler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-merkez-bankalari-ve-siyasetciler\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Merkez bankalar\u0131 ve siyaset\u00e7iler"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>FED, yeniden Amerikan Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n hedefinde&#8230; Trump, d\u00fcnyada al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131k haline geldi\u011fi \u00fczere biraz da d\u00fczeysizle\u015ferek Amerikan Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ele\u015ftirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u00dcstelik tavr\u0131n\u0131 da sertle\u015ftirerek&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1380745644\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Peki bu i\u015fe Hacivat \u2013 Karag\u00f6z gibi izleyen bizler bunu ger\u00e7ekten nas\u0131l yorumluyoruz? Zira ayn\u0131 durum biz de dahil, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok yerinde seviyesi farkl\u0131 olmak kayd\u0131yla ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Mesela Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde bu i\u015fin daha kibar yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ama orada durum farkl\u0131&#8230; Zira ters d\u00fc\u015fen Almanya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Merkel. Merkel AB ekonomisi i\u00e7erisinde finans\u00f6r olma \u00f6zelli\u011fiyle s\u00f6z s\u00f6yleme hakk\u0131n\u0131 elde ediyor. \u015e\u00fcphesiz bunu da \u00e7ok iyi niyetli oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in de\u011fil; Almanya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat\u0131nda AB pazar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Yani AMB ve Almanya aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fki, biraz daha farkl\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131dan de\u011ferlendirilmesi gereken bir yap\u0131da. Fakat bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda siyaset\u00e7ilerin, \u00fclkelerinin merkez bankalar\u0131yla s\u00fcrekli bir didi\u015fme i\u00e7inde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Hatta Trump son yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada \u201cFED, benim i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit\u2019 dedi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc faiz artt\u0131rmas\u0131, onun politikalar\u0131na ters bir durum ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Nitekim ayn\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n bizde de ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Son d\u00f6nemde uyum (!) i\u00e7inde g\u00f6r\u00fclse de, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6ncesine kadar didi\u015fmenin oldu\u011funu hepimiz biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc manzara ise iyi polis k\u00f6t\u00fc polis oyunundan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fil. \u0130\u015fte tam da bu noktada merkez bankalar\u0131 ile siyaset\u00e7ilerin g\u00f6lge oyununu iyi okumak laz\u0131m. Buradaki sihirli kelime Trump\u2019\u0131n \u2018ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in onunla konu\u015fmuyorum\u2019 vurgusu&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Son faiz art\u0131r\u0131mda benzer bir s\u00f6ylemin bizde de geldi\u011fini hat\u0131rlayacaks\u0131n\u0131z. Faiz y\u00fckselti ya \u2018g\u00f6rd\u00fcn\u00fcz m\u00fc bak ne kadar ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z\u2019 diye buras\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli ibaresiyle vurguland\u0131. Oysa durum bu kadar masum de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Bunu defaten yazd\u0131m ama ayn\u0131 oyunu devam ettirdikleri i\u00e7in b\u0131kmadan da yazmaya ve hat\u0131rlatmaya devam edece\u011fim. Siyaset, 2 binli y\u0131llarda parasal geni\u015fleme d\u00f6neminde, yanl\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste dizerek yapt\u0131klar\u0131 hatalar\u0131n hesab\u0131n\u0131 vermek istemiyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-319806249\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u00fcnyada ya\u015fanan bu sanal refah ortam\u0131n\u0131 oya tahvil ederek ya da uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131 rahat\u00e7a hayata ge\u00e7irerek g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131lar. Lakin bu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez bir ekonomik model oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in t\u00fcketen d\u00fcnyadaki patlayan bor\u00e7lanma, hedge fonlar \u00fczerinden ya\u015fanan soygun gibi sorunlar\u0131n faturas\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa o zaman da, bug\u00fcn de merkez bankalar\u0131 siyaset\u00e7ilerin \u00e7izdikleri \u00e7er\u00e7evede uygulamalara imza at\u0131yorlard\u0131. Yani merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z oldu\u011fu meselesi, \u00e7arp\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015f koca bir yalan. Merkez bankalar\u0131, o \u00fclkedeki h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik politikalar\u0131n amac\u0131na ula\u015fmas\u0131nda, hedeflerin tutturulmas\u0131 yolundaki uygulamalar\u0131nda, kullanacaklar\u0131 enstr\u00fcmanlarda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zd\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Onun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda rotalar\u0131n\u0131 o \u00fclkenin siyasi iradesi belirler. Siz hedefi de\u011fi\u015ftirirsiniz; o da ona uygun bi\u00e7imde hedeflerin tutmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z metotlarla bunun i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Fakat toplamda \u00fcretilen mal ve hizmetlerin 10 kat\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczeri ekonomi yarat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, \u015fimdi aradan \u00e7ekilip, t\u00fcm uygulamalar\u0131n merkez bankalar\u0131na ait oldu\u011funu anlatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<p>Yani yap\u0131lan hatan\u0131n bedeli \u00f6denece\u011finde, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 kurban edip, i\u015fin i\u00e7inden s\u0131yr\u0131l\u0131p, elde ettikleri siyasi kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 da ceplerine koyarak zeytinya\u011f\u0131 gibi \u00fcste \u00e7\u0131kmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1955315339\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Peki bu g\u00f6lge oyunu i\u00e7inde, k\u00f6r d\u00f6v\u00fc\u015f\u00fc sonunda sizce ne olur? Herkes kenara \u00e7ekilir; yoluna gider ve fatura t\u00fcm ha\u015fmetiyle sokaktaki insan\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131r. Yani zorla sokuldu\u011funuz l\u00fcks restoranda \u00e7orba i\u00e7ip, ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131n yedi\u011fi yeme\u011fin faturas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6dersiniz. O nedenle \u015fuculuk buculuk yapmay\u0131n. Sokaktaki herkes ayn\u0131 tarafta&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><u>cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/u><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FED, yeniden Amerikan Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n hedefinde&#8230; Trump, d\u00fcnyada al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131k haline geldi\u011fi \u00fczere biraz da d\u00fczeysizle\u015ferek Amerikan Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ele\u015ftirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u00dcstelik tavr\u0131n\u0131 da sertle\u015ftirerek&#8230; Peki&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-56241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56241"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56241\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}