{"id":55222,"date":"2018-07-06T09:56:53","date_gmt":"2018-07-06T06:56:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=55222"},"modified":"2018-07-06T09:56:53","modified_gmt":"2018-07-06T06:56:53","slug":"ugur-gurses-yollari-catallanan-bahce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ugur-gurses-yollari-catallanan-bahce\/","title":{"rendered":"U\u011fur G\u00fcrses &#8211; Yollar\u0131 \u00e7atallanan bah\u00e7e"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>U\u011fur G\u00fcrses&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>BORGES\u2019in \u00f6yk\u00fcs\u00fc de\u011fil; T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin \u00f6yk\u00fcs\u00fcnde yeni bir yol kav\u015fa\u011f\u0131 belirdi; Ankara 2 haneden 20\u2019li haneye ilerleyen enflasyonu durdurup d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek mi, yoksa eskisi gibi devam m\u0131 edecek?<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-728983722\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Zira enflasyonun y\u00fckseldi\u011fi, y\u00fcksek seyretme e\u011filimine girdi\u011fi bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te bu g\u00f6zetilmezse durgunlukla birlikte \u00e7ok \u015firketin ve yoksulun can\u0131n\u0131 yakar. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u201cde\u011firmenin suyu\u201d d\u0131\u015f kaynakt\u0131r. De\u011firmenin de suyunun kesildi\u011fi bir s\u00fcre\u00e7teyiz.<\/p>\n<p>Sal\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon oran\u0131, bu kadar y\u00fcksek oranda kur \u015foku yiyen ekonomide fiyatlara ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011fin y\u00fcksek olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Son 3 ayl\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ivmesi \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n enflasyona dair teknik notuna g\u00f6re temel mallarda fiyat art\u0131\u015f ivmesi y\u00fczde 22, hizmetlerde ise y\u00fczde 16\u2019ya yak\u0131n art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminde. Yani ad\u0131m at\u0131lmazsa \u201ck\u00f6t\u00fc geride kald\u0131\u201d demeye hen\u00fcz \u00e7ok uza\u011f\u0131z. Hele \u00e7ekirdek fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n e\u011filiminin de y\u00fczde 18\u2019lerde oldu\u011fu, y\u00fczde 24\u2019e vuran \u00fcretici imalat fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n devam etti\u011fi hesaba kat\u0131l\u0131rsa enflasyonda yeni bir e\u015fi\u011fe, y\u00fczde 20\u2019ye itecek bir e\u015fi\u011fe geldi\u011fimiz g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim bankan\u0131n notunda; TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n mallardan hizmet gruplar\u0131n\u0131n geneline yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, bunda maliyet yan\u0131nda talep y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkilerin de hissedildi\u011fi; b\u00f6ylece \u00e7ekirdek g\u00f6stergelerin y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ve ana art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimlerinin kayda de\u011fer bir bi\u00e7imde y\u00fckseldi\u011fi vurgulan\u0131yor. \u201cMaliyet enflasyonudur gelir ge\u00e7er\u201d gerek\u00e7esini pi\u015firmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kesimlere de mesaj olmu\u015f bu.<\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda y\u00fczde 16.5\u2019luk bir orana t\u0131rmanacak. Akaryak\u0131t ve do\u011fal gaz fiyatlar\u0131 gibi ertelenen ve ask\u0131da tutulan ayarlamalar yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da enflasyon y\u00fczde 16.50\u2019nin \u00fczerine ko\u015facak. Gerisini ise g\u00f6rece\u011fiz; bankan\u0131n da i\u015faret etti\u011fi gibi y\u00fczde 18-20\u2019lik fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 e\u011filimi genele yay\u0131l\u0131yorsa yollar yoku\u015fta \u00e7atallan\u0131yor demektir.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi mali piyasada bu hesab\u0131 yapanlar, para ve tahvil piyasas\u0131 fiyatlamalar\u0131n\u0131 hemen de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Bir y\u0131ll\u0131k vadede bankalararas\u0131 para piyasas\u0131 bor\u00e7 verme faizleri y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerine demir att\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 ise haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda kendi politika faizini y\u00fczde 17.75\u2019e \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Hali haz\u0131rda piyasa ile aras\u0131ndaki fark 2-2.5 puana \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00d6yle ki 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi y\u00fczde 17.70\u2019e vurmu\u015f iken Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 17.75\u2019lik bir faizle enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na alaca\u011f\u0131na kimse ikna olmaz.<\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in<a href=\"http:\/\/www.hurriyet.com.tr\/yazarlar\/ugur-gurses\/yollari-catallanan-bahce-40888048\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"> TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U\u011fur G\u00fcrses&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131 BORGES\u2019in \u00f6yk\u00fcs\u00fc de\u011fil; T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin \u00f6yk\u00fcs\u00fcnde yeni bir yol kav\u015fa\u011f\u0131 belirdi; Ankara 2 haneden 20\u2019li haneye ilerleyen enflasyonu durdurup d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek mi,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1481,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,824],"class_list":["post-55222","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-ugur-gurses-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55222","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55222"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55222\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}