{"id":54928,"date":"2018-06-13T03:15:30","date_gmt":"2018-06-13T00:15:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=54928"},"modified":"2018-06-13T03:15:30","modified_gmt":"2018-06-13T00:15:30","slug":"cetin-unsalan-dolar-neden-fren-tutmuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-dolar-neden-fren-tutmuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Dolar neden fren tutmuyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyondan girdi maliyetlerine kadar hemen hemen her konuyu etkileyen dolar \/ TL kuru, yap\u0131lan t\u00fcm giri\u015fimlerin ard\u0131ndan yeniden faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ncesi seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ekonominin k\u0131smen bayram tatiline girdi\u011fi bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te bu y\u00fckseli\u015f, normal zamandan daha anlaml\u0131 olarak nitelendirilmeli.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1351634703\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Zira bu haliyle bayram sonras\u0131 ya y\u00fckseli\u015fi ya da y\u00fckselen faiz i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 beraberinde getirecektir. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte anormal bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, dolar\u0131n halen gev\u015fememesi gelecek ad\u0131na da bize bir \u015feyler anlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bunun i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f sebepleri oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmek gerekir. Bir tarafta Kuzey Kore \u2013 ABD hatt\u0131ndan olumlu sinyaller gelse de, bilhassa \u0130ran \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131yor olmas\u0131, jeopolitik bir gerilimi de beraberinde getiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Kandil\u2019e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 harekat ve ter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadelenin de b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00fczerinde y\u0131prat\u0131c\u0131 bir etkisi oldu\u011funu g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemek laz\u0131m. Bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli risk alg\u0131s\u0131 da G7 Zirvesi\u2019nde ABD \u2013 AB aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan geriliminin ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n, ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak da kur sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131z\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7e d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fczde ise bir tarafta art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckselten cari a\u00e7\u0131k, di\u011fer tarafta enflasyondaki beklentinin y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinde olmas\u0131, bankalar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fen kredi notlar\u0131, bunun piyasalara y\u00f6nelik nakit s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 derinle\u015ftirece\u011fi ya da paray\u0131 maliyetli hale getirece\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011fi, se\u00e7im ekonomisinin s\u00f6ylenenin aksine sert bir bi\u00e7imde uygulanmas\u0131, se\u00e7im sonras\u0131na y\u00f6nelik mevcut iktidar\u0131n s\u00f6ylemlerinin \u2018hesaplayaca\u011f\u0131z\u2019 noktas\u0131na varmas\u0131 bu riski y\u00fckselten ve gev\u015femeyi de engelleyen fakt\u00f6rler.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat her zaman s\u00f6yledi\u011fim gibi bunlar ancak dolar \/ TL kurundaki hareketleri belirler. Bu hareketin de \u00e7ok a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir seyir i\u00e7inde olmayaca\u011f\u0131 da art\u0131k net bir bi\u00e7imde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na ra\u011fmen fren tutmamas\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ek sebebi, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 16 y\u0131ll\u0131k savurganl\u0131k ve miras yedilik tavr\u0131d\u0131r. Bunu asla unutmamak gerekir. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeler ancak risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckselten ya da azaltan e\u011filimlerdir.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi a\u00e7\u0131ktad\u0131r ve k\u0131r\u0131lgan oldu\u011funu tespit etmek i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 yoktur. Bu nedenle dolar\u0131n, son faiz hamlesinin ard\u0131ndan, yeni enflasyon verisinin de gelmesiyle birlikte faizde art\u0131\u015f talebini \u015fiddetlendirece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3899215099\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ekonomi y\u00f6netimi \u015fayet dikkatli olmaz ve bu s\u00fcreci ak\u0131lc\u0131 y\u00f6netmezse, bir faiz sarmal\u0131na girilmesi ise ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ne kadar faiz artt\u0131r\u0131rsan\u0131z art\u0131r\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere, kullan\u0131labilecek maliyetlerde para gelmeyecek. Acil ihtiya\u00e7lar ise dolara talebi artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi s\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eayet g\u00fcnl\u00fck sahte ba\u015far\u0131lar ile avunmay\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131p, d\u00fcnyay\u0131 do\u011fru okuyup, ekonomik ger\u00e7eklerimizle y\u00fczle\u015fmezsek, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak faturan\u0131n boyutu daha da artacakt\u0131r. Genelde ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin, \u00f6zelde de reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn ve vatanda\u015flar\u0131n bor\u00e7 yap\u0131land\u0131rmas\u0131na gitmesi, bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ve alacaklar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netecek yeni metotlar aramas\u0131 zorunludur. Zira bu filmin sonu, mevcut zihniyetle ho\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p><u><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyondan girdi maliyetlerine kadar hemen hemen her konuyu etkileyen dolar \/ TL kuru, yap\u0131lan t\u00fcm giri\u015fimlerin ard\u0131ndan yeniden faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ncesi seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ekonominin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-54928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54928","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54928"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54928\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54928"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54928"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54928"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}