{"id":54862,"date":"2018-06-07T18:55:51","date_gmt":"2018-06-07T15:55:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=54862"},"modified":"2018-06-07T18:55:51","modified_gmt":"2018-06-07T15:55:51","slug":"cetin-unsalan-avrupa-pazarindan-gelen-sinyal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-avrupa-pazarindan-gelen-sinyal\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Avrupa pazar\u0131ndan gelen sinyal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye k\u0131s\u0131r tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n i\u00e7erisinde debelenirken, ihracatta en kritik pazar\u0131m\u0131z olan Avrupa\u2019dan k\u00f6t\u00fc bir sinyal geldi. \u0130\u015fin siyaset\u00e7ilerin uzmanl\u0131k alan\u0131 olan hamaseti bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131rsak, kabullenmemiz gereken bir ger\u00e7ek var. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7indeki Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 50\u2019lerin \u00fczerine tekrar \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3721751208\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu resim bizim i\u00e7in risklidir. Asl\u0131nda hangi pazara y\u00f6nelik ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k yarat\u0131rsan\u0131z, o problem te\u015fkil eder. Tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 tek bir de\u011fere yat\u0131rmak ile, yumurtalar\u0131 farkl\u0131 sepetlere koymak aras\u0131ndaki fark kadar a\u00e7\u0131k bir ger\u00e7ekten s\u00f6z ediyorum.<\/p>\n<p>Lakin ger\u00e7e\u011fi de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edemeyiz. Yeni sepetler yarat\u0131rken, Avrupa ile kimseye faydas\u0131 olmayan tart\u0131\u015fmalara girmenin anlam\u0131 yok. Bu ifademden \u00fclke \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 kast etmiyorum. Ama onlar\u0131n da kavga etmeden konu\u015fulabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa pazar\u0131 ile ili\u015fkilerimizi d\u00fczenli bir bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmesini de ak\u0131lc\u0131 metotlarla yapmak gerekiyor. \u00d6nce bizim ad\u0131m\u0131za gelen sinyale bakal\u0131m. Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc hi\u00e7 ho\u015f de\u011fil. Hele ki yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klama sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticilerinin beklentilerinden olu\u015fuyorsa, \u00fczerinde iki kere d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek gerekir.<\/p>\n<p>Son a\u00e7\u0131klanan endekse g\u00f6re sat\u0131n alma e\u011filimi son 1,5 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Buna AB\u2019de ba\u015flayan hisse sat\u0131n almalar\u0131ndaki k\u0131s\u0131tlama tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 da eklerseniz, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir problem var demektir. \u00d6zetle pazarda daralma riski bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>O zaman buna bir \u00f6nlem olarak, en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerimizle ili\u015fkilerimizi geli\u015ftirecek bir metot bulmal\u0131y\u0131z. Bu k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ve siyasetin g\u00f6stermelik ziyaretleriyle ya da gelece\u011fin \u00f6nemli pazarlar\u0131ndan biri olan Afrika a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131yla tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclebilecek bir mesele de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye, en k\u0131sa zamanda devletlerin de destekledi\u011fi \u2018B\u00f6lgesel \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Toplant\u0131lar\u0131\u2019na bir bi\u00e7imde \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etmelidir. Kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerimizden ba\u015flayarak ve co\u011frafyay\u0131 suya at\u0131lan ta\u015f misali geli\u015ftirerek yap\u0131lacak bu toplant\u0131lar, civar\u0131m\u0131zdaki \u00fclkelerin de \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltacak \u00f6nemdedir. Bu nedenle herkes bu i\u015fin ucundan tutar.<\/p>\n<p>Yap\u0131lacak toplant\u0131larda her \u00fclke avantajl\u0131 oldu\u011fu \u00fcr\u00fcnler se\u00e7meli, d\u0131\u015f ticaret yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 dengeleyecek bir bi\u00e7imde ticaret yapmal\u0131d\u0131r. Yani \u00f6rne\u011fin her pazara her \u015feyi satman\u0131z gerekmiyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00fcretim a\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011fu, ekonomik s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n kendi i\u00e7inde kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1283224249\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Mesela \u0130ran\u2019da bi\u00e7im ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olan enerji var; onlar da g\u0131dadan giyime, bili\u015fimden in\u015faata kadar kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bizde olan \u00fcr\u00fcnler. Fakat bu i\u015f \u00f6yle bir dengeye oturmal\u0131 ki, a\u00e7\u0131k olu\u015fmadan herkes kazanmal\u0131. Yani kimse ald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan fazla satmamal\u0131 ya da satt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan fazla almamal\u0131. Ayn\u0131 tak\u0131m gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Burada en \u00f6nemli sorun, b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin yap\u0131s\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda tahsilat problemidir. Nitekim zaman zaman konu\u015ftu\u011fumuz i\u015f insanlar\u0131 da b\u00f6lgeye gitmekten bu y\u00fczden imtina ettiklerini dile getiriyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa bu konuda \u00e7ok ak\u0131lc\u0131 bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm var. Daha \u00f6nce televizyon program\u0131mda konuk etti\u011fim i\u015f insan\u0131 ve ayn\u0131 finans uzman\u0131 olan Hakan Hano\u011flu \u00f6nemli bir proje geli\u015ftirmi\u015fti. Hano\u011flu, b\u00f6lgeyi \u00e7ok iyi bilen bir profesyonel. Bu \u00f6nerisini devlet yetkililerine aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da biliyorum. Sistem \u015f\u00f6yle \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6rne\u011fin Irak ya da \u0130ran ile bir ticaret yapt\u0131n\u0131z. Hi\u00e7 kimse birbirine para \u00f6demiyor. Mesela T\u00fcrkiye \u0130ran\u2019a yapaca\u011f\u0131 enerji \u00f6demesini kasas\u0131nda tutuyor; kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oraya mal satan firmalar da para alm\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-978079612\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ortadaki faturay\u0131 kendi devletine g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve cari hesaptan \u00f6demesini al\u0131yor. Ortada ne bankac\u0131l\u0131k var; ne ba\u015fka bir \u015fey. Devletler de sonra kendi aras\u0131nda mahsupla\u015f\u0131yor. Bunun hem \u00f6rne\u011fin \u0130ran ile ilgili uygulanan ambargoyu gerek\u00e7esiz b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131; hem tahsilat g\u00fcvencesinde sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 patlataca\u011f\u0131, hem de bug\u00fcnlerde en s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 konumuz olan dolar ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 azaltaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye, kendi firmalar\u0131na paray\u0131, kur kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 TL olarak \u00f6deyecek.<\/p>\n<p>Dedi\u011fim gibi, bu halka geni\u015fletilebilir. Ama \u00f6nce kimin kimden ne alabilece\u011fi net bir bi\u00e7imde masaya yat\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131 ve kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 dengesine dikkat edilmelidir. Bunun da yolu konu\u015fmaktan ve ortak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yapmaktan ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sebeple T\u00fcrkiye Avrupa ile ili\u015fkisini koparmadan, meseleyi bir pazar \u00e7e\u015fitlemesi olarak ele alarak \u2018B\u00f6lgesel \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Toplant\u0131lar\u0131\u2019 g\u00fcndeme getirmeli; siyaset bu i\u015fin ancak destek vereni olmal\u0131, sistem TOBB, T\u0130M gibi kurumlar \u00fczerinden g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclmelidir.<\/p>\n<p>Aksi takdirde bu tren de ka\u00e7m\u0131\u015f olacak ve sorunlu olan ekonomimiz ad\u0131na yeni sorunlar yarataca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p><u><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye k\u0131s\u0131r tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n i\u00e7erisinde debelenirken, ihracatta en kritik pazar\u0131m\u0131z olan Avrupa\u2019dan k\u00f6t\u00fc bir sinyal geldi. \u0130\u015fin siyaset\u00e7ilerin uzmanl\u0131k alan\u0131 olan hamaseti bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131rsak, kabullenmemiz&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-54862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54862","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54862"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54862\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54862"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54862"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54862"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}