{"id":54285,"date":"2018-04-24T22:00:47","date_gmt":"2018-04-24T19:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=54285"},"modified":"2018-04-24T16:56:25","modified_gmt":"2018-04-24T13:56:25","slug":"cetin-unsalan-simsekin-buyume-istihdam-iliskisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-simsekin-buyume-istihdam-iliskisi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcme istihdam ili\u015fkisi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Ekonomiden Sorumlu Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, fabrika ayarlar\u0131na d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f olmal\u0131 ki, yine akla mant\u0131\u011fa uymayan hesaplar konusunda ikna \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6nemi atlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1786392927\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Neye g\u00f6re? Yan\u0131t c\u00fcmlenin ba\u015f\u0131nda gizli: \u2018\u0130nanc\u0131m o ki&#8230;\u2019 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in buna inanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu konuda Be\u015ftepe ile ters d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc biliyoruz. Salt para piyasalar\u0131ndan ibaret bir ekonomi anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131na sahip \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in, bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in do\u011fru s\u00f6ylese de, \u00e7arp\u0131k bir ekonomik yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 oldu\u011funun da fark\u0131nday\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim halen finans\u00e7\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla beklenti y\u00f6neterek, ekonomiyi d\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor. Se\u00e7imlerden sonra reformlar yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131ndan s\u00f6z ediyor. Elbette o reformlar, ger\u00e7ekten ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z olan reformlar m\u0131, tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. Hi\u00e7 bir bilimsel verisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir kalk\u0131nma plan\u0131 yapmayan ekonominin sakl\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7e\u011fiyle, olsa olsa D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 ya da IMF reformlar\u0131ndan bahsedebilirsiniz. Nitekim kast edilen de tam bu.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in akl\u0131 o kadar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ki, elmayla armudu kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Mesela d\u00fcnya ortalamada 2002 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 78 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 230 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. O zaman adama sorarlar: Bu gelinen nokta ne? Tela\u015f ne? 468 milyar dolarl\u0131k pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, i\u00e7 d\u0131\u015f 600 milyar dolara vuran toplam bor\u00e7, 55 milyar dolarda gezen cari a\u00e7\u0131k nereden \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131?<\/p>\n<p>Bu kadar iyi durumday\u0131z da; neden i\u015fsizli\u011fimizden enflasyonumuza her \u015fey dolu dizgin \u00e7ift hanelerde seyrediyor; TL neden s\u00fcrekli de\u011fer kaybediyor? \u015e\u00fcphesiz \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in bunlar\u0131n hi\u00e7birine do\u011fruyu bilse bile, a\u00e7\u0131klayabilece\u011fi bir cevab\u0131 yok. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yan\u0131t, Be\u015ftepe\u2019yi k\u0131zd\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Ne yaps\u0131n Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131? O da istihdam verilerine s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131 ki, \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck hata yapt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 230 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek, 8,7 milyon ki\u015fiye i\u015f buldu\u011funu, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye inanmayanlar\u0131n buna bakmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6ncelikle i\u015f buldu\u011fumuz insanlarla ne \u00fcrettik? Hizmet&#8230; D\u00fcnyada yakla\u015fan ve bizim de ders \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ok etkilenece\u011fimiz krizle birlikte en b\u00fcy\u00fck darbeyi hangi sekt\u00f6r yiyecek? Hizmet&#8230; O zaman bu say\u0131lmaz.<\/p>\n<p>Hadi sayd\u0131k diyelim&#8230; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2002 y\u0131l\u0131ndan 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna kadar artan n\u00fcfusu 15 milyon ki\u015fi&#8230; Bu denli efsane (!) bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in sizce istihdam say\u0131s\u0131 da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck derecede anormal de\u011fil mi? Hadi bu da bizden olsun.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3408940860\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye her y\u0131l \u00fcniversitelerden 850 bin ki\u015fi mezun ediyor. Y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek, bunun sadece yakla\u015f\u0131k 500 \u2013 550 binine i\u015f bulabiliyor. Geriye kald\u0131 300 bin ki\u015fi. Hepsine i\u015f buldu\u011fumuzu varsaysak, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda elde edilen istihdam say\u0131s\u0131 t\u00fckeniyor. Peki geriye kalan 5 y\u0131lda ortalama 4,5 milyona yak\u0131n \u00fcniversite mezunu, i\u015fini kaybeden, i\u015f piyasas\u0131na y\u00fcksek \u00f6\u011frenimden \u00e7\u0131kmadan gelenler ne olacak?<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fczde 230 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fcysek ve o b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekten \u015fi\u015fme de\u011fil, kalk\u0131nmaysa, bug\u00fcn bunu mu konu\u015fuyor olurduk? Ayr\u0131ca istihdam g\u00f6z\u00fckenlerin i\u00e7indeki stajyerleri de konu\u015fmuyorum. Daha \u00f6nce sigortas\u0131z \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131p, sigortal\u0131 hale gelenler \u00fczerinden i\u015fverenin te\u015fvik alarak, i\u015f piyasas\u0131na yeni girmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6sterdiklerini saym\u0131yorum.<\/p>\n<p>Son soru: Bu kadar her \u015fey yolundaysa, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 \u2018ekonomide acil\u2019 koduyla neden \u00fclkeyi bask\u0131n se\u00e7ime ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131? Velhas\u0131l kelam \u015eim\u015fek ger\u00e7e\u011fin anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyor. Hi\u00e7bir yerden tutar\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in de 8,7 milyon ki\u015filik istihdama sar\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Ama g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcz gibi o dosyan\u0131n da i\u00e7ini a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir fiyasko ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ger\u00e7ekle y\u00fczle\u015fip, hatalar\u0131 kabul edip, kenara \u00e7ekilmek bu kadar m\u0131 zor? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu yalan r\u00fczgar\u0131nda s\u0131ra \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme gelmiyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3972246978\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ekonomiden Sorumlu Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek, fabrika ayarlar\u0131na d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f olmal\u0131 ki, yine akla mant\u0131\u011fa uymayan hesaplar konusunda ikna \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 d\u00f6nemi&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-54285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54285"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54285\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}