{"id":54106,"date":"2018-04-13T11:06:14","date_gmt":"2018-04-13T08:06:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=54106"},"modified":"2018-04-13T11:06:14","modified_gmt":"2018-04-13T08:06:14","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-tldeki-deger-kaybinin-ne-kadari-disaridan-ne-kadari-iceriden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-tldeki-deger-kaybinin-ne-kadari-disaridan-ne-kadari-iceriden\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; TL\u2019deki De\u011fer Kayb\u0131n\u0131n Ne Kadar\u0131 D\u0131\u015far\u0131dan Ne Kadar\u0131 \u0130\u00e7eriden?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Sorunun Ortaya Konulmas\u0131<\/strong><br \/>\n\u00dclke paras\u0131n\u0131n yabanc\u0131 paralara kar\u015f\u0131 u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n ne kadarl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 d\u0131\u015f geli\u015fmelerden ne kadarl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 i\u00e7 geli\u015fmelerden olur? Son zamanlar\u0131n \u00e7okca tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan konular\u0131 aras\u0131nda bu da yer al\u0131yor. Baz\u0131lar\u0131na g\u00f6re TL\u2019nin de\u011fer kayb\u0131 tamamen d\u0131\u015f geli\u015fmelerin sonucu olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor, baz\u0131lar\u0131na g\u00f6re bu kay\u0131plarda i\u00e7 geli\u015fmelerin yani T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00f6zg\u00fc geli\u015fmelerin de etkisi var. Bir paran\u0131n yabanc\u0131 paralara kar\u015f\u0131 u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7eriden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ebilmenin en kestirme yolu s\u00f6z konusu paray\u0131 belirli bir zaman diliminde, ayn\u0131 kategoride yer alan \u00fclke paralar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmak. Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 yaparken benzer ekonomileri se\u00e7mek hata yapmamak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3384043653\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Geli\u015fme yolundaki ekonomiler aras\u0131nda \u00fcst lig olarak kabul edilen y\u00fckselen pazar ekonomileri kategorisinde s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131lan T\u00fcrkiye, 2013 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri k\u0131r\u0131lgan be\u015fli diye an\u0131lan bir grup i\u00e7inde (Brezilya, Endonezya, G\u00fcney Afrika, Hindistan ve T\u00fcrkiye) ele al\u0131n\u0131yor. Her ne kadar yak\u0131n zamanda k\u0131r\u0131lgan be\u015fli (Arjantin M\u0131s\u0131r, Pakistan, Katar ve T\u00fcrkiye olarak) yeniden tan\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015f olsa da bu yeni kategorilendirme fazlaca itibar g\u00f6rmemi\u015f oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in eski grubu ele alarak bir de\u011ferlendirme yapmak daha uygun olacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Olay Yeri \u0130ncelemesi: Eldeki Veriler<\/strong><br \/>\nYaz\u0131n\u0131n ekinde k\u0131r\u0131lgan be\u015fli olarak an\u0131lan \u00fclkelerin para birimlerinin USD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 22 May\u0131s 2013\u2019den bug\u00fcne kadar ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi de\u011ferleri ele alan iki tablo ve ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde Dolar Endeksini ele alan bir tablo yer al\u0131yor. Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 olarak 22 May\u0131s 2013 tarihini ele almam\u0131z\u0131n nedeni d\u00f6nemin Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bernanke\u2019nin niceliksel gev\u015feme program\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131lsonuna do\u011fru sonland\u0131rabilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcn olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamadan sonra \u00f6zellikle geli\u015fme yolundaki \u00fclke paralar\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bu g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 tarihi almak son d\u00f6nemlerdeki de\u011fi\u015fimleri izleyebilmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan do\u011fru bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ekteki ilk tablo Dolar\u0131n, ABD\u2019nin en \u00f6nde gelen 6 ticaret orta\u011f\u0131n\u0131n para birimlerine (Euro, Yen, Pound, Kanada Dolar\u0131, \u0130sve\u00e7 Kronas\u0131 ve \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren Dolar Endeksini (DXY) ele al\u0131yor ve 22 May\u0131s 2013 = 100 kabul\u00fcyle Dolar Endeksinde o g\u00fcnden bug\u00fcne ya\u015fanan d\u00f6nemsel de\u011fi\u015fimleri g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130kinci tablo, ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde 22 May\u0131s 2013 = 100 kabul ederek k\u0131r\u0131lgan be\u015fli \u00fclkelerinin para birimlerinin endekslenmesini ve sonraki y\u0131llarda bu endekse g\u00f6re de\u011fer de\u011fi\u015fimlerini \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcyor. \u0130kinci tablonun dayana\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan ve bilgi ama\u00e7l\u0131 haz\u0131rlanan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc tablo ise \u00fclke para birimlerinin USD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferlerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimleri g\u00f6steriyor ( 1 \u00dclke Para Birimi = ? USD hesab\u0131yla.)<\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2018\/04\/tldeki-deger-kaybnn-ne-kadar-dsardan-ne.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>.<\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131 Sorunun Ortaya Konulmas\u0131 \u00dclke paras\u0131n\u0131n yabanc\u0131 paralara kar\u015f\u0131 u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n ne kadarl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 d\u0131\u015f geli\u015fmelerden ne kadarl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 i\u00e7 geli\u015fmelerden&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-54106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54106"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54106\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}