{"id":53813,"date":"2018-03-27T15:39:15","date_gmt":"2018-03-27T12:39:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=53813"},"modified":"2018-03-28T08:40:16","modified_gmt":"2018-03-28T05:40:16","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-tl-deger-kaybederse-ihracat-artar-ithalat-azalir-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-tl-deger-kaybederse-ihracat-artar-ithalat-azalir-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez – TL De\u011fer Kaybederse \u0130hracat Artar, \u0130thalat Azal\u0131r m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"
Ekonominin en iyi bilinen hipotezlerinden birisi paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f de\u011fer ile d\u0131\u015fticaret aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi ortaya koyan hipotezdir. \u00dclke paras\u0131 yabanc\u0131 paralara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer kaybederse ihracat ucuz hale gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in artar, ithalat ise pahal\u0131 hale gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in azal\u0131r. Do\u011fru bir hipotezdir bu. Ama her hipotez alt\u0131ndaki varsay\u0131mlar ve \u00e7evrelendi\u011fi ko\u015fullarla ele al\u0131n\u0131p de\u011ferlendirilmelidir. Aksi takdirde hipotezlikten \u00e7\u0131kar, slogan haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. Bu hipotezi ger\u00e7ek ya\u015fama uygularken yan\u0131tlamam\u0131z gereken sorular vard\u0131r: \u0130hra\u00e7 mallar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 satt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00fclkelerin ekonomik durumu nas\u0131ld\u0131r? Acaba onlar bizim artan ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 alabilecek durumda m\u0131d\u0131r? \u0130hra\u00e7 mallar\u0131 ve ithal mallar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Marshall \u2013 Lerner ko\u015fulu mevcut mudur?[i] Bu sorular\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131na bakmadan paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n ihracat\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131p ithalat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek do\u011fru olmaz.<\/p>