{"id":53599,"date":"2018-03-07T23:56:55","date_gmt":"2018-03-07T20:56:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=53599"},"modified":"2018-03-07T23:56:55","modified_gmt":"2018-03-07T20:56:55","slug":"cetin-unsalan-ticaret-savasi-ne-demek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-ticaret-savasi-ne-demek\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ne demek?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Bug\u00fcnlerde herkesin dilinde bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 var. \u00d6zellikle son d\u00f6nemde ABD\u2019nin ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma getirdi\u011fi y\u00fcksek vergiler nedeniyle bu konu daha \u00e7ok g\u00fcndemde. Herkes bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede i\u015fi g\u00f6rmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc olas\u0131 bir risk tetiklemesi istemiyorlar. Hatta IMF Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Lagarde bile \u201cTicaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kazanan\u0131 olmaz\u201d diyerek konuya dahil oldu.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2593055788\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u015e\u00fcphesiz g\u00fczide medyam\u0131z da bu meseleyi kendi istedi\u011fi gibi AB ve T\u00fcrkiye \u2013 ABD ile m\u00fccadele ediyor \u015feklinde vermeyi tercih etti. Oysa kimsenin dile getirmek istemedi\u011fi ger\u00e7ek \u2018korumac\u0131l\u0131k\u2019 kelimesinde d\u00fc\u011f\u00fcmleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Meseleyi anlayabilmek i\u00e7in biraz geriye gidelim. 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda hedge fonlar ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcrev piyasalar \u00fczerinden t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 sarsan krizi \u00e7ok iyi hat\u0131rlayacaks\u0131n\u0131z. O s\u00fcre\u00e7te daha sonra kopan infial neticesinde, yanl\u0131\u015f anlama oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenmesine ra\u011fmen \u0130ngiliz D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n krizin faturas\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin \u00f6deyece\u011fine dair beyan\u0131 da haf\u0131zam\u0131zda.<\/p>\n<p>Yani birinci tespit \u015fu: Mal ve hizmet \u00fcretiminin 10 kat\u0131 boyutunda yarat\u0131lan, 2 binli y\u0131llara damgas\u0131n\u0131 kumarhane ekonomisinin hen\u00fcz \u00f6denmeyen bir faturas\u0131 daha var. \u0130ngiliz D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n s\u00f6z\u00fc asl\u0131nda bir niyetin tezah\u00fcr\u00fcyd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Nitekim sonras\u0131nda ba\u015flat\u0131lan ge\u00e7ici ve ikinci parasal geni\u015fleme buna giden yolda \u00f6nemli bir ad\u0131md\u0131. Havu\u00e7 g\u00f6sterip, cepleri bo\u015faltmak \u00fczerine bir kurguydu. Lakin sonra i\u015fler istendi\u011fi gibi gitmedi. \u00d6nce ad\u0131na Arap Bahar\u0131 denilen banker cehennemi istenen sonucu vermedi ve burada \u00e7ok kutuplu d\u00fcnyan\u0131n olu\u015faca\u011f\u0131 kesinlik kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ard\u0131ndan ABD ilk hamlesini parasal geni\u015flemeyi bitirerek ve akabinde de faiz artt\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na giderek yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. Neticede de bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 halen devam ediyor. Fakat son k\u0131r\u0131lma Ukrayna meselesinde ya\u015fand\u0131. Ukrayna \u2013 Rusya aras\u0131ndaki kriz ve K\u0131r\u0131m Referandumu\u2019nun bat\u0131n\u0131n istedi\u011fi sonu\u00e7larla \u00e7\u0131kmamas\u0131, petrol \u00fczerinden Rusya\u2019ya ambargoyla \u015fekil buldu.<\/p>\n<p>Lakin burada da hesap \u015fa\u015ft\u0131. T\u0131pk\u0131 Suriye meselesinde oldu\u011fu gibi&#8230; AB burada ABD\u2019nin iteklemesiyle \u00f6n al\u0131rken b\u00fcy\u00fck zararlar yazmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Yani yar\u0131n\u0131 kurgulamak ad\u0131na fatura \u00f6demeyi g\u00f6ze alan Rusya hesaplar\u0131 bozdu. Bu durum AB ve ABD aras\u0131ndaki vesayet sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da alevlendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Bir Alman otomotiv firmas\u0131na emisyon \u00fczerinden kesilen cezalarla ba\u015flayan, ABD\u2019li yaz\u0131l\u0131m \u015firketlerine vergi incelemesiyle devam eden ve s\u00fcre gelen bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 ya\u015fand\u0131. Bir tarafta kur sava\u015flar\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131rken, di\u011fer tarafta firmalar \u00fczerinden bir vesayet sava\u015f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1684282795\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ard\u0131ndan Brexit de \u00f6nemli k\u0131r\u0131lmalardan biri oldu. Gerek G20 toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda gerekse de D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, IMF gibi uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n beyanatlar\u0131nda hep ortak vurgu vard\u0131: Korumac\u0131l\u0131ktan ka\u00e7\u0131nal\u0131m. Bunun \u00fclkemizdeki en \u00f6nemli s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc de Ekonomiden Sorumlu Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mehmet \u015eim\u015fek oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Elbette burada \u0131srarla tavsiye edilen yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 da unutmamak laz\u0131m. \u00dclkemizin ihtiyac\u0131 olan yap\u0131sal reformlardan bahsetmiyorum. D\u00fcnya genelinde geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere dayat\u0131lan \u2018siz a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131n biz korunal\u0131m\u2019 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n tezah\u00fcr\u00fcnden s\u00f6z ediyorum. Ne yaz\u0131k ki \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in s\u00f6yledi\u011fi de bundan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Geldi\u011fimiz noktada gelece\u011fin ekonomik, ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak siyasi kavgas\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131rken, bir yandan da herkes \u00f6denmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olan faturadan kendisini korumak, keskinle\u015fen s\u00fcre\u00e7ten de en az hasarla \u00e7\u0131kmak gayesi ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bu s\u00fcreci g\u00f6rmeden, okumadan bahsedece\u011finiz bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ise moda terim olmaktan \u00f6teye gitmez. Bu nedenle d\u00fcnya \u00fcretime y\u00f6nelirken, bizim bu ithal kafay\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmemiz ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. Yoksa bilim bakal\u0131m o fatura ne olacak?<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3342918216\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc meseleyi ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 diye suland\u0131r\u0131p i\u015fin i\u00e7inden \u00e7\u0131kamazs\u0131n\u0131z. Burada bildi\u011fin gelece\u011fin d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde kimlerin s\u00f6z sahibi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fccadelesi ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ve bu m\u00fccadelenin geri tepecek en \u00f6nemli yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131; hamaset dolu s\u00f6zlerle g\u00fcn kaybetmek&#8230; D\u00fcnya ko\u015far ad\u0131m ikinci dibe ve korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011fa gidiyor; peki biz ne yap\u0131yoruz? \u00dcretimsizle\u015fiyoruz&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bug\u00fcnlerde herkesin dilinde bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 var. \u00d6zellikle son d\u00f6nemde ABD\u2019nin ithal \u00e7elik ve al\u00fcminyuma getirdi\u011fi y\u00fcksek vergiler nedeniyle bu konu daha \u00e7ok g\u00fcndemde. Herkes&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-53599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53599"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53599\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}