{"id":52813,"date":"2018-01-05T10:40:04","date_gmt":"2018-01-05T07:40:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=52813"},"modified":"2018-01-05T10:40:04","modified_gmt":"2018-01-05T07:40:04","slug":"taner-berksoy-2018e-karisik-bir-mirasla-basladik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/taner-berksoy-2018e-karisik-bir-mirasla-basladik\/","title":{"rendered":"Taner Berksoy &#8211; 2018\u2019e kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir mirasla ba\u015flad\u0131k"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Taner Berksoy&#8217;un bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6nceki y\u0131ldan devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131 miras ile yola \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 2017\u2019nin miras\u0131 biraz kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. Miras\u0131n i\u00e7inde olumlu unsurlar var. Ama ayn\u0131 tablo g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olumsuzluklar da ta\u015f\u0131yor. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131na aktar\u0131lan olumlu unsurlardan birisi ku\u015fkusuz k\u00fcresel ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. 2017\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi itibariyle y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda (ABD hari\u00e7) k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 3.4 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f. ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n bunun \u00fcst\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnecek olursak t\u00fcm\u00fcyle k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 4 ve \u00fcst\u00fc olarak tahmin etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Uzun s\u00fcren durgunlu\u011fun ard\u0131ndan bunu iyi bir performans olarak de\u011ferlendirmek uygun olur. Her zamanki gibi geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 (y\u00fczde 4.2) geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin (ABD hari\u00e7) b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131ndan (y\u00fczde 2.6) daha y\u00fcksek. Bu geli\u015fmeler bize 2017 y\u0131l\u0131ndan devreden olumlu bir miras olarak yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r zira k\u00fcresel ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi d\u0131\u015f pazarlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 canland\u0131racak, ihracat\u0131m\u0131za ve toplam talebimize olumlu katk\u0131 yapacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2070232545\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2017\u2019den devreden olumlu mirasa y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde h\u0131zlanm\u0131\u015f olan ulusal ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini de eklemek gerekir. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde h\u0131zlanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131ndan da etkilenmi\u015ftir ku\u015fkusuz. Ama baz etkisi, yayg\u0131n ve yo\u011fun te\u015fvikler, kamu harcamalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, uzun bir aradan sonra yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan hacimli geni\u015fleme gibi daha \u00e7ok ulusal kimlikli etkenlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deste\u011fin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz. Bu geli\u015fmenin 2018 i\u00e7in olumlu bir giri\u015f ivmesi sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da s\u00f6ylenebilir. Ancak, \u00f6zellikle s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi g\u00fc\u00e7 olan ulusal etkenlerin deste\u011finin y\u0131la yay\u0131lmas\u0131 ve 2018 y\u0131l boyunca b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye destek sa\u011flamalar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla 2017\u2019de sa\u011flanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme ivmesinin b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle bu y\u0131la ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemektedir. Hen\u00fcz elimizde gerekli veriler yok ama daha 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 bitmeden bu h\u0131z\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n kayboldu\u011funa tan\u0131k olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Yine de g\u00f6rece y\u00fcksek bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n bu seneye devreden miras\u0131n en \u00f6nemli unsuru oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bu ba\u011flamda s\u00f6z konusu olumlu mirasa ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde devam eden sanayi \u00fcretimi ve ihracat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 da katmak do\u011fru olur diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dunya.com\/kose-yazisi\/2018e-karisik-bir-mirasla-basladik\/397168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Taner Berksoy&#8217;un bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6nceki y\u0131ldan devrald\u0131\u011f\u0131 miras ile yola \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 2017\u2019nin miras\u0131 biraz kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. Miras\u0131n i\u00e7inde olumlu unsurlar var. Ama ayn\u0131 tablo&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,828],"class_list":["post-52813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-taner-berksoy-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52813\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}