{"id":52645,"date":"2017-12-24T20:27:43","date_gmt":"2017-12-24T17:27:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=52645"},"modified":"2018-01-07T01:08:19","modified_gmt":"2018-01-06T22:08:19","slug":"cetin-unsalan-ihracatta-127-milyar-dolarlik-sapma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-ihracatta-127-milyar-dolarlik-sapma\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u0130hracatta 127 milyar dolarl\u0131k sapma"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar Meclisi, 2018\u2019de 169 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015farak t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekorunu k\u0131racaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izeyim; t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekoru\u2026 Kula\u011fa ho\u015f geliyor ama bana kal\u0131rsa kendimizi kand\u0131rmaktan ba\u015fka i\u015fe yaramayacak bir vurgu.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1837370075\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yap\u0131s\u0131yla devam etti\u011fi takdirde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ilk 10 ekonomisi i\u00e7erisine girmesi sadece mucizelere ba\u011fl\u0131 ki ben ekonomide mucizelere inanmam. Bu iddia ile yola \u00e7\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2023 ihracat hedeflerine bakmam\u0131z gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu kapsamda 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 hedefinin ne oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rl\u0131yor musunuz? Yine T\u0130M Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mehmet B\u00fcy\u00fckek\u015fi\u2019nin de, 25 May\u0131s 2011 tarihinde ifade etti\u011fi gibi 296 milyar dolar. Demek ki ortada 127 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir sapma var. 2017 itibariyle toplam ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n 157 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini dikkate al\u0131rsak bu g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilebilecek bir oran de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi i\u015fin kolay\u0131na ka\u00e7\u0131p, ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 su\u00e7layarak, \u2018yeteri kadar \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmam\u0131\u015flar\u2019 demek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ama bu \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir haks\u0131zl\u0131k olur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya ile sorunlu hale gelmekten, a\u011f\u0131r Rusya krizine, maliyet y\u00fck\u00fcnden daralan d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131na kadar bir dizi soruna ra\u011fmen bu rakama ula\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ger\u00e7ek problem \u00fclkede iktidar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f siyasi hatalar\u0131yla, yanl\u0131\u015f ekonomik modeli \u00fczerinde yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor. Bunun en a\u00e7\u0131k kan\u0131t\u0131 da 40 milyar dolara yakla\u015fan cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131s\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Ortadaki foto\u011fraf bize d\u00fczeltme anlam\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir yol al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ayn\u0131 ele\u015ftiriyi 500 milyar dolar hedefi a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken de yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Hedefi ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i ya da hayal \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc bulabilirsiniz. Hedef, hedeftir. Ama bundan daha \u00f6nemlisi o hedefe hangi ko\u015fullarda ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131zd\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>O d\u00f6nem AB kaynakl\u0131 bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma raporundan yola \u00e7\u0131karak hesap yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. T\u00fcrkiye bu mantaliteyle 500 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ithalat\u0131 750 milyar dolar oluyordu. Yani d\u00fcz mant\u0131kla 250 milyar dolarl\u0131k d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve neredeyse 200 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir cari a\u00e7\u0131k ger\u00e7e\u011fi.<\/p>\n<p>Peki ihracat\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n foto\u011fraf\u0131 ne? Bu y\u0131l ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen \u0130novasyon ve Giri\u015fimcilik Zirvesi\u2019ndeki konulara, ba\u015fl\u0131klara, konu\u015fmalara ve tart\u0131\u015fmalara bakarsan\u0131z bence \u00fcretici do\u011fruyu g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. As\u0131l sorun ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin bak\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u015fa\u015f\u0131l\u0131k.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-470580195\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00dcretim ekonomisi diye yola \u00e7\u0131karak, halen s\u0131cak para pe\u015finde ko\u015facak, elde \u00fcretime katk\u0131 sa\u011flayacak, ne var ne yok her \u015feyi satacak bir zihniyetle bu sorunu a\u015famay\u0131z. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin mutlaka ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir ekonomik makas de\u011fi\u015fimine ihtiyac\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<p>Aradan 6 y\u0131l ge\u00e7mi\u015f ve halen \u00fclkede sanayi, tar\u0131m ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc evanterleri yap\u0131larak, i\u00e7 tedariki \u00f6ncelikli olarak esas alan bir model olu\u015fturulmam\u0131\u015fsa, ekonomi y\u00f6netimi tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z s\u0131n\u0131fta kalm\u0131\u015f demektir. D\u0131\u015f siyaset performans\u0131 zaten evlere \u015fenlik; tart\u0131\u015fmaya bile gerek yok.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eu an D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, elde edilen sahte, baz etkili ve kalk\u0131nma getirmeyen b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden iktidar\u0131n ruhunu ok\u015fay\u0131p, yap\u0131sal reform s\u00f6zc\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcndeme yerle\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa az \u00f6nce anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131m yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fimle, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 ve IMF\u2019nin bizim de aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fumuz geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere \u00f6nerdi\u011fi yap\u0131sal reformlar aras\u0131nda 180 derece fark var.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3921070303\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ben teknolojiyi bar\u0131nd\u0131ran, i\u00e7 tedarik a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131, yerli \u00fcretimle kalk\u0131nma ama\u00e7l\u0131 yap\u0131sal d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmden s\u00f6z ediyorum. D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kast etti\u011fi ise \u2018biraz daha a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131n da s\u0131k\u0131\u015fan firmalar\u0131m\u0131z mal sats\u0131n\u2019 modeli.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131 alt alta koydu\u011fumuzda \u2018t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekoru\u2019 s\u00f6ylemini bir kenara koyup, 127 milyar dolarl\u0131k sapman\u0131n nedenlerini sorgulamam\u0131z gerekiyor. Aksi takdirde 6 sene sonra da ayn\u0131 \u015feyi konu\u015fuyor olaca\u011f\u0131z ve bu sefer telafi edilemez noktalara gelece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar Meclisi, 2018\u2019de 169 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015farak t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekorunu k\u0131racaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izeyim; t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekoru\u2026 Kula\u011fa ho\u015f geliyor ama bana kal\u0131rsa kendimizi&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-52645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52645","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52645"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52645\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}