{"id":52603,"date":"2017-12-21T01:34:18","date_gmt":"2017-12-20T22:34:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=52603"},"modified":"2018-01-07T01:09:13","modified_gmt":"2018-01-06T22:09:13","slug":"cetin-unsalan-artik-dolar-daha-pahali","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-artik-dolar-daha-pahali\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Art\u0131k dolar daha pahal\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Uzun zamand\u0131r herkesin akl\u0131nda da, dilinde de ayn\u0131 soru: Dolar ne olacak? Her ne kadar yetkililer bu soruyu sorman\u0131n bile sak\u0131ncal\u0131 bir davran\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleseler de, soka\u011f\u0131n ger\u00e7e\u011fi bu.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3440076280\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Oysa bu sorunun yan\u0131t\u0131 \u00e7ok ortada. E\u011fer sizin 434 milyar dolar pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z varsa, \u00fcretip ihracat yapmak i\u00e7in bile dolara ihtiya\u00e7 duyuyorsan\u0131z, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fcn bor\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc noktadaysa, y\u0131ll\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k finansman\u0131yla birlikte borcu d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in ortalama 150 ile 200 milyar dolar nakit bulman\u0131z gerekiyorsa yan\u0131t bellidir.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcnl\u00fck dalgalanmalar\u0131n, yani gev\u015feyip \u00e7\u0131kmalar\u0131n foto\u011fraf\u0131 bir yana, dolar basamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z ya da mucize bir icat yap\u0131p d\u00fcnyan\u0131n tek sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 haline gelemedi\u011finiz s\u00fcrece dolar yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrini devam ettirecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Siz bu noktaya gelene kadar hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapmad\u0131ysan\u0131z da, bug\u00fcn birilerinin sizi k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na engel olamazs\u0131n\u0131z. Ama normal \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda bile, yani hi\u00e7bir olumsuzluk olmasa dahi durum i\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale getirilen ekonomi, d\u00fcnyadaki geli\u015fmelerden de direkt etkileniyor. Mesela Trump\u2019\u0131n zaferi olarak nitelendirilen ABD\u2019de vergi ve istihdam tasar\u0131s\u0131\u2026 \u015eu an itibariyle Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019nden de ge\u00e7ti ve Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n onay\u0131na kald\u0131. Yani kabul edildi say\u0131l\u0131r. Teklifi veren Trump\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2018ABD\u2019nin vergi uygulamas\u0131ndan bize ne\u2019 diyenleri duyar gibiyim. Ne yaz\u0131k ki durum hi\u00e7 de \u00f6yle de\u011fil. Sunulan te\u015fviklere ve aba alt\u0131ndan g\u00f6sterilen sopalara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda, i\u015fin hem finans taraf\u0131nda, hem de reel sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda ABD\u2019ye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yani d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki riskli ortamda zaten g\u00fcvenli limana s\u0131\u011f\u0131nan ve s\u0131\u011fla\u015fan para, bu \u015fartlarda evine \u00e7ok daha rahat ve h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00f6nebilecek. Reel sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda da, firmalar uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda finansman y\u00f6netimi kapsam\u0131nda de\u011ferlendirdikleri paralar\u0131n\u0131 ABD\u2019ye geri getirmek isteyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc \u015fu: Art\u0131k dolar daha pahal\u0131\u2026 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in \u00e7ok tats\u0131z bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten bahsediyoruz. Zaten daralan para hacmi, FED\u2019in faiz artt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, bilan\u00e7o daralmas\u0131, d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131ndaki daralma \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te, sermayedar\u0131 daha fazla i\u00e7e kapatacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-541378747\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte tam bu a\u015famada, bor\u00e7lu ekonomisini d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmek zorunda olan bizim ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz \u00fclkeler, e\u011fer parasal geni\u015fleme zaman\u0131nda bu paray\u0131 \u00fcretim i\u00e7in de\u011fil, t\u00fcketim i\u00e7in kulland\u0131ysa \u00f6deyece\u011fi bedel daha da a\u011f\u0131rla\u015facak.<\/p>\n<p>Para bulamayacak, bulsa da daha maliyetli olacak. Bence 2018\u2019in arifesinde bizim i\u00e7in en tats\u0131z haberlerden biri bu. Zira bu foto\u011frafta dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda TL daha \u00e7ok de\u011fer kaybeder, bu enflasyonu y\u00fckseltir.<\/p>\n<p>Akabinde al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc tamamen yitirilir ve i\u00e7 piyasa bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden daha daralan hale gelir. Yani hem i\u015fsizlik, hem enflasyon ger\u00e7e\u011fini ya\u015far\u0131z. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan resim de faiz y\u00fckseltme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131r\u0131r. Bask\u0131ya boyun e\u011fersek faiz sarmal\u0131na gireriz; e\u011fmezsek de d\u00f6viz kuru al\u0131r ba\u015f\u0131na gider. O da yine enflasyon ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm ekonomiyi olumsuz etkiler.<\/p>\n<p>Neticede zaman aleyhimize i\u015fliyor ve biz ger\u00e7ekten sorunlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kabul edip, \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmleri konu\u015fmak yerine, meydanlarda at\u0131lan ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ekonomi palavras\u0131na ait nutuklar\u0131 dinliyoruz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-252082000\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yaz\u0131k\u2026 Anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, yak\u0131nda \u00f6nce \u2018d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7ler\u2019 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na bak\u0131p, ard\u0131ndan \u00e7are olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcnce de yeni bir \u2018kand\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131k \u00f6yk\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019 dinleyece\u011fiz. Gelin bunun yerine daha da ge\u00e7 olmadan sorunlar\u0131 kabul edip, ne yap\u0131labilece\u011fini konu\u015fal\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uzun zamand\u0131r herkesin akl\u0131nda da, dilinde de ayn\u0131 soru: Dolar ne olacak? Her ne kadar yetkililer bu soruyu sorman\u0131n bile sak\u0131ncal\u0131 bir davran\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleseler&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-52603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52603","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52603"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52603\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52603"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52603"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52603"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}