{"id":52440,"date":"2017-12-11T18:12:15","date_gmt":"2017-12-11T15:12:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=52440"},"modified":"2018-01-07T01:10:43","modified_gmt":"2018-01-06T22:10:43","slug":"cetin-unsalan-karli-uretmeden-buyuyemezsin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-karli-uretmeden-buyuyemezsin\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; K\u00e2rl\u0131 \u00fcretmeden b\u00fcy\u00fcyemezsin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonu itibariyle y\u00fczde 11,1\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fad\u0131. Son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 6\u2019l\u0131k bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme de yakalan\u0131rsa, y\u0131l ortalamas\u0131 yine 6 \u2013 7 seviyelerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecektir.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2882675809\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u015eimdi bunu do\u011fru analiz etmek gerekir. Ne burun k\u0131v\u0131rarak k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsemenin, ne de En Kahraman R\u0131dvan misali ortada hamaset dolu s\u00f6ylemlerle dola\u015fman\u0131n kimseye faydas\u0131 yok.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6yle ya da b\u00f6yle bir rakam yakaland\u0131. \u015e\u00fcphesiz bunun de\u011ferini bilmek laz\u0131m. Ne a\u00e7\u0131dan? En az\u0131ndan beklentilerin daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gitmesini engellemek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan. L\u00e2kin bunun sadece bir suni teneff\u00fcs oldu\u011fu ve zaman kazand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ya da do\u011fru tabirle \u015fi\u015fmenin, gerek bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la ait d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferlerin \u00fczerine gelen baz etkisiyle, gerekse de Kredi Garanti Fonu destekli muhtemelen kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 gelmeyecek kaynak aktar\u0131m\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu biliniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu ger\u00e7e\u011fi g\u00f6rmeden konu\u015fmak, sadece birbirimizi kand\u0131rmaya yarar. Zira bu kaynak aktar\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmeyece\u011fini, 2018\u2019in ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde ayn\u0131 seviyeler yakalanamazsa da, bu kez baz etkisiyle keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 c\u00fcmle alem biliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Velhas\u0131l kelam sadece k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde yakalanm\u0131\u015f, \u00fcretmeyen, \u00fcretse de k\u00e2r etmeyen bir yap\u0131yla \u015fi\u015ftik. Eskiden ithalat ve s\u0131cak parayla bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalan\u0131yordu. Bu kez durum farkl\u0131. \u0130thalat yine var; d\u0131\u015f kaynak yerine de ihtiya\u00e7 i\u00e7eriden kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131. Fakat bu konuda at\u0131lacak yeni bir kur\u015fun yok.<\/p>\n<p>O zaman haz\u0131r b\u00f6yle ge\u00e7ici, refaha faydas\u0131 olmasa da bir iklim ve foto\u011fraf yakaland\u0131; bu durumda ger\u00e7eklerimizle y\u00fczle\u015fmemiz i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat var demektir. \u00dcretmeyen ve kazanmayan bir ekonominin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, bor\u00e7 yap\u0131s\u0131ndan da, i\u015fsizlikten de, enflasyondan da, cari a\u00e7\u0131ktan da bas bas ba\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bak\u0131n 12 \u2013 18 Aral\u0131k d\u00f6nemi Yerli Mal\u0131 Haftas\u0131\u2019d\u0131r. \u00d6yleyse bu sene daha ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i tart\u0131\u015fmalar yapmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Kamunun bile al\u0131mlar\u0131nda t\u00fcm s\u00f6ylemlere ve tavsiyelere ra\u011fmen yerli mal\u0131 tercih etmedi\u011fi bir ortamda, ortadaki rakam\u0131n bize bir faydas\u0131 yok.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4086459681\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>E\u011fer d\u00fcnyada parasal geni\u015fleme olsayd\u0131 ve bu rakam bize serseri de olsa yeni kaynak ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flasayd\u0131; daha anlaml\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131nabilirdi. Lakin b\u00f6yle bir kaynak ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, gelenin de \u00e7ok maliyetli halde yurda girece\u011fini biliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca FED\u2019in faiz artt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, bilan\u00e7o k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmeleri, AB\u2019nin 2018\u2019de musluklar\u0131 k\u0131saca\u011f\u0131, \u0130ranl\u0131 turistlere sar\u0131lm\u0131\u015f turizmin de \u0130ran\u2019da yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131na gidenlerin maliyetlerine zam yap\u0131lmas\u0131 ile istenen seviyeye ula\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131, Merkez\u2019in de dolar ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere maliyet bask\u0131lar\u0131yla enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda faiz direni\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durumda yerli mal tercihlerimizi g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmeliyiz. Nitekim Ege \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131 Birlikleri\u2019nden gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamaya da bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda, kibar bir bi\u00e7imde bunun dile getirildi\u011fini ve \u2018yerli \u00fcretim desteklenmeden s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yakalanamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 vurguland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Peki ne yapal\u0131m? Madem bir ka\u00e7 ay da olsa s\u00fcre kazand\u0131k ve bu alg\u0131y\u0131 son \u00e7eyre\u011fe de ta\u015f\u0131ma ihtimalimiz y\u00fcksek; o zaman: Art\u0131k \u015fu sanayi, tar\u0131m, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc envanterlerimizi yap\u0131p, gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik \u00fcretim projeksiyonlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir bi\u00e7imde olu\u015fturulal\u0131m.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3129392334\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Aksi takdirde kuru hamasetin bedeli de, hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck olacak.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonu itibariyle y\u00fczde 11,1\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fad\u0131. Son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 6\u2019l\u0131k bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme de yakalan\u0131rsa, y\u0131l ortalamas\u0131 yine 6 \u2013 7&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-52440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52440"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52440\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}