{"id":52410,"date":"2017-12-07T18:33:36","date_gmt":"2017-12-07T15:33:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=52410"},"modified":"2017-12-08T10:34:31","modified_gmt":"2017-12-08T07:34:31","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-2000lerde-dogrularimiz-ve-yanlislarimiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-2000lerde-dogrularimiz-ve-yanlislarimiz\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; 2000&#8217;lerde Do\u011frular\u0131m\u0131z ve Yanl\u0131\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>Siyasal sorunlar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonominin iyi y\u00f6netilemedi\u011fi bir \u00fclke, e\u011fer tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 da varsa, bu hatalar\u0131n bedelini ekonomide, paras\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f de\u011fer kayb\u0131yla \u00f6der. Paran\u0131n i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f de\u011fer kayb\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve y\u00fcksek kur olarak \u00e7\u0131kar. Her ikisini de denetlemenin temel arac\u0131 faizin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla y\u00fcksek faiz, paran\u0131n i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n sonucudur. Sorunu sonu\u00e7tan yani faizden giderek \u00e7\u00f6zmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ekonomilerde sorun daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcr. Sorunu faizi art\u0131rarak \u00e7\u00f6zmek ancak ge\u00e7ici bir rahatlama sa\u011flar. Orta ve uzun vadede sorunu \u00e7\u00f6zmek i\u00e7in ekonomiyle birlikte ekonomi d\u0131\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131sal meseleleri \u00e7\u00f6zmeye giri\u015fmek gerekir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-116410115\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye 2000\u2019lere do\u011fru giderken bir\u00e7ok siyasal, sosyal ve ekonomik sorunla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yayd\u0131. B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 y\u00fczde 10 dolay\u0131nda seyrediyor, s\u00fcrekli ya\u015fanan y\u00fcksek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu kamu bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131 \u00f6zel kesime bor\u00e7lanacak alan b\u0131rakm\u0131yordu. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6zel kesim yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in yeterli finansman imk\u00e2n\u0131na ula\u015fam\u0131yordu (d\u0131\u015flama etkisi.) Bankac\u0131l\u0131k kesimi, do\u011fru d\u00fcr\u00fcst d\u00fczenlemelerden ve denetimden yoksundu ve bunun sonucu olarak d\u00f6viz pozisyonlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, adeta kamu kesiminin verimsiz bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131 finanse eden bir sisteme d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Hazine, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizle avans kullan\u0131yor ve bunlar\u0131 geri \u00f6demeyerek, tam tersine her y\u0131l artan b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00f6denekleri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde art\u0131rarak, piyasada parasal fazlal\u0131k yarat\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yordu. Bunlar\u0131n sonucu olarak TL s\u00fcrekli olarak i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yordu. T\u00fcrkiye y\u00fcksek enflasyon, y\u00fcksek kur ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bunlar\u0131n sonucu olarak y\u00fcksek faiz sarmal\u0131na girmi\u015fti. Sistemi ayakta tutan ya da daha do\u011fru bir ifadeyle krize girmesini \u00f6nleyen sigorta, m\u00fcdahaleli esnek kur politikas\u0131yd\u0131. 2001 y\u0131l\u0131na giderken esnek kur rejimi, IMF\u2019nin tavsiyesiyle bir bant i\u00e7ine yerle\u015ftirildi ve o haliyle esnekli\u011fi \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 hale geldi\u011fi i\u00e7in sabit kur rejimine benzer bir yap\u0131ya b\u00fcr\u00fcnd\u00fc. Bu esneklik kayb\u0131, ekonomiyi, uzun y\u0131llar ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek kur, y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve y\u00fcksek faiz sarmal\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla ta\u015f\u0131yamaz hale getirdi ve 2001 krizine girildi.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye, IMF\u2019nin yanl\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nlendirmesiyle girdi\u011fi 2001 krizinden yine IMF deste\u011finde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Ekonomiye Ge\u00e7i\u015f Program\u0131 ile \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. IMF\u2019nin deste\u011fi 2008 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n May\u0131s ay\u0131na kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu destek bir yandan toplamda 45 milyar dolara varan parasal deste\u011fi, bir yandan da ekonomiyi toparlamaya yarayan yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131n ve uygulama programlar\u0131n\u0131n teknik deste\u011fini kaps\u0131yordu. Bu d\u00f6nemde bankac\u0131l\u0131k reformu yap\u0131ld\u0131, kamu kesiminin a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7an ad\u0131mlar at\u0131ld\u0131 ve bu yolla kamu mali disiplini sa\u011fland\u0131. Kamu kesiminin kendi i\u00e7inde ve d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki bor\u00e7lar\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131larak \u00f6dendi, Hazine\u2019nin Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan bor\u00e7lanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131, para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r izleyici aday konumunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile tam \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakerelerine ba\u015flad\u0131. Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile tam \u00fcyelik giri\u015fimi ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na bir yap\u0131sal reformdu. Bu ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131n ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye tarihi boyunca gelmi\u015f do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde gelir oldu. Ekonomi toparland\u0131 ve gelece\u011fe umutla bak\u0131l\u0131r oldu.<\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2017\/12\/siyasal-sorunlarn-arttg-veekonominin.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>.<\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131 Siyasal sorunlar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonominin iyi y\u00f6netilemedi\u011fi bir \u00fclke, e\u011fer tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 da varsa, bu hatalar\u0131n bedelini ekonomide, paras\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7 ve&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-52410","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52410","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52410"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52410\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52410"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52410"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52410"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}