{"id":52285,"date":"2017-11-29T01:17:36","date_gmt":"2017-11-28T22:17:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=52285"},"modified":"2018-01-07T01:11:34","modified_gmt":"2018-01-06T22:11:34","slug":"cetin-unsalan-aralikta-dolar-duser-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-aralikta-dolar-duser-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Aral\u0131kta dolar d\u00fc\u015fer mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Y\u0131lsonuna do\u011fru yakla\u015f\u0131rken dolar 4 TL s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 zorluyor. \u015e\u00fcphesiz ortadaki manzaran\u0131n kimseye faydas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k. Fakat s\u00fcrekli s\u00f6yledi\u011fim gibi, bug\u00fcn gelinen seviye, son 16 y\u0131lda ne yap\u0131p ne yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zla ilgili.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2111952790\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yani sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 buradan okuyamazsan\u0131z, durumu kavramak da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmaz. Prensip olarak ihtiya\u00e7lar, eldeki varl\u0131klar ve k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 enstr\u00fcmanlarla \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f trendinin dalgal\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde devam etmesi gayet normal bir sonu\u00e7.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc aleyhimize geli\u015fen hi\u00e7bir durum olmasa bile, gelir \/ gider dengemiz, \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in s\u00f6yledi\u011finin aksine bor\u00e7lu yap\u0131m\u0131z ve \u00f6deme zorunlulu\u011fumuz bu sonucu do\u011furuyor. Netice itibariyle s\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc \u015fu ki, burada \u015fa\u015f\u0131racak bir durum s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fin s\u0131cak boyutuna gelirsek dolar ne olur? Ekonomi Bakan\u0131 Nihat Zeybek\u00e7i dolar\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131 itibariyle d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu. As\u0131l s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ise Bakan\u2019\u0131n nezdinde iktidar\u0131n konuyu halen bir spek\u00fclasyonun sonucu olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor olmas\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc getiren en \u00f6nemli etken bu. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sorunu do\u011fru okursan\u0131z, alman\u0131z gereken \u00f6nlemleri de\u011fil, sorunu nas\u0131l \u00e7\u00f6zece\u011finizi konu\u015fursunuz. Fakat buna iktidar\u0131n ne niyeti; ne de g\u00fcc\u00fc var.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6ylesi d\u00f6nemlerde spek\u00fclasyonla ivmelenme, buradan rant elde edenler olmas\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131racak bir durum de\u011fil. Hatta bu ki\u015filer \u00e7ok uzakta da olmayabilir. Siz kaleyi a\u00e7m\u0131\u015fs\u0131n\u0131z; rakip oyuncaya neden gol att\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 soruyorsunuz.<\/p>\n<p>Peki dolar aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fer mi? Normal \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda gev\u015fer. Bak\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fer ba\u015fka, gev\u015fer ba\u015fka. D\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n Noel tatili etkisiyle sakinle\u015fece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131k. Burada da do\u011fal bir gev\u015femenin olmas\u0131 muhtemel. Fakat sadece bug\u00fcnk\u00fc tabloda gev\u015feme ihtimali var.<\/p>\n<p>Bunu ortadan kald\u0131racak \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6nemli fakt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemek laz\u0131m. Bunlardan birincisi ABD\u2019de devam eden davada risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltecek s\u00f6ylemlerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-124347017\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130kincisi faiz\u2026 Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131nl\u0131k yaparak faizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyece\u011fini, ama siyasi bask\u0131 nedeniyle de artt\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Sembolik ve gizlenmi\u015f art\u0131\u015flar istisna\u2026 Dikkat edilmesi gereken FED\u2019in yapmas\u0131 muhtemel faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ya da sert s\u00f6ylemlerle bezenerek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi. Bu da gev\u015femeyi engeller.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc istisna durum ise, CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun grup toplant\u0131s\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belgelerle ba\u015flayan s\u00fcre\u00e7. Do\u011fru yanl\u0131\u015f bilemeyiz. Onun karar\u0131n\u0131 yarg\u0131 verecek, ama s\u00f6ylemlerden anl\u0131yoruz ki \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc de yeni belgeler gelecek.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durum, iktidar\u0131 k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r ve bir istifayla ya da istifas\u0131z restle\u015fmeyle 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7im senesi haline getirirse, dolardaki gev\u015feme hayat bulmaz. Diyelim ki t\u00fcm bunlar olmad\u0131. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da dolar gev\u015fedi.<\/p>\n<p>Ama Ocak ay\u0131nda ne olur? \u0130\u015fte as\u0131l sorulmas\u0131 gereken konu bu. Konuyla ilgili k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce bir r\u00f6portaj ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fim Para ve Alt\u0131n Piyasalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Mehmet Ali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131mt\u00fcrk\u2019\u00fcn \u2018ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay \u00e7ok kritik ve buradan nas\u0131l \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00e7ok belirleyici\u2019 uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ve \u2018kazas\u0131z belas\u0131z atlat\u0131rsak\u2019 vurgusunu \u00e7ok \u00f6nemsiyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1527229165\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc \u015fu: Dolarda bug\u00fcn ne oldu\u011funa bakmay\u0131n. Yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yanl\u0131\u015flara kafa yorup, ne olaca\u011f\u0131na bak\u0131n. Yoksa somut olmayan vakalarla kavga ederek hem s\u00fcre\u00e7ten, hem de kurdan dayak yeriz ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konu\u015fmay\u0131 bile akl\u0131m\u0131za getirmeyiz.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Y\u0131lsonuna do\u011fru yakla\u015f\u0131rken dolar 4 TL s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 zorluyor. \u015e\u00fcphesiz ortadaki manzaran\u0131n kimseye faydas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k. Fakat s\u00fcrekli s\u00f6yledi\u011fim gibi, bug\u00fcn gelinen seviye, son 16 y\u0131lda&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-52285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52285"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52285\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}