{"id":51468,"date":"2017-10-03T22:43:29","date_gmt":"2017-10-03T19:43:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=51468"},"modified":"2017-10-03T22:43:29","modified_gmt":"2017-10-03T19:43:29","slug":"cetin-unsalan-ekonomide-fars-kivami","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-ekonomide-fars-kivami\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Ekonomide fars k\u0131vam\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde 2008 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck krizin ard\u0131ndan dillendirilmeye ba\u015flanan, ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck dip ne zaman gelecek? Asl\u0131na bakarsan\u0131z bence oyun \u00e7oktan bitti ama oyuncular \u0131srarla ikinci perdeye ge\u00e7mekten ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3080810622\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130yimserlik ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda s\u00fcre\u00e7 y\u00f6netirken, kimi zaman ter\u00f6r, kimi zaman siyasi fig\u00fcrler, kimi zaman b\u00f6lge sava\u015flar\u0131, kimi zaman da k\u0131s\u0131r tart\u0131\u015fmalardan medet umuyorlar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc herkes biliyor ki, oyunun ikinci perdesi tamamiyle trajedi\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte bu faturay\u0131 kimse \u00fcstlenmek istemiyor. Esasen ekonomiyi t\u00fcketim \u00fczerinden olu\u015fturduklar\u0131 foto\u011fraf i\u00e7inde senaryonun sonu en ba\u015f\u0131ndan belliydi. Nitekim \u00fcretilen katma de\u011ferin on kat\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki sanal ekonomi, \u00f6nce \u2018i\u015fler yolunda\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc verirken, herkesin eli kirlendi.<\/p>\n<p>Bilhassa bizim gibi geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde, ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n paras\u0131yla siyaset\u00e7ilerin yapt\u0131klar\u0131 reklamlar\u0131 izledik. Bunlar paran\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcyle medyay\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irdiler; medyan\u0131n ard\u0131ndan alg\u0131 y\u00f6netimiyle siyasi erk elde ettiler ve d\u00f6n\u00fcp medyay\u0131 ger\u00e7ekleri konu\u015famaz, konu\u015fan\u0131 da ya\u015famaz hale d\u00f6nd\u00fcrd\u00fcler.<\/p>\n<p>Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir az\u0131nl\u0131k gelen paray\u0131 teknoloji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ve \u00fcretim ekonomisi i\u00e7in finansman olarak kulland\u0131. Y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 da buna dahil. Lakin kimileri de gelen paran\u0131n etkisiyle kendileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hissettiler. Paran\u0131n onlar\u0131 iliklerine kadar s\u00f6m\u00fcrmek ad\u0131na de\u011fil, g\u00fc\u00e7lerinden dolay\u0131 kendilerini buldu\u011funu sand\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda senaryonun sonu belli. D\u00fcnya \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ikinci krize ve son perdeye ko\u015fuyor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten de kimi nas\u0131l \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, kimin nas\u0131l ders \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirleyecek. Fakat bug\u00fcn..<\/p>\n<p>IMF, iki perde aras\u0131 fars yap\u0131yor. Minik bir bilgi vereyim. Fars\u0131n tam tan\u0131m\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle: Komedinin sanat y\u00f6n\u00fc az, kaba bir t\u00fcr\u00fc. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olmadan \u00f6nce, eskiden tiyatrolarda perde aras\u0131 g\u00f6steri olarak sergilenirdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte IMF\u2019nin son raporu aynen bu \u00f6zellikte. Ne bir esteti\u011fi, ne bir ge\u00e7erlili\u011fi var ve son derece kaba\u2026 Ne diyor IMF Ekim 2017 tarihli Finansal \u0130stikrar Raporu\u2019nda? D\u00fcnyada y\u00fckselen bor\u00e7lanman\u0131n, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle birlikte, k\u00fcresel finansal bir riski kap\u0131ya gettirdi\u011fini\u2026<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4202322611\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle hanehalk\u0131 bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n, bir bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizini de tetikleyebilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor. Bu bor\u00e7lanmaya da merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n izledi\u011fi geni\u015flemeci politikalar neden olmu\u015f. Bak, bak, bak\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Nas\u0131l tespit ama? Dedim ya, senaryonun sonu belli. Domates ekti\u011finiz yerden patates \u00e7\u0131kmaz. Bunun en ac\u0131 \u00f6rneklerinden biri de biziz. Asl\u0131nda belki de IMF, kabullenilmi\u015f \u00e7aresizli\u011fi deklare ederek, kaybetti\u011fi kredibilitesini, kriz sonras\u0131nda yakalama ihtimaline oynuyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc itibar\u0131 yerlerde.<\/p>\n<p>Lakin en ucuz maliyetle paray\u0131 sunup, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda siyasi taviz kopard\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yine birilerinin ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz adresi olabilir. Ne kadar \u00f6v\u00fcnseler de\u2026 Bu onlar\u0131n sorununu \u00e7\u00f6zer mi? Ne zaman \u00e7\u00f6zm\u00fc\u015f ki? Ama siyaset\u00e7iler s\u00fcre\u00e7 ge\u00e7i\u015ftirmede yarat\u0131c\u0131d\u0131rlar. Ama hesap etmedikleri bu kriz di\u011ferlerine benzemiyor. Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 tahminden \u00e7ok a\u011f\u0131r olabilir. Krizin de, para i\u00e7in IMF\u2019nin kap\u0131s\u0131n gitmenin de\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Peki t\u00fcm bu foto\u011fraf i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin durumu ne? Arife tariff gerekmez. Yeterine a\u00e7\u0131k anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum, ama yine de IMF\u2019nin raporunda yasak savmak ad\u0131na sunulan \u00f6nlemleri payla\u015f\u0131y\u0131m:<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2404470296\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u201c\u2026politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar daha iyi finansal reg\u00fclasyonlar ve denetimler kurmal\u0131, d\u0131\u015f finansmana ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve esnek d\u00f6viz kuru rejimi gibi enstr\u00fcmanlarla y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma risklerini azaltmal\u0131&#8230;\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomiyi daha \u00e7ok denetim d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakman\u0131n \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ip, inisiyatife ba\u011flam\u0131\u015f, d\u0131\u015f finansman yakalamasa da, \u00fcmidi kesmeyerek varl\u0131k fonu ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda d\u00fcyun-u umumiye sinyali vermi\u015f, olmayan d\u00f6viziyle de bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131na bor\u00e7lanma katmak i\u00e7in takla atmaya haz\u0131r T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin durumu sizce ne olabilir?<\/p>\n<p>Bence pek parlak g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Ama daha k\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fc \u015fu: Halen sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmiyor ve bu nedenle de ac\u0131 da olsa \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmleri konu\u015fmuyor. Israrla Alice Harikalar Diyar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n k\u00f6t\u00fc bir kopyas\u0131n\u0131 sergiliyor ki, bu IMF\u2019nin fars\u0131ndan da sab\u0131r zorlay\u0131c\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde 2008 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck krizin ard\u0131ndan dillendirilmeye ba\u015flanan, ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck dip ne zaman gelecek? Asl\u0131na bakarsan\u0131z bence oyun \u00e7oktan bitti ama oyuncular \u0131srarla ikinci&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-51468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51468\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}