{"id":5125,"date":"2011-09-15T09:22:55","date_gmt":"2011-09-15T06:22:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=5125"},"modified":"2011-09-15T09:33:07","modified_gmt":"2011-09-15T06:33:07","slug":"en-kotusu-ucuncu-asama-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/en-kotusu-ucuncu-asama-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"En K\u00f6t\u00fcs\u00fc \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc A\u015fama Olacak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130lk iki a\u015famada ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnen yeni y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomilerinin krize girmesiyle birlikte krizin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7ilecek.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3567882773\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ben k\u00fcresel krizde ikinci a\u015famaya ge\u00e7ti\u011fimizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. \u0130lk a\u015famada ABD\u2019deki kriz s\u00f6z konusuydu. Subprime mortgage kredileri ve \u00f6teki k\u00f6t\u00fc kredilerin t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnlere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve bir s\u00fcre sonra bunlar\u0131n \u00f6denemez hale gelmesiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan finansal kriz, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir genel krize d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta finans piyasas\u0131nda \u00e7\u0131ksa da sonradan reel sekt\u00f6re de yay\u0131ld\u0131. Krizin doruk noktas\u0131 Lehman Brothers\u2019\u0131n bat\u0131\u015f\u0131yd\u0131. Bu kriz AB\u2019yi dolayl\u0131 olarak etkilediyse de yeni y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomilerini \u00e7ok fazla etkilemedi. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla AB ile yeni y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomileri k\u00fcresel sistemin h\u0131zla daralmas\u0131n\u0131 bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde frenlediler. ABD, bu krizi a\u015fabilmek i\u00e7in iki b\u00fcy\u00fck mali gev\u015feme paketini uygulamaya soktu, trilyonlarca dolar para da\u011f\u0131tt\u0131, Keynesyen m\u00fcdahalenin gerektirdi\u011fi \u00f6nlemleri ald\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n krizi hen\u00fcz \u00e7\u00f6zemedi. Bunun temel nedenlerinden birisi, sermaye hareketlerinin serbest olmas\u0131d\u0131r. ABD, da\u011f\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 paralar\u0131n i\u00e7eride harcanmas\u0131n\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmay\u0131 ba\u015faram\u0131yor, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc eline para ge\u00e7en, solu\u011fu daha y\u00fcksek getiri vaat eden geli\u015fme yolundaki \u00fclkelerde al\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ABD\u2019nin mali gev\u015feme paketleri \u00f6nce geli\u015fme yolundaki \u00fclkelere gidiyor ancak ikinci a\u015famada ABD\u2019den mal al\u0131m\u0131nda kullan\u0131l\u0131rsa ABD ekonomisini dolayl\u0131 olarak etkileyebiliyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Krizin ikinci a\u015famas\u0131\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><\/strong>Krizin ikinci a\u015famas\u0131, AB\u2019nin krizin tam ortas\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bug\u00fcnk\u00fc a\u015famad\u0131r. AB \u00fcyesi \u00fclkeler, ba\u015fta Yunanistan olmak \u00fczere krize girdiler. Onu \u0130spanya ve \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde izlemesi bekleniyor. AB\u2019nin girdi\u011fi kriz de finans k\u00f6kenli bir kriz olarak ba\u015flad\u0131. Yunanistan, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kamu bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn alt\u0131nda bulunuyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00fcyesi olman\u0131n avantaj\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak vergiyle yapmas\u0131 gereken finansman\u0131 ucuz bor\u00e7lanmayla yaparak sorunu s\u00fcrekli erteleyip zaman kazand\u0131. Ama bug\u00fcn gelinen noktada art\u0131k bor\u00e7lanam\u0131yor ve kendi halk\u0131ndan vergi almak gibi sevimsiz bir a\u015famaya gelmi\u015f bulunuyor. Bir s\u00fcre sonra AB\u2019nin di\u011fer baz\u0131 ekonomileri de ayn\u0131 durumla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015facak. Kendi \u00fcretimlerinin \u00e7ok \u00f6tesinde rahat bir ya\u015fam s\u00fcrmeye al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan bir\u00e7ok Avrupa ekonomisi yeni ya da eskisi kadar ucuz bor\u00e7 bulamaman\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yor. Almak zorunda olduklar\u0131 \u00f6nlemler \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck toplumsal tepkilere yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130lk a\u015faman\u0131n sonunda ABD, krizden kurtulabilmi\u015f de\u011fil, h\u00e2l\u00e2 bir\u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yor. O nedenle AB\u2019den kaynaklanan krizi dengeleyebilecek durumda bulunmuyor. Krizin bu ikinci a\u015famas\u0131nda sa\u011flam g\u00f6r\u00fcnen tek unsur, yine yeni y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomileri olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda duruyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ne var ki bu kez yaln\u0131z ba\u015flar\u0131na bulunuyorlar. ABD\u2019nin onlara destek olup AB\u2019yi krizden \u00e7\u0131karacak hali yok. Onlar\u0131n da tek ba\u015f\u0131na ABD ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin krizini dengelemesi pek olas\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Krizin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve son a\u015famas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>Finans kesimiyle ba\u015flayan ama \u00f6teki kesimlere de bula\u015fan k\u00fcresel krizin ABD\u2019de ba\u015flayan ilk a\u015famas\u0131 bitmeden AB\u2019ye sirayet eden ikinci a\u015famas\u0131na girildi. Bu iki kriz birbirini etkileyerek devam ediyor. Ben \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde krizin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve en zor a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7ece\u011fimizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. \u0130lk iki a\u015famada ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnen yeni y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomilerinin krize girmesiyle birlikte krizin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7ilecek. \u015eimdiye kadar daha \u00e7ok geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin krizi gibi kalan bu kriz de as\u0131l o zaman k\u00fcresel bir kriz halini alacak.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3064202047\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye, b\u00f6yle bir a\u015fama i\u00e7in ak\u0131lc\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 5\u2019ler dolay\u0131nda tutmak, k\u00fcresel krizin olas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc a\u015famas\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi bir\u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131dan koruyabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Mahfi E\u011e\u0130LMEZ<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130lk iki a\u015famada ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnen yeni y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomilerinin krize girmesiyle birlikte krizin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc a\u015famas\u0131na ge\u00e7ilecek. Ben k\u00fcresel krizde ikinci a\u015famaya ge\u00e7ti\u011fimizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. \u0130lk a\u015famada&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5125\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}