{"id":51160,"date":"2017-09-11T19:54:37","date_gmt":"2017-09-11T16:54:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=51160"},"modified":"2017-09-11T19:54:37","modified_gmt":"2017-09-11T16:54:37","slug":"cetin-unsalan-buyumeyle-cosma-ders-calis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-buyumeyle-cosma-ders-calis\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; B\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle co\u015fma; ders \u00e7al\u0131\u015f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>T\u00fcrkiye y\u0131l\u0131n ikici \u00e7eyre\u011finde de y\u00fczde 5,1\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalad\u0131. Ortalamaya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fena bir sonu\u00e7 g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor. \u0130\u015fin bu taraf\u0131yla sevinebiliriz. Ama en \u00f6nemlisi bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin nas\u0131l geldi\u011fidir.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3481413716\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu analizi yapmazsan\u0131z, bug\u00fcn at\u0131lan sevin\u00e7 nidalar\u0131n\u0131 sonra pi\u015fmanl\u0131k olarak ya\u015fars\u0131n\u0131z. Zira y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda bilhassa KOB\u0130\u2019lerimiz ad\u0131na bir tavsiyede bulunmu\u015ftum. Satamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z mal\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yapmay\u0131n.<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 ger\u00e7ekse ne yaz\u0131k ki korktu\u011fum bu ihtimalin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebilirim. Bakanlar hamasette yar\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ama b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin nereden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda \u015fi\u015fmeyi g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fczde 5,1\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131, y\u00fczde 2,9\u2019u yat\u0131r\u0131mlardan olu\u015fuyor. \u015eimdi bu ba\u015fl\u0131k \u00e7ok kritik. Yat\u0131r\u0131mdan neyin kast ediliyor oldu\u011funa mutlaka a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131k getirilmesi gerekiyor. E\u011fer kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan bahsediliyorsa, k\u0131t kaynaklar\u0131n do\u011fru kullan\u0131l\u0131p, kullan\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na, yani k\u0131sa zamanda katma de\u011fer yaratacak i\u015flerin tercih edilip edilmedi\u011fine bakmam\u0131z gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Zira yol, k\u00f6pr\u00fc ve benzeri yat\u0131r\u0131mlarsa bu ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n alt dilimleri, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hataya d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck demektir. \u015eayet yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u015fletmelerimiz yapt\u0131ysa, 220 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n borcu olan sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn, hangi gelir kaynaklar\u0131na ve pazara g\u00fcvenerek bu yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na mercek tutmam\u0131\u015f gerekir.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eayet daralan d\u00fcnya pazar\u0131na ilaveten, birim ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen ihracat oranlar\u0131m\u0131za g\u00fcvenerek bu riske girdiysek, firmalar\u0131m\u0131za dolayl\u0131 olarak da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye k\u00f6t\u00fcl\u00fck yapt\u0131k anlam\u0131na gelir. \u0130\u00e7 pazar\u0131n hacminin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu biliyoruz. B\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki ihracat\u0131n pay\u0131 da sadece y\u00fczde 1,7&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda ortaya koydu\u011fum uyar\u0131 buydu. \u2018Satamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z mal\u0131 \u00fcretmek i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131m maliyetine girerseniz, o yat\u0131r\u0131m size normal maliyetinin \u00fczerinde rakamlara neden olur ve \u00f6demeler dengenizi bozar\u2019 uyar\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6nemliydi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bedeli batan firmalar, i\u015fsizlik ve kredi kullan\u0131lan finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne darbe olur.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomi Bakan\u0131 Nihat Zeybek\u00e7i orta vadeli program\u0131n hedeflerini tutturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor lakin, sene ba\u015f\u0131nda program a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ihracatla elde edilece\u011fi vurgusu vard\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, yat\u0131r\u0131mla ya da aktar\u0131lan kredilerle sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3448574807\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bug\u00fcnden ders \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmazsak, elimizdeki rakam ya da oran, hi\u00e7bir sorunu \u00e7\u00f6zmez. Aksine bu yap\u0131s\u0131yla ikinci bir sorun olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za gelir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sinsice ilerleyen bir dolar riski var. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc seviyeler kimseyi kand\u0131rmas\u0131n. Buradaki dolar talebiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak bir oynama, bamba\u015fka s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131larla y\u00fczle\u015fmemize neden olur.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc; bir rakam yakaland\u0131, g\u00fczel. Ama bunu yine hamaset ve bo\u015f beylik laflar ederek, ucuz kahramanl\u0131klar ad\u0131na harcamak yerine, ders \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak vakit kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015feklinde yorumlayal\u0131m. Zira bu karne ge\u00e7mez. Rakam ne olursa olsun.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye y\u0131l\u0131n ikici \u00e7eyre\u011finde de y\u00fczde 5,1\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yakalad\u0131. Ortalamaya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fena bir sonu\u00e7 g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor. \u0130\u015fin bu taraf\u0131yla sevinebiliriz. Ama en \u00f6nemlisi bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-51160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51160"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51160\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}