{"id":51037,"date":"2017-08-31T14:42:06","date_gmt":"2017-08-31T11:42:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=51037"},"modified":"2017-09-01T09:44:12","modified_gmt":"2017-09-01T06:44:12","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-turkiye-ekonomisi-dunyada-kacinci-sirada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-turkiye-ekonomisi-dunyada-kacinci-sirada\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisi D\u00fcnyada Ka\u00e7\u0131nc\u0131 S\u0131rada?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131<\/h2>\n<h3>Meselenin \u00d6z\u00fc<\/h3>\n<p>Son g\u00fcnlerde yeni bir ke\u015fif yap\u0131ld\u0131 ve birdenbire T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin GSYH s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada 13\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada oldu\u011fu konu\u015fulmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. Asl\u0131nda bu veri \u00f6teden beri IMF\u2019nin D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Veri Taban\u0131nda (World Economic Outlook Database) durup duruyordu ama nedense biz yeni ke\u015ffettik ve ke\u015ffeder etmez T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin nerelerden nereye geldi\u011fini konu\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131k. Gelelim i\u015fin asl\u0131na ve bilimsel a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3774347813\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>IMF, \u00fclkelerin GSYH ve ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na GSYH serisini farkl\u0131 y\u00f6ntemlere dayanarak hesaplay\u0131p yay\u0131nl\u0131yor. Bunlar iki grupta toplanabilir: (1) Cari fiyatlarla hesaplanan GSYH ve oradan giderek bulunan ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir (bunlar\u0131n hem TL hem de USD cinsinden de\u011ferleri a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131yor.) (2) Sat\u0131nalma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesine (SAGP) g\u00f6re hesaplanan GSYH ve oradan giderek hesaplanan SAGP ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir (bunlar\u0131n sadece Dolar cinsinden de\u011ferleri a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131yor.)<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nce bir \u00fclkenin GSYH\u2019s\u0131 o \u00fclkenin kendi para birimiyle hesaplan\u0131yor (Mesela T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH\u2019s\u0131 2.591 milyar TL olarak hesaplanm\u0131\u015f bulunuyor.) Sonra bu miktar o y\u0131l\u0131n ortalama USD kuruyla Dolara \u00e7evriliyor (Mesela 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda USD\/TL ortalama kuru 3,02 idi, bu durumda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH\u2019si Dolar cinsinden 2.591\/3,02 = 857 milyar Dolar olarak hesaplan\u0131yor.) Bulunan bu miktar o y\u0131l\u0131n y\u0131l ortas\u0131 n\u00fcfusuna b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir hesaplan\u0131yor (Mesela T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 y\u0131l ortas\u0131 n\u00fcfusu 79,8 milyon idi, bu durumda ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelir 857 milyar USD \/ 79,8 milyon ki\u015fi = 10.743 USD olarak bulunuyor.) Buraya kadar g\u00f6sterdi\u011fimiz hesaplar nominal GSYH ve ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na cari fiyatlarla gelir hesaplar\u0131 idi. Bir de sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesi hesab\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<h6>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2017\/08\/turkiye-ekonomisi-dunyada-kacnc-srada.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>.<\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mahfi E\u011filmez&#8217;in bug\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131s\u0131 Meselenin \u00d6z\u00fc Son g\u00fcnlerde yeni bir ke\u015fif yap\u0131ld\u0131 ve birdenbire T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin GSYH s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada 13\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada oldu\u011fu konu\u015fulmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. Asl\u0131nda bu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-51037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51037","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51037"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51037\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51037"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51037"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51037"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}