{"id":4985,"date":"2011-09-12T13:09:10","date_gmt":"2011-09-12T10:09:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=4985"},"modified":"2011-09-12T13:09:10","modified_gmt":"2011-09-12T10:09:10","slug":"buyumede-surpriz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/buyumede-surpriz\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fcy\u00fcmede S\u00fcrpriz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Beklentileri a\u015fan b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 8.8 oldu.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1080831246\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomizi ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 8.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Beklenti y\u00fczde 6.3&#8217;t\u00fc. Bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise y\u00fczde 6.9 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<br \/>\nB\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerinin ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6sterge tahvilin bile\u015fik faizi y\u00fczde 8&#8217;i a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K), 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci d\u00f6neminde, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin y\u00fczde 8,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemde, cari fiyatlarla\u00a0Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u00a0318 milyar 404 milyon lira oldu.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00dc\u0130K, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin\u00a0Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u00a0(GSYH) verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re, \u00fcretim y\u00f6ntemiyle hesaplanan\u00a0gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la\u00a0tahmininde, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re cari fiyatlarla\u00a0gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la\u00a0y\u00fczde 19,2&#8217;lik art\u0131\u015fla 318 milyar 404 milyon lira oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Sabit fiyatlarla ise bu d\u00f6nemde ekonomi, y\u00fczde 8,8&#8217;lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle 27 milyar 910 milyon lira oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sabit fiyatlarla GSYH 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 8,3&#8217;l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterirken, mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f GSYH de\u011feri bir \u00f6nceki d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1,3 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u0130CARET SEKT\u00d6R\u00dc, 72 M\u0130LYAR L\u0130RAYA YAKLA\u015eTI<\/strong><br \/>\nT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci d\u00f6neminde sabit fiyatlarla en fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steren sekt\u00f6r, bal\u0131k\u00e7\u0131l\u0131k oldu. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 2,3, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ise y\u00fczde 12,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen sekt\u00f6r, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 20 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterdi. Sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn cari fiyatlarla b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, 1 milyar 129 milyon liraya y\u00fckseldi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2324660045\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n<p>En fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcyen sekt\u00f6rlerin ba\u015f\u0131nda dolayl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen mali arac\u0131l\u0131k hizmetleri (y\u00fczde 18,5), mali arac\u0131 kurulu\u015flar\u0131n faaliyetleri (y\u00fczde 14,3), in\u015faat (y\u00fczde 13,2), toptan ve perakende ticaret (y\u00fczde 13) geldi. Ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn cari fiyatlarla b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 71 milyar 949 milyon 955 bin lira oldu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8220;B\u00dcY\u00dcME TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130N \u00dcZER\u0130NDE OLDU&#8221;<\/strong><br \/>\nBilim, Sanayi ve Teknoloji Bakan\u0131 Nihat Erg\u00fcn,\u00a0T\u00dc\u0130K&#8217;in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 8,8&#8217;lik ikinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131n\u0131n tahminlerin \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu belirterek, &#8221;Bizim beklentimiz \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te 3. \u00e7eyrekte ve 4. \u00e7eyrekteki rakamlarla birlikte T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda da ortalama y\u00fczde 7 civar\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131n\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc rakam, b\u00f6yle bir noktay\u0131 yakalayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n en kuvvetli i\u015faretlerinden bir tanesi oldu&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>NTV&#8217;de kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 programda sorular\u0131 yan\u0131tlayan Bakan Erg\u00fcn,\u00a0T\u00dc\u0130K&#8217;in T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ikinci \u00e7eyrekteki b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir soru \u00fczerine, a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ciddi bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyeline sahip oldu\u011funu ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu konjonkt\u00fcrde bu potansiyelin de harekete ge\u00e7mi\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-291800906\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ba\u015fta Avrupa ve Amerika olmak \u00fczere d\u00fcnyada ciddi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar oldu\u011funu kaydeden Erg\u00fcn, &#8221;Bu s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin daha \u00f6nce olu\u015fturulmu\u015f alt yap\u0131lar\u0131 ve \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn dinamizmi sayesinde bu krizin i\u00e7erisinden f\u0131rsatlar yakalayan, f\u0131rsatlar g\u00f6ren bir ekonomik anlay\u0131\u015fa sahip oldu\u011fumuzu bize g\u00f6steriyor&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8221;Y\u00dcZDE 8,8&#8217;L\u0130K B\u00dcY\u00dcME RAKAMI TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130N \u00dcZER\u0130NDE&#8221;<\/strong><br \/>\n&#8221;Y\u00fczde 8,8&#8217;lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131, biraz tahminlerin \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam oldu&#8221; diyen ortalama 6,8 civar\u0131nda bir beklentinin oldu\u011funu, y\u00fczde 8,8&#8217;lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle ilgili dinamik bir yap\u0131n\u0131n var oldu\u011funu, ekonomik \u015fartlar\u0131n buna elveri\u015fli oldu\u011funu kendilerine g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcretilen \u00fcr\u00fcnler stoka konuldu\u011fu takdirde sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir durumdan s\u00f6z edilemeyece\u011fini ifade eden Erg\u00fcn, &#8221;Ama stoka koymuyorsak sat\u0131yorsak biz bunlar\u0131, m\u00fc\u015fterilerimiz i\u00e7 pazarda veya d\u0131\u015f pazarda bizden bu \u00fcretti\u011fimiz \u015feyleri almaya devam ediyorlarsa o, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye devam edece\u011fimiz anlam\u0131na gelir. Bizim beklentimiz \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te 3. \u00e7eyrekte ve 4. \u00e7eyrekteki rakamlarla birlikte T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda da ortalama y\u00fczde 7 civar\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131n\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc rakam, b\u00f6yle bir noktay\u0131 yakalayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n en kuvvetli i\u015faretlerinden bir tanesi oldu&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Bu denli b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde olumsuz yans\u0131malar\u0131 olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin bir soru \u00fczerine ise Bakan Erg\u00fcn, hesaps\u0131z, kitaps\u0131z, kontrols\u00fcz bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin s\u00f6z konusu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu \u015fekilde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00f6z konusu olursa bunun ileride farkl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r kaynakl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oldu\u011funu kaydeden Erg\u00fcn, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;Kamunun b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 son derece k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131. Ama \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn pay\u0131 \u00f6n planda. Hem \u00f6zel kesim t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131, hem \u00f6zel kesim yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131 \u00f6n planda. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n hesaps\u0131z, kitaps\u0131z oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. \u00d6zellikle \u00f6zel kesim yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 ile ilgili zaten her zaman \u015funu yap\u0131yoruz. \u0130nsanlara diyoruz ki; &#8216;Geliriniz kadar harcay\u0131n ve bor\u00e7lanman\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7evirebilece\u011finiz kadar yap\u0131n. Ayr\u0131ca bor\u00e7lanman\u0131z\u0131 e\u011fer d\u00f6viz kazanc\u0131n\u0131z yoksa, d\u00f6viz \u00fczerinden yapmay\u0131n T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fczerinden yap\u0131n.&#8217; D\u00f6viz \u00fczerinden kazanc\u0131 olanlar deviz \u00fczerinden i\u015flem yapabiliyorlar, bor\u00e7lanabiliyorlar. Ama d\u00f6viz kazanc\u0131 olmayanlar\u0131n T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 \u00fczerinden bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131 icap eder. Yani insanlar t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 yaparken aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yorgan\u0131na g\u00f6re uzat\u0131yorsa, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar d\u00fcnyadaki geli\u015fmeleri dikkate alarak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 planl\u0131 programl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde yap\u0131yorlarsa ve stoka \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131yorsak, \u00fcrettiklerimizi, mal ve hizmet \u00fcretimi olarak yapt\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 satabiliyorsak o zaman b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sorun g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor demektir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin, &#8221;ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131n aray\u0131p ta bulamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir potansiyele sahip oldu\u011funu&#8221; g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini ifade eden Erg\u00fcn, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin \u00e7ok dinamik bir yap\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi kendi i\u00e7erisinde ciddi anlamda sa\u011flayabildi\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Son zamanlarda ortaya koyduklar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n da b\u00fcy\u00fcme konusunda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye \u00f6nemli ivmeler kazand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatan Erg\u00fcn, &#8221;Bunlardan bir tanesi ticari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi i\u00e7in al\u0131nan baz\u0131 tedbirler. \u0130\u00e7eride kendimiz \u00fcretebilece\u011fimiz halde ithal yoluyla ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin yerine T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de \u00fcretilenlerin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00fcretilmesini te\u015fvik gibi konular da bizim b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinami\u011fimizi ivmelendiren unsurlardan ba\u015fl\u0131calar\u0131&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2012 YILINA \u0130L\u0130\u015eK\u0130N B\u00dcY\u00dcME BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Mevcut y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyeline ra\u011fmen orta vadede IMF&#8217;nin 2012 i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 2,5 oldu\u011funun hat\u0131rlat\u0131larak, IMF&#8217;nin rakam\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l de\u011ferlendirdi\u011finin sorulmas\u0131 \u00fczerine Erg\u00fcn, orta vadeli programa ili\u015fkin bir tak\u0131m verilerin 2009 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fc i\u00e7inde haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2009 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ve d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 seyretti\u011fini ancak sonraki geli\u015fmelerin T\u00fcrkiye ve d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde yeni dinamiklerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kendilerine g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini ve baz\u0131 rakamlar\u0131n revize edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>2011 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin hedeflerini de revize etmeleri gerekti\u011fini belirten Bakan Erg\u00fcn, &#8221;Orta vadeli program \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131, b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131yla birlikte neticelendirmek istiyoruz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00fct\u00e7e rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 da orada makro b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckleri koyarken b\u00fct\u00e7e rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 da dikkate alarak koyaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in orta vadeli program ile b\u00fct\u00e7e hedeflerinin uyum i\u00e7inde olmas\u0131 icap ediyor. O nedenle onu, b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ile paralel hale getirmi\u015f bulunuyoruz. 2012 y\u0131l\u0131yla ilgili hedefleri de orta vadeli programda bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ele alaca\u011f\u0131z. Ama ben IMF&#8217;nin \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,5&#8217;lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015feklinde de\u011fil, \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile yoluna devam edece\u011fine \u015fahsen inan\u0131yorum.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>kaynak<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/ekonomi.haberturk.com\/makro-ekonomi\/haber\/668580-buyumede-surpriz\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">http:\/\/ekonomi.haberturk.com\/makro-ekonomi\/haber\/668580-buyumede-surpriz<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beklentileri a\u015fan b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 8.8 oldu. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomizi ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 8.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Beklenti y\u00fczde 6.3&#8217;t\u00fc. Bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise y\u00fczde 6.9 olarak&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4985\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}