{"id":49700,"date":"2017-05-07T21:31:37","date_gmt":"2017-05-07T18:31:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=49700"},"modified":"2017-05-07T21:31:37","modified_gmt":"2017-05-07T18:31:37","slug":"cetin-unsalan-6-senede-uc-kat-buyunur-mu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-6-senede-uc-kat-buyunur-mu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; 6 senede \u00fc\u00e7 kat b\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fcr m\u00fc?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m 2023\u2019te 2 trilyon dolarl\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011fe sahip olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bunu anlat\u0131rken de 2023 i\u00e7in konulan 500 milyar dolar ihracat hedefinden, 2002 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu yana geldi\u011fimiz seviyeden bahsetti.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4006513583\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Elbette bir yol ald\u0131k. Zaten parasal geni\u015flemenin bu kadar yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu bir d\u00fcnyada, bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kazan\u00e7 kap\u0131s\u0131 haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015fken aksi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildi. Gelen paralar\u0131 do\u011fru de\u011ferlendirdik mi, sanmam.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kalk\u0131nmas\u0131 eksik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015fi\u015fme demektir. Nitekim dolar \/ TL aras\u0131ndaki aleyhimize her kur oynamas\u0131nda ka\u00e7an havay\u0131 da g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6ylediklerine \u2018ke\u015fke\u2019 diyece\u011fim. Ben de bundan mutlu olurum. Ama mutlu olmak ba\u015fka, ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmak ba\u015fka \u015fey.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fbakan Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m\u2019a baz\u0131 konularda bilgi tazelemesi yapmak gerekiyor. \u00d6ncelikle kur bazl\u0131 bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda 2016 sonunda \u00f6yle bir b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011fe sahip de\u011fildik. Devletin resmi ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 gelir a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131ndan bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda bile 720 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda bir hacim ortada kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 gelirin nas\u0131l artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise hepimizin malumu. Bir gece yar\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6nce 7 bin sonra 10 bin dolar seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k. Hesap oynamas\u0131yla ge\u00e7en sene de 20 bir dolarlara yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bile iddia edildi. Ama asl\u0131nda o durum da \u00f6yle de\u011fil. Bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ve faizlerini gelir hesab\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015fmezseniz, \u015fi\u015ftik\u00e7e \u015fi\u015fersiniz.<\/p>\n<p>Ne yaz\u0131k ki buna ra\u011fmen havan\u0131n ka\u00e7mas\u0131 da engellenemiyor. 500 milyar dolar ihracat hedefine gelince; Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131n bu konuda da eksik bilgilendirilmesi var. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar Meclisi bu hedefi 375 milyar dolar olarak revize etti.<\/p>\n<p>Kalan 6 y\u0131lda, daralan d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ve ticaret yapacak kimseyi b\u0131rakmayacak e\u011filimleri de dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda y\u00fczde 100\u2019den fazla bir ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 zor g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Yani T\u0130M, bu hedefi de revize etmek zorunda kalacak.<\/p>\n<p>Bu geli\u015fmelerin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc yok saysan\u0131z bile, tamamen hayali olan orta vadeli programdaki tutturulamayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefleriyle bile, d\u00fcnyadaki arz fazlas\u0131 ve muhtemel iflaslar\u0131, pazar daralmas\u0131n\u0131 dikkate al\u0131rsan\u0131z \u00e7ok m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1656469377\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u015e\u00fcphesiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015fal\u0131m, didinelim, bununla ilgili \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler arayal\u0131m. Ama \u00f6nce ger\u00e7ekle y\u00fczle\u015felim. Aksi takdirde foto\u011fraf Hisseli Harikalar Kumpanyas\u0131 tad\u0131nda oluyor. Yanl\u0131\u015f noktadan \u00e7\u0131karsan\u0131z da, yanl\u0131\u015f yere varman\u0131z ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz.<\/p>\n<p>Hadi hepsini bir kenara b\u0131rakt\u0131m. Oldu da bir mucize oldu. Peki bu anlaml\u0131 m\u0131? Bunun sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 yapmak i\u00e7in de geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck hesap yapmam\u0131z gerekir. 2002 y\u0131l\u0131nda toplam br\u00fct d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 130 milyar dolar. 2016 sonu itibariyle rakam 404 milyar dolar. Bak\u0131n bu hesab\u0131n i\u00e7ine i\u00e7 bor\u00e7 dahil de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>2002 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta dolar \/ TL kuru ortalama 1,64 ve br\u00fct d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 stokunun T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye maliyeti 213 milyar 200 milyon TL. 2016 Aral\u0131k dolar \/ TL ortalama kuru 3,52 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye maliyeti 1 trilyon 422 milyar 80 milyon TL. Koyun \u00fczerine giden 71 milyar dolarl\u0131k \u00f6zelle\u015ftirmeyi ve hara\u00e7 mezat sat\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan varl\u0131klar\u0131, zenginle\u015ftik mi, fakirle\u015ftik mi, karar\u0131 siz verin.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye parasal geni\u015flemenin oldu\u011fu y\u0131llar\u0131 ne yaz\u0131k ki t\u00fcketerek harcad\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7indeki kilogram baz\u0131nda katma de\u011ferli miktar bunu ortaya koyuyor. \u015eimdi d\u00fcnyada arz fazlas\u0131 var; piyasalar daral\u0131yor; para maliyetli hale geldi ve 2 trilyon dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131z \u00f6yle mi?<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-720190598\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Siz as\u0131l \u00f6nce bu borcu nas\u0131l \u00f6deyece\u011fimize kafa yorun. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc her aksama siyasi taviz talebi olarak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze geliyor. Hayal g\u00f6rmeyi b\u0131rak\u0131p, ger\u00e7eklere gelin. Mevlana \u2018\u015fimdi yeni \u015feyler s\u00f6ylemek laz\u0131m\u2019 diyor. Ama bilginiz olsun, o s\u00f6zler sarf ettikleriniz de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Hayalleri olmak ba\u015fka, hayalperestlik ba\u015fka\u2026 \u00dczg\u00fcn\u00fcm ama ger\u00e7ek bu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m 2023\u2019te 2 trilyon dolarl\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011fe sahip olaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bunu anlat\u0131rken de 2023 i\u00e7in konulan 500 milyar dolar ihracat hedefinden, 2002 y\u0131l\u0131nda&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-49700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49700"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49700\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}