{"id":49526,"date":"2017-04-17T19:12:24","date_gmt":"2017-04-17T16:12:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=49526"},"modified":"2017-04-17T19:12:24","modified_gmt":"2017-04-17T16:12:24","slug":"cetin-unsalan-is-ve-cep-sorunu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-is-ve-cep-sorunu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u0130\u015f ve cep sorunu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>\u015eimdi g\u00fcnlerce \u2018oynatal\u0131m U\u011furcum\u2019 tad\u0131ndaki referandum sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 konu\u015fulacak. Esasen hi\u00e7bir anlam\u0131 olmayan bu oyalanman\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde, \u2018ekonominin \u015faha kalkaca\u011f\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin s\u00f6ylemler, propagandalar ba\u015flad\u0131 bile. Elbette bu b\u00fcy\u00fck bir palavra.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3698539163\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ortadaki sorun matematiksel ise, gazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan siyasetiniz bir i\u015fe yaramaz. En a\u00e7\u0131k kan\u0131t\u0131 da hemen referandumun arkas\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan i\u015fsizlik verilerinde geldi. \u0130\u015fsizlik y\u00fczde 13 ile resmi rakamlara g\u00f6re bile \u015eubat 2010\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130lgili bakanlar enflasyonun ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bunda da muhtemelen yaz d\u00f6neminden kaynaklanan mevsimlik i\u015f\u00e7ili\u011fe ve enflasyonda da sebze meyve fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n mevsim nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015fmesine g\u00fcveniyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat bir tarafta art\u0131\u015f trendindeki enflasyon, fiyatlar\u0131n istendi\u011fi kadar d\u00fc\u015fmeyece\u011finin izlenimini veriyor, \u00f6te tarafta turizm ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere mevsimsel olarak i\u015fsizli\u011fe nefes ald\u0131ran sekt\u00f6rlerin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131, i\u015fsizlikte beklentilerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcstelik dolar bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, enflasyon \u00fczerinde s\u00f6ylenenin aksine daha \u00e7ok etki yapaca\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcrece giriyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcnl\u00fck operasyonlarla gev\u015fese de borcu veren yabanc\u0131 bankalar\u0131n ve kurulu\u015flar\u0131n, iyimser \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcleri zorlayarak TL\u2019nin de\u011fer kaybedece\u011fini hat\u0131rlatmas\u0131, \u00f6te tarafta 372 milyar dolara ula\u015fan yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 d\u00f6viz pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, bir yanda k\u0131t dolar kayna\u011f\u0131m\u0131zla bor\u00e7 \u00f6deme zorunlulu\u011fumuz, \u00f6te yanda \u00fcretim i\u00e7in dolara ihtiya\u00e7 duymam\u0131z gibi etkenler, iki tezi de \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yani \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7 dolar\u0131n, enflasyonun ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin artaca\u011f\u0131 bir foto\u011fraf ortaya koyacak. T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131n etkisi olarak da faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi, i\u00e7 piyasan\u0131n kredilendirme sorunuyla \u00f6demeler dengesindeki s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, ihracat ve turizmden gelecek gelirlerin d\u00fc\u015fmesi g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilebilecek kriterler de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca referandum nedeniyle patlayan b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 ve harcamalar da vatanda\u015fa yeni zamlar olarak yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r. Bunun da enflasyonun \u00fczerinde art\u0131 bir etki yarataca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3407630124\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Velhas\u0131l kelam T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin reklamlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan i\u015f ve cep sorununu hat\u0131rlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece geri d\u00f6n\u00fcyoruz. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede art\u0131k oyun oynamay\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131p, ciddi \u00f6nlemleri ve olas\u0131l\u0131klara kar\u015f\u0131 eylem planlar\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015fuyor olmam\u0131z laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00f6z\u00fcken o ki, can\u0131m\u0131z sadece iktisadi konularda s\u0131k\u0131lmayacak. Burada a\u00e7\u0131k verdik\u00e7e, d\u0131\u015f politika odakl\u0131 siyasi a\u00e7mazlar\u0131m\u0131z ve artan risk alg\u0131m\u0131z da olu\u015facak.<\/p>\n<p>Orta ve uzun vadede ger\u00e7ek \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmleri tart\u0131\u015f\u0131p, k\u0131sa vadede de eylem planlar\u0131 yapmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Yani 16 Nisan\u2019dan \u00f6nce de s\u00f6yledi\u011fim gibi, art\u0131k sorunlar\u0131m\u0131z kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda e\u015fitiz.<\/p>\n<p>Bu durumda da \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm konu\u015fmaktan, dayan\u0131\u015fma i\u00e7inde olmaktan, sorumlular\u0131 asla unutmamaktan, ama daha \u00f6nemlisi iktidar\u0131n al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131 nedeniyle yapaca\u011f\u0131ndan \u015f\u00fcphe duymad\u0131\u011f\u0131m, ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 politikalardan uzakla\u015fmam\u0131z \u015fart. Yoksa fatura \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcze geldi\u011finde kimin ne yedi\u011fine bak\u0131lmayacak.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3403949077\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u015eimdi g\u00fcnlerce \u2018oynatal\u0131m U\u011furcum\u2019 tad\u0131ndaki referandum sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 konu\u015fulacak. Esasen hi\u00e7bir anlam\u0131 olmayan bu oyalanman\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde, \u2018ekonominin \u015faha kalkaca\u011f\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin s\u00f6ylemler, propagandalar ba\u015flad\u0131 bile. Elbette bu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-49526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49526"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49526\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}