{"id":49327,"date":"2017-03-28T20:40:59","date_gmt":"2017-03-28T17:40:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=49327"},"modified":"2017-03-28T20:40:59","modified_gmt":"2017-03-28T17:40:59","slug":"cetin-unsalan-21-basamakli-gercek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cetin-unsalan-21-basamakli-gercek\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; 21 basamakl\u0131 ger\u00e7ek  \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>K\u0131skananlar, \u00e7atlayanlar, patlayanlar bir yanda dursun, kendimizi gazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir \u00fclke haline getirip g\u00f6zlerimizi yummam\u0131z \u00f6te tarafta&#8230; \u015eunun alt\u0131n\u0131 net bir bi\u00e7imde \u00e7izeyim ki T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck potansiyeline \u00e7ok inan\u0131yorum. Ama bu potansiyelin finans alan\u0131nda oldu\u011funu da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1527006735\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu \u00fclke, \u00fcretici g\u00fcc\u00fc, yarat\u0131c\u0131 zekas\u0131, do\u011fru kurgulanabilirse, sahip oldu\u011fu de\u011ferler ve uygarl\u0131k tutkusuyla d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde, ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak da siyasetinde s\u00f6z sahibi olabilir. Fakat olmayan tasarruflar\u0131yla finans merkezi olmaya soyunmak, k\u0131sa vadede \u00e7ok ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fri oturup do\u011fru konu\u015fal\u0131m. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin potansiyeli, jeopolitik \u00f6zellikleri olmakla birlikte ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen milli gelirler \u00fczerinden sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesi bazl\u0131 yap\u0131lan hesaplamada d\u00fcnya ortalamas\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 ciddiye al\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Sadece y\u00fczde 1,41&#8230; Y\u0131llar i\u00e7erisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcp b\u00fcy\u00fcmedi\u011fimizin sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131 yaparsak, IMF kaynakl\u0131 raporlara g\u00f6re 1987 \u2013 2014 dilimi i\u00e7erisinde \u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fczde 330, G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin y\u00fczde 53 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 paydaki y\u00fckseli\u015f oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde s\u0131f\u0131r. \u0130lk 20 ekonomi i\u00e7erisindeki \u00fc\u00e7 basamakl\u0131k s\u0131ra kayb\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 bile g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etsek ayn\u0131 yerdeyiz.<\/p>\n<p>Yani \u00f6yle bahsedildi\u011fi gibi k\u0131skan\u0131lacak bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011fe de, hacme de sahip de\u011filiz. Bunu de\u011fi\u015ftirmenin metotlar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda fikir vermesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00c7in ve G\u00fcney Kore \u00f6rne\u011fini verdim. D\u0131\u015far\u0131dan bor\u00e7 al\u0131p, havaalan\u0131 ya da yol yaparak d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde etkili olamazs\u0131n\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7ark\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirmek i\u00e7in \u00f6nce bu ger\u00e7ekle y\u00fczle\u015fmemiz laz\u0131m. Mevlana\u2019ya sormu\u015flar: O kadar okursun, o kadar yazars\u0131n ne bilirsin? Mevlana cevab\u0131 vermi\u015f: Haddimi bilirim. Bu zannedildi\u011fi gibi k\u00f6t\u00fc bir \u015fey de\u011fil. Ne oldu\u011funuzu bilirseniz; ne olmaya karar verece\u011finiz ya da ne olmak istedi\u011finiz ile ilgili \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flama noktas\u0131 hakk\u0131nda da fikir sahibi olursunuz.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi \u00fclkemde d\u00fcnya finans merkezi olma hayalleri kuruluyor. Bu proje ortaya at\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u0130stanbul \u00f6n\u00fcndeki rakiplerini ge\u00e7erek etkin bir finans merkezi olacakt\u0131. 45\u2019inci s\u0131radaki \u0130stanbul, ilk be\u015fe bile girse en az 40 \u00fclkeyi ge\u00e7mek zorundayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Peki bunu neyle yapacakt\u0131? Ne yaz\u0131k ki ortada kendi yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 katma de\u011fer olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na, rakiplerin de bat\u0131l\u0131 sermayedarlar oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re k\u00f6rfez sermayesini \u00e7ekerek yapacakt\u0131. Bundan halen vazge\u00e7ilmi\u015f de\u011fil. Nitekim eksi bakiyeyle kurulan, i\u00e7ine ne var ne yok t\u00fcm mal varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n konuldu\u011fu varl\u0131k fonunun bu yolda \u00f6nemli bir mihenk ta\u015f\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3407855965\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ne var ki gelinen noktada b\u0131rak\u0131n \u00f6ndeki rakipleri ge\u00e7meyi, daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir performansla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131k. Farkl\u0131 finans merkezlerinin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n raporu Z\/Yen Grup taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye 21 basamak gerileyerek 66. s\u0131raya d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Diyebilirsiniz ki \u0130ngilizler\u2019e ait bir \u015firketin raporundan bana ne? \u00d6ncelikle 45. s\u0131rada oldu\u011fumuzu s\u00f6yleyenler de bunlard\u0131; d\u00fcnya finans merkezi olmak istiyorsan\u0131z, ikna etmeniz gerekenlerden biri de bunlar.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7ece\u011fimizi s\u00f6yledi\u011fimiz rakiplerden mesela Singapur, New York ile fark\u0131 8 puan daha azaltarak sadece 20 puan seviyesine \u00e7ekti ve \u015fu an listede \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc. Yani hep belirtildi\u011fi gibi Londra ve New York g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybederken, birilerinin atak yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru, ama o biz de\u011filiz.<\/p>\n<p>Niye? Bize k\u0131skan\u0131yorlar m\u0131? Deli sa\u00e7mas\u0131 bu s\u00f6ylemi bir kenara b\u0131rakarak, ticari alacak sigortas\u0131 konusunda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yapan Coface\u2019\u0131n, 159 \u00fclkeyi kapsayan son siyasi risk endeksi raporuna bakal\u0131m.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2680073806\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Buradaki tespitlere g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye 26. s\u0131radaki konumuyla y\u00fczde 60 oranla \u2018y\u00fcksek siyasi risk\u2019 kategorisinde bulunuyor. Daha riskli \u00fclkeleri \u00f6\u011frenmek istemezsiniz bile. Sadece ilk \u00fc\u00e7 s\u0131ray\u0131 s\u00f6yleyeyim. Afganistan, Irak, Libya&#8230; Dikkatinizi \u00e7ekerim bu sadece siyasi risk. Ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ekonomik risklerle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en k\u0131r\u0131lgan be\u015f ekonomisinin ba\u015f\u0131nda geldi\u011fimiz bu hesab\u0131n i\u00e7inde yok bile.<\/p>\n<p>Peki t\u00fcm bunlar\u0131 alt alta koyup ne yapal\u0131m? Ba\u015f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ellerimizin aras\u0131na al\u0131p kara kara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim mi? Elbette de\u011fil. Sadece sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00f6zelliklerle, sa\u011fa sola efelenip komik duruma d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fimize, sahip oldu\u011fumuz \u00f6zellikleri do\u011fru bir planlamayla i\u015fleyip, farkl\u0131 bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f arayal\u0131m. Yoksa m\u0131? Sadece zaman, para ve g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybederiz, \u00fcst\u00fcne bir de g\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00e7 duruma d\u00fc\u015feriz.<\/p>\n<p>Ne diyor Einstein: \u201cAsl\u0131nda herkes dahidir. Ama siz kalk\u0131p bir bal\u0131\u011f\u0131, a\u011faca t\u0131rmanma yetene\u011fine g\u00f6re yarg\u0131larsan\u0131z, t\u00fcm hayat\u0131n\u0131 aptal oldu\u011funa inanarak ge\u00e7irir.\u201d Vazge\u00e7elim a\u011faca t\u0131rmanma tutkusundan.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>K\u0131skananlar, \u00e7atlayanlar, patlayanlar bir yanda dursun, kendimizi gazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir \u00fclke haline getirip g\u00f6zlerimizi yummam\u0131z \u00f6te tarafta&#8230; \u015eunun alt\u0131n\u0131 net bir bi\u00e7imde \u00e7izeyim ki T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-49327","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49327","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49327"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49327\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49327"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49327"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49327"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}