{"id":48851,"date":"2017-02-14T12:00:52","date_gmt":"2017-02-14T09:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=48851"},"modified":"2017-02-14T12:03:55","modified_gmt":"2017-02-14T09:03:55","slug":"erol-gurcan-cari-acik-2016-yilinda-32-6-milyar-dolar-olarak-gerceklesti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/erol-gurcan-cari-acik-2016-yilinda-32-6-milyar-dolar-olarak-gerceklesti\/","title":{"rendered":"Erol G\u00fcrcan &#8211; Cari a\u00e7\u0131k, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda 32.6 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti"},"content":{"rendered":"<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"354\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-1.png\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-335\" src=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-1-300x176.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"176\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"354\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-2.png\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-336\" src=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-2-300x177.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"177\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong>Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan aral\u0131k ay\u0131 \u00d6demeler Dengesi verileri ile 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na ait \u00d6demeler Dengesi verilerinin tamam\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f oldu. Aral\u0131k 2016 d\u00f6neminde cari denge;<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3921350881\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Ayl\u0131k bazda 4.268 milyar dolar a\u00e7\u0131k verdi<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Piyasa Beklentisi -4.500 milyar dolar, bizim beklentimiz -4.403 milyar dolar seviyesindeydi<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 32.6 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\n<ul>\n<li>Piyasa Beklentisi -33.150 milyar dolar, bizim beklentimiz -32.987 milyar dolar seviyesindeydi<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>B\u00f6ylelikle a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilerin piyasadaki beklentilere yak\u0131n ancak bir miktar daha olumlu oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6demeler Dengesi Se\u00e7ilmi\u015f Baz\u0131 Kalemler \u2013 Aral\u0131k 2016<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-9.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-48853 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-9.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"472\" height=\"286\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-9.png 629w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-9-300x182.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 472px) 100vw, 472px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Cari \u0130\u015flemler Hesab\u0131 \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"355\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-4.png\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-338\" src=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-4-300x177.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"177\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\" width=\"354\">Cari A\u00e7\u0131k bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 2.0 milyar dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak;<\/p>\n<p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1.4 milyar dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steren D\u0131\u015f Ticaret Dengesi a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 (a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak ihracattaki yatay g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme kar\u015f\u0131n ithalatta g\u00f6zlenen art\u0131\u015f ve parasal olmayan alt\u0131n kaleminde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 1.3 milyar dolarl\u0131k net ithalat nedeniyle),<\/p>\n<p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Hizmet Dengesindeki fazlan\u0131n 244 milyon TL azalmas\u0131 (a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak turizm gelirlerindeki azalma kaynakl\u0131),<\/p>\n<p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 460 milyon dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steren Birincil Gelir Dengesi a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan (a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak yat\u0131r\u0131m gelir kaleminden kaynaklanan net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar nedeniyle) kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131ll\u0131k Bazda bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise cari a\u00e7\u0131ktan g\u00f6zlenen 487 milyon dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n temel nedeni olarak; d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesinin 7.4 milyar dolar fazla vermesine kar\u015f\u0131n, turizm gelirleri kaynakl\u0131 hizmet dengesinde verilen 8.8 milyar dolarl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131ktan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"355\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-5.png\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-339\" src=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-5-300x177.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"177\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong>Finans Hesab\u0131 \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\" width=\"385\">Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda do\u011frudan yat\u0131r\u0131m kaynakl\u0131 giri\u015flerin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 1.2 milyar dolar art\u0131\u015fla 1.5 milyar dolar y\u00fckseldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. \u00a0Portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 (s\u0131cak para) taraf\u0131nda ise h\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flamakla birlikte 1.9 milyar dolarl\u0131k net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 yerle\u015fiklerin, hisse senedi piyasas\u0131nda 118 milyon dolar net al\u0131m yaparken; devlet i\u00e7 bor\u00e7lanma senetleri piyasas\u0131nda 414 milyon net sat\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Bankalar yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ihra\u00e7 edilen tahvil ve bonolara 198 milyon dolar tutar\u0131nda geri \u00f6deme ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Di\u011fer yat\u0131r\u0131mlar kaleminde 4.3 milyar dolar ne t \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>o\u00a0\u00a0 Bu durum b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yurti\u00e7i bankalar\u0131n yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 muhabirlerindeki efektif ve mevduat varl\u0131klar\u0131ndaki 2.9 milyar dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 bankalar\u0131n yurti\u00e7i bankalardaki mevduatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6zlenen 323 milyon dolar tutar\u0131ndaki net azal\u0131\u015ftan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan sa\u011flanan krediler i\u00e7in bankalar 594 milyon dolar, di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rler 989 milyon dolar net \u00f6deme ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Resmi rezervler ayl\u0131k bazda 7.0 milyar dolar azal\u0131rken, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda net 818 milyon dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Net Hata Noksan ise bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 1.0 milyar dolar baz\u0131nda azalmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n ayl\u0131k bazda 2.0 milyar dolar, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise net 871 milyon dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/td>\n<td width=\"324\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-6.png\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-340\" src=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"289\" height=\"170\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"324\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-7.png\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-341\" src=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"287\" height=\"170\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"324\">\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-8.png\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-342\" src=\"http:\/\/erolgurcan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Erol-G\u00fcrcan-Cari-Denge-8.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"287\" height=\"170\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\u00d6zetle, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda D\u0131\u015f Ticaret Dengesi\u2019nde g\u00f6zlenen iyile\u015fmeden gelen olumlu katk\u0131n\u0131n, Turizm Gelirleri kaynakl\u0131 olarak Hizmet Dengesindeki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaynakl\u0131 olarak g\u00f6lgelendi\u011fi; a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak da bu durumdan kaynaklanmak \u00fczere cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 2015 y\u0131l sonuna g\u00f6re 487 milyon dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bununla birlikte, \u00f6zellikle portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda y\u0131l i\u00e7inde bir miktar dalgalanma g\u00f6r\u00fclse de; hem do\u011frudan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar hem de portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 fon giri\u015finin devam etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bir\u00e7ok i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f \u015fok ile \u00f6zellikle turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fc kaynakl\u0131 g\u00f6zlenen zorluklara kar\u015f\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015fla tamamlamas\u0131n\u0131 olumlu olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Her ne kadar y\u0131l\u0131n 3. \u00c7eyre\u011finde negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6zlenmi\u015f olsa da T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisi\u2019nin 2016\u2019da da y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f olmas\u0131 da burada \u00f6nemli bir belirleyicidir. \u00d6zellikle ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren al\u0131nan tedbirlerin kademeli bir bi\u00e7imde iktisadi faaliyete olumlu y\u00f6nde yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00f6nceki y\u0131la nazaran bir miktar daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu varsay\u0131m alt\u0131nda 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in Y\u0131ll\u0131k Strateji Sunumumuzda belirtti\u011fimiz 35.0 milyar dolar seviyesindeki 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 cari a\u00e7\u0131k beklentimizi korumaya devam ediyoruz.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>Erol G\u00fcrcan<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 \u00a0 Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan aral\u0131k ay\u0131 \u00d6demeler Dengesi verileri ile 2016 y\u0131l\u0131na ait \u00d6demeler Dengesi verilerinin tamam\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f oldu. Aral\u0131k 2016 d\u00f6neminde cari denge; Ayl\u0131k&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2885,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1537],"class_list":["post-48851","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-dis-ticaret-dengesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48851","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2885"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48851"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48851\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48851"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48851"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48851"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}