{"id":48752,"date":"2017-02-08T12:00:15","date_gmt":"2017-02-08T09:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=48752"},"modified":"2017-02-08T12:31:33","modified_gmt":"2017-02-08T09:31:33","slug":"borsada-tepe-dolarda-dip-goruldu-mu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsada-tepe-dolarda-dip-goruldu-mu\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsa&#8217;da Tepe, Dolar&#8217;da Dip G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc m\u00fc?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Varl\u0131k Fonu ile ilgili olarak pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m yaz\u0131da borsaya ili\u015fkin olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki uyar\u0131y\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m;<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3418634620\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>&#8220;Unutulmamas\u0131 gereken bir borsa ayr\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131:<\/strong> sadece 1 tane 60 dakikada (a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f saatleri hari\u00e7) e\u011fer toplam i\u015flem miktar\u0131 200-250 milyon lota ula\u015f\u0131rsa ve endeks 800 puandan daha fazla art\u0131yor veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyorsa bir miktar nakde ge\u00e7ip beklemek anlaml\u0131 olabilir.&#8221;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn borsa 500 puan y\u00fckseli\u015fle g\u00fcne ba\u015flad\u0131. Varl\u0131k fonu haberinin olumsuz etkisi olmad\u0131, bilakis borsan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselmesine enden oldu. Fakat tabi ki piyasa bu f\u0131rsat\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131rmad\u0131. Seans\u0131n ilk saatinde (a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015ftan itibaren) 285 milyon lot i\u015flem ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Yukar\u0131daki mesaj\u0131mda, &#8220;a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f saatleri hari\u00e7&#8221; demi\u015ftim. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ilk bir saatteki i\u015flemler, a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f saatlerindeki di\u011fer i\u015flem miktarlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u00fcksekti\u00a0\u00a0ama net bir sinyal olmazd\u0131. Fakat 11:00 ile 12:00 aras\u0131nda 245 milyon lot i\u015flem miktar\u0131 ile 1200 puan civar\u0131nda gerileme oldu ve 87.879 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. \u00a0Bu durum nakde ge\u00e7i\u015f i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir sinyaldi. Zaten daha sonra endeks 86.870 seviyelerine kadar bin puana yak\u0131n bir gerileme daha yapt\u0131. D\u00fcn borsa genelde yatay bir hareket yapt\u0131 ve 750-800 puanl\u0131k bir marjda dalgaland\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131 istikrarl\u0131 ve d\u00fczenli bir \u015fekilde takip edenler \u015funu bilirler. 78.500 yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmadan al\u0131m \u00f6nermem diyordum. bu seviye yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcn yeterli i\u015flem miktar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde i\u015flemlerle ba\u015flayan y\u00fckseli\u015fte al\u0131m yap\u0131labilece\u011fini belirttim ve onsan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te 83 binin diren\u00e7 oldu\u011funu, bu seviyede sat\u0131\u015f yap\u0131labilece\u011fini ama, 83.500 seviyesi yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilirse yeniden al\u0131m yap\u0131labilece\u011fini belirttim. O a\u015famadan sonra da hep &#8220;endeksin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu talebin yeterli oldu\u011funu ve TKE g\u00f6stergesinin y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam edebilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini belirttim. Ama 89-90 bine yakla\u015f\u0131nca da her an \u00e7ok anlaml\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek miktarda bir sat\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek yukar\u0131da mavi ile g\u00f6sterdi\u011fim c\u00fcmleyi yazd\u0131m. Nitekim bekledi\u011fim bu hareket pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Bu k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan\u00a0endeks \u015fu an \u00a0yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 toplamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu a\u015famada teknik olarak 90 bin seviyesinin a\u015f\u0131larak, 75 binden ba\u015flayan ve \u015fu ana kadar devam eden ivmede bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n devam etmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yani 90 bin seviyesinde \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 olu\u015facakt\u0131r. Buras\u0131 e\u011fer yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ilirse, bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 bu direncin de yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek al\u0131ma ge\u00e7ebilir ki bu hata olur. Asl\u0131nda, bundan sonra iki t\u00fcr hareket g\u00f6rebiliriz;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Birincisi<\/strong>: Endeks 86 bin ile 88.800 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yatay ve gittik\u00e7e daralan bir bantta hareket eder ve sonras\u0131nda yeni bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131 olu\u015fur. Bu durumda, 86.800 civar\u0131nda olu\u015fan destek a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ve ortalama olarak 2 veya 3 bin puan aras\u0131nda bir gerileme daha olur. Bu dar bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma hareketinin s\u00fcresi 6-7 i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar uzayabilir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0130kincisi<\/strong>: \u00a0Endeks bu geri \u00e7ekilme sonras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7 toplar ve yeniden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir harekete ba\u015flar (d\u00fcn bu konuda biraz \u00e7aba g\u00f6sterdi) 90 binler g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr ve direncin k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yeniden al\u0131ma ge\u00e7ebilirler. Bu t\u00fcr bir harekete kat\u0131lmay\u0131 riskli bulurum. \u015eu an herkesin beynine son y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi kaz\u0131nd\u0131 ve ayn\u0131 ivmenin devam edece\u011fine ve kendisinin bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131na dair korku olu\u015fur ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla yeni bir sert yukar\u0131 harekete kat\u0131lma iste\u011fi bu t\u00fcr bir korkudan kaynaklan\u0131r. Normal \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda Ocak etkisi veya Ocak rallisi dedi\u011fimiz hareket zaten olu\u015ftu ve bundan sonra ge\u00e7mi\u015f \u00fc\u00e7 haftadaki performans\u0131n ayn\u0131s\u0131 beklemek do\u011fru olmaz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>DOLAR<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4219833620\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131 d\u00fczenli okumu\u015fsan\u0131z, dolar\u0131n 3.70 seviyesinin alt\u0131na gerileyerek 3.67-3.70 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rebilece\u011fini, ama 3.70 alt\u0131nda dolara talep gelebilece\u011fini belirtmi\u015ftim. Dolar en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 3.6650 civar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra, bu seviyede dip olu\u015ftu ve art\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7ti. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafik a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Dolar-8-subat-2017.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-48753\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Dolar-8-subat-2017.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"576\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Dolar-8-subat-2017.png 576w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Dolar-8-subat-2017-300x203.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 576px) 100vw, 576px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bu grafikte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere dolar Fibonacci&#8217;nin %23.6 \u00e7izgisine de\u011fdi ve yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u015eu an 3.7550 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. TKE g\u00f6stergesi de &#8220;0&#8221; \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcp yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fc. EN az\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadede dolar\u0131n dibi 3.67 oldu. D\u00fcn d\u0131\u015f piyasalara endeksli olarak, DXY endeksinin artmas\u0131 ile dolar\/TL kuru da artt\u0131. Bug\u00fcn biraz yatay hareket yap\u0131yor. Tahminimce yeniden gerileme yapabilir ama 1 hafta i\u00e7inde 3.70-3.73 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 tekrar g\u00f6rece\u011fimizi zannetmiyorum. 3.78 \u00fczerinden g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f yaparsa yeniden 3.85&#8217;e doru hareket olur. \u00a0Fakat \u015fu an i\u00e7in 3.70 ile 3.78 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir s\u00fcre hareket etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum.<\/p>\n<p>herkese bol kazan\u00e7l\u0131 bir g\u00fcn olsun.<\/p>\n<p><strong>NOT<\/strong>: Bu hafta sonu (11-12 \u015eubat) \u0130zmir&#8217;de yapaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z teknik ve temel analiz stratejileri e\u011fitimi kayd\u0131n\u0131 saat 17:00 itibariyle kapataca\u011f\u0131m. O saten sonra yeni kay\u0131t al\u0131nmayacakt\u0131r. E\u011fitime g\u00f6sterilen b\u00fcy\u00fck ilgiye te\u015fekk\u00fcr ediyorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1140424678\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Varl\u0131k Fonu ile ilgili olarak pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m yaz\u0131da borsaya ili\u015fkin olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki uyar\u0131y\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m; &#8220;Unutulmamas\u0131 gereken bir borsa ayr\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131: sadece 1 tane 60 dakikada&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1464,769,1497,752,753,1496],"class_list":["post-48752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-tahminleri","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-dolar-duser-mi","tag-dolar-tl-yorumu","tag-dolar-yorumlari","tag-dolar-yukselir-mi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48752","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48752"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48752\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48752"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48752"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48752"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}